Nigeria will either pause the full floating of its currency or return back to fuel subsidy within 6 months. Nigeria’s weakest currency stability point remains that it has to continue importing petrol since it does not have any working refinery. That creates a vicious circle since those importing fuel will mark up prices, to cushion for the next round of import, working to stay ahead of currency deterioration, in a system with no official benchmark. In other words, if you bring it in at N760/$, you will likely expect that when you finish selling, you may need N770/$ to get back to parity, and if that unpredictability remains, stabilizing Naira becomes challenging. So, to solve that problem: the government will have to freeze the floating of the currency, at least partially, or will have to bring back fuel subsidies, or do both. Expect your pick within the next 6 months. INVESTORS, plan accordingly because we’re going to have more shifts for a new equilibrium point. The stable state is not close because the demand for US dollars remains well higher than the supply in the nation. That lack of parity will drive new policy changes in the nation since we’re import dependent on many things. tekedia.com/i-expect-new-cha…