Independent geopolitical & military analysis. Conflicts, strategy, and the forces shaping them. https://xitter.cf/t.co/AAJCKoiL4M
USA
Joined March 2022
- Tweets25.5K
- Following589
- Followers79.4K
- Likes12.1K
NEW | 🇬🇾🇺🇸 Guyana's President Irfaan Ali and US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signed a new defense declaration at the Pentagon on October 21.
The agreement, according to the Guyanese government, provides for expanded military training, joint exercises and improved airspace surveillance.
For Guyana, which is developing major offshore oil resources while facing Venezuela's territorial claim over Essequibo, better monitoring of its airspace and surrounding territory could be particularly important.
Hegseth framed the partnership within Trump's approach to the Monroe Doctrine, emphasizing Washington's intention to counter threats and outside military influence in the Western Hemisphere.
"Trump can bring Putin to the negotiating table very easily. The way President Trump talks about me, he needs to adopt that kind of rhetoric about Putin."
When President Trump says we need to find a compromise – we live with this. A ceasefire and sitting down at the negotiating table – it is a huge compromise.
Nobody can step into the shoes of all these people whose children were tortured. And you can't force people to forgive. How can you force them when their child was tortured? How do you forgive? It's impossible. I desperately want justice. I just really want. I know so many people had their hearts ripped out, and there won't be a new heart.
That's why we say a ceasefire is the only step, because people’s hatred isn't going anywhere. It takes time and justice. And that's why it's a huge compromise. I've tried many times to tell the President of the United States: understand us. This is a huge compromise just to hold the lines where we are. Trump can bring Putin to the negotiating table very easily. The way President Trump talks about me, he needs to adopt that kind of rhetoric about Putin.
From The Diary of a CEO podcast with Steven Bartlett. (3/3)
🌐 MORNING WATCH | OCTOBER 22
🇸🇦 SAUDI ARABIA — Two people were killed and eight injured in the attack on Dammam's King Fahd International Airport. Separately, Saudi authorities report two deaths from falling debris after a drone was intercepted near Aramco's Shaybah oilfield.
The US has ordered non-essential diplomatic staff and their families to leave Saudi Arabia. Reuters also reports that Aramco has instructed employees to evacuate its Dhahran headquarters and work remotely.
🇮🇷 IRAN / HORMUZ — Iran's Revolutionary Guards claim four vessels were hit and caught fire in the northern Persian Gulf, while three others struck naval mines west of Hormuz.
🇺🇦 UKRAINE / RUSSIA — Kyiv says Russia launched at least 21 ballistic missiles in three waves overnight, damaging civilian infrastructure and causing casualties.
Moscow separately claims 630 Ukrainian drones approached the capital region.
The attacks continued despite this week's renewed US-led diplomatic efforts.
BREAKING: German authorities have arrested a suspected Russian spy in Brandenburg. The 53-year-old Ukrainian man, identified as Vadym Y., is accused of collecting militarily sensitive information for the Russian intelligence service since at least July 2025.
According to the Federal Prosecutor’s Office, he allegedly targeted contacts within Europe’s arms industry, gathering information on the production of tanks, ammunition and explosives, as well as industry personnel. He is also suspected of monitoring military installations linked to the security of NATO’s eastern flank, including, according to media reports, the German Armed Forces’ Lithuania Brigade.
The suspect was arrested in the Oder-Spree district following an investigation involving the BKA and information from Germany’s domestic intelligence service. He is due to appear before an investigating judge at the Federal Court of Justice in Karlsruhe, who will decide whether he will be remanded in custody.
This will only worsen the unrest we have seen across Europe in recent weeks, increasing the risk of further protests spreading across multiple countries. Rising oil prices mean higher fuel, transport and living costs, putting even more pressure on people already struggling to make ends meet.
GeoInsider retweeted
President Trump declares that the US is not negotiating with Iran, says something will happen “soon.”
NEW | 🇺🇦 | Russian forces reportedly launched a large wave of missiles against Kyiv's energy infrastructure overnight with Ukrainian monitoring accounts estimating around 20–25 missiles of different types.
Including Iskander-M ballistic missiles, Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles and modified RM-48U missiles.
Kyiv's CHP-4 and CHP-5 combined heat and power plants are among the facilities reported to have been targeted.
BREAKING | 🇸🇦 King Fahd International Airport in Dammam was attacked on this evening, killing one resident and injuring eight others, according to Saudi Arabia's General Authority of Civil Aviation.
The attack also caused material damage, which authorities are still assessing.
UPDATE | 🇺🇸🇸🇦 The United States has ordered non-emergency government employees and their families to leave Saudi Arabia as Houthi attacks continue to threaten the kingdom.
The order covers the US Embassy in Riyadh and its consulates, while essential diplomatic personnel remain in place.
State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott confirmed that the mandatory departure applies to Saudi Arabia only, following earlier reports suggesting a wider withdrawal across Gulf embassies.
Washington cites Houthi attacks on civilian airports and critical infrastructure, which have caused casualties and major travel disruptions.
UPDATE | 🇷🇺🇺🇦🇺🇸 Russia has agreed in principle to resume trilateral peace talks with Ukraine and the United States in November, according to the Kremlin.
The announcement follows nearly three hours of talks between Vladimir Putin and US envoy Steve Witkoff in St. Petersburg.
Kremlin adviser Yuri Ushakov says the negotiations could take place in Abu Dhabi around mid-November, focusing on security arrangements for Russia and Ukraine after the war.
A US official told Axios that Kyiv accepted the proposal for technical-level talks during Tuesday's meetings in Oslo, with Moscow agreeing today.
Moscow says the latest Ukrainian and European proposals still offer little basis for resolving the conflict. Zelensky continues to push for a ceasefire and a meeting between the three leaders.
EXCLUSIVE: In a joint investigation by @InsiderGeo × @SONARROW_OSINT , we identified a large-scale Russian military loading operation in Baltiysk. Between October 15 and 16, we observed the Russian cargo vessels ASCALON (IMO 9198226), LADY D (IMO 9349289) and ANASTASIIA (IMO 9349291) loading significant quantities of military equipment at the Kaliningrad naval base, including logistics vehicles, infantry vehicles, MRAPs and troop transports.
A rotation of other cargo vessels also appears to have taken place in the days before and after, although heavy cloud cover over the period makes this difficult to confirm.
One or more large convoys are likely already underway. Their destination(s) remain unknown at this time.
All three cargo vessels have previously been linked to Russian military deliveries beyond Russian borders. In our investigation last month, ANASTASIIA was also tracked in Libya, further highlighting the role of these vessels in Russia’s military supply routes abroad. xitter.cf/InsiderGeo/status/2099…
EXCLUSIVE: 🇷🇺🇱🇾 We have obtained higher-resolution imagery providing a closer look at the Russian military convoy inside Tobruk port.
The imagery shows ANASTASIIA and YURIY ARSHENEVSKIY alongside the Ropucha-class landing ship ALEKSANDR SHABALIN. A large number of military and logistics vehicles can be seen in the port area, including multiple Ural-type trucks arranged in rows.
The imagery provides a much clearer view of the equipment previously identified aboard the convoy and appears to show the vehicles being unloaded and brought ashore at Tobruk.
This is part of our ongoing investigation with @SONARROW_OSINT.
BREAKING: A drone has crashed in Romania’s Buzău County, with the wreckage discovered in a field near the village of Moșești.
Specialists from Romania’s Ministry of National Defence (MApN), the Romanian Intelligence Service (SRI), and other authorities are at the scene examining the wreckage as an investigation gets underway to determine the drone’s origin and the circumstances surrounding the crash.
Initial reports suggest the aircraft may have gone undetected by military radar systems.
More information to follow.
After four hours of searches, authorities began withdrawing from the area. A local resident who alerted 112 reported drone fragments, including a wing about two meters long, metal rods measuring 1.5–2 meters, and yellow numerical markings.
Buzău’s prefect said debris was scattered across a 100-meter radius. The drone was reportedly not detected by military radar.
GeoInsider retweeted
🚨 A Russian Su-30SM fighter crashed in Kaliningrad Oblast at 12:53, between Timofeyevka and Zelyony Bor in Chernyakhovsky District.
Both pilots ejected and were hospitalized with injuries.
GeoInsider retweeted
Witkoff to Putin: “You talk so much about my president, President Trump, being a humanitarian — you are a humanitarian also, sir, and I salute that.”
GeoInsider retweeted
‼️ PHP UPDATE: The Dutch parliament, the Dutch national cyber agency and Finland's central government have pulled websites offline ahead of the PHP patch.
Finland's state IT centre Valtori is shutting down public-facing central government web services. The National Land Survey of Finland is already down.
In the Netherlands, the Tweede Kamer, the NCSC and the Dutch Data Protection Authority are offline. So are tech site Tweakers and NotuBiz, which runs council information for 100+ local governments.
The University of Vienna switched off its websites, webmail and Moodle. The University of Freiburg and Finland's Haaga-Helia have taken services down too.
Fur Affinity, Pinboard, explain xkcd and every wiki on Miraheze are dark as well.
Valtori says its shutdown is a precaution, not the result of an attack or breach.
PHP was created by Rasmus Lerdorf in 1994, it initially stood for Personal Home Page
PHP's fix is due at 14:00 UTC today.
The entire tanker represents around 1.5–2 hours of US distillate consumption.
Our work with DefenceGeek. 👇🫡
MAP: Russia's "Hybrid War" on NATO 2026
Update: 21/OCT/2026
6 newly reported incidents added to the map over the last week, comprising:
- UAVs over French military bases including Toulon naval base during Exercise TYPHOON
- M/V YARA J and M/V WINE TRADER hit in separate incidents by UAVs/USVs off the coast of Romania in the Black Sea
- 2x Russian Geran-type UAVs shot down near Sulina, Romania
- Attempted arson at a Vilnius data centre storing Starlink equipment used by Ukraine
- 2x males arrested on suspicion of spying for Russia involving hostile reconnaissance of a counter-UAV defence company in Denmark
As always, map pin locations are as accurate as possible based on public/OSINT information, and in the case of "nationwide" incidents (e.g. cyber) are placed wherever Google Maps decides is the location of that country.
h/t @InsiderGeo
