Geopolitical Intelligence & Early Warnings • Regional Security & Global Terrorism •

Israel
Joined September 2019
Senior IDF sources: No reason for Israeli strike in Iran before the Oct 27 election, unless we detect Iranian prep to fire missiles. via @YehoshuaYosi
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Iran estimates that a war vs US and Israel is certain, and that Israel will strike first, possibly within days (N12 News)
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US sources: Dozens of Israeli fighter jets approached Iran border this week, N12 News reports; Jerusalem updated Washington in advance; unclear if this was a warning message or an attempt to trigger an Iranian response and resume the war.
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Israel planned to strike Iran on October 10 weekend but Trump stopped it, Financial Times reports. IDF intended to attack nuclear facilities, regime sites energy assets.
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PM Netanyahu: Next US president may be very hostile to Israel. This means Israel should build other alliances. Bibi notes India and Latin America as possible alternatives (Ynet)
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Israeli Air Force is on standby for immediate response to potential Iranian attack, says military analyst Ron Ben-Yishai; IDF advises Netanyahu not to strike for now, as Israel's defense industry continues to produce more interceptors, munitions, UAVs for next conflict (Ynet)
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Massive financial crisis in Iran forces terror groups across the Middle East to send money back to Tehran, says US CENTCOM chief (N12 News)
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Israeli defense chiefs hold meeting to discuss possible military clash vs. Iran, Kan News reports. Israel sees no urgent reason to strike, N12 News reports.
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Israeli defense company Rafael unveils SkySonic interceptor against hypersonic missiles. Full details and capabilities remain classified.
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Israel is closely watching Iranian missile and UAV tests in recent days; Israeli defense official: We're taking steps to ensure we're not hit with a surprise attack (Kan News)
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Western intel indicates that Iran is making "new and extreme military moves" (N12 News)
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❗️ Israel informs Washington: If Iran makes the mistake of attacking us, it will be hit very hard. Israeli retaliation may be unprecedented (Ynet)
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❗️ Israel will extend home front state of emergency until Nov 3. Security assessments see high risk of attacks on civilian areas. This is another indication that fighting vs Iran and Hezbollah could resume soon.
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Ex-IDF Chief Eisenkot promises to terminate Hamas control in Gaza within 18 months if he's elected prime minister. Netanyahu couldn't do it in 3 years, can Eisenkot do it?
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Iran orders Hezbollah to raise military alert level ahead of regional conflict, @sapirlipkin reports
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Iran carried out several ballistic missile tests in recent days, N12 News reports. Israel, US and Arab states in the Gulf are coordinating their moves. Israel is concerned that the heavy pressure on Iran may lead Tehran to launch a surprise attack.
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High alert in Israel at this time ahead of possible military escalation; high-level security meeting tonight to discuss Iran and other fronts (N12 News)
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Israel will not initiate a strike on Iran before the upcoming election on Oct 27, says senior Israeli official (N12 News)
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Thr Iranian regime is determined not to suffer a 3rd surprise attack, says analyst @zeragil If Iran believes Israel is about to strike, the Iranians will fire missiles at Israel first, he says. We're again entering a tense period with higher potential for military action.
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Israeli strikes on Iran would likely focus on missile industry and other defense sites, which are Israel's most immediate concern. But Iranian retaliation could trigger attacks on Iranian energy sites as well.
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