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One of the most pernicious, yet undeniably brilliant, achievements of the Chinese Communist Party has been to convince the world that it and China are one and the same (if any political entity can make such a claim, it is Taiwan).
Yet this totally false equation has become so deeply entrenched and effective that Kylian Mbappe, Javier Tebas (the president of Spain’s La Liga), and now even Real Madrid itself have felt compelled to issue grovelling apologies to China and the Chinese people over Mbappe’s supposed offense of referring to Mao Zedong as a dictator.
Even leaving aside the fact that describing Mao as a dictator is a historic fact, what on earth does a remark about a former leader of the Chinese Communist Party have to do with China as a civilization, with Chinese history, Chinese culture, or the Chinese people? Absolutely nothing.
And yet here we are in 2026, watching some of the sports world’s biggest names publicly debase themselves in deference to this fiction. The whole thing is beyond grotesque.
Official Statement.
realmadrid.com/en-US/news/cl…
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中央网信办那帮人是干什么吃的?撒几百亿美元才换来的国际形象,结果全被粉红毁了。一群人离开了生殖器,家人,给别人认爹,种族歧视相关词汇就不会说话了,还搞无差别攻击,让很多本来对中国持友善态度的人转变了态度。
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姆巴佩辱毛事件意义非凡
让全世界看清了
中共🇨🇳的丑陋的真面目!
让世界人民知道了
中国🇨🇳毫无言论自由可言!
中共必然会加速进入灭亡时代!🤔
🤖 Made with AI
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CRUCIAL FACTS ON THE FLAVIO BOLSONARO MATTER:
It's not just Flavio Bolsonaro who fled Brazil to escape the tyrannical persecution of Alexandre de Moraes and the pro-Lula wing of the Supreme Court. There are dozens of Brazilian exiles who have done the same: dissident journalists, activists, bloggers, and politicians who all fled to avoid certain prison for political opposition.
In most of these cases, Moraes has demanded the extradition of those who fled and whom he wants to imprison back in Brazil. But Moraes' extradition requests have been repeatedly denied by multiple countries and institutions on the grounds that these prosecutions are politically motivated or otherwise corrupted. Among those concluing this: Spain, Italy, INTERPOL, and even the US under Biden.
Just today, Italy refused Brazil's demand to extradite a person named @edutagli, who was once a top aide to Moraes, but then fled to Italy after Moraes accused him of having been my source in a huge leak from Moraes' office that I obtained for reporting I did with @Folha in 2024. That massive leak enabled us to publish roughly 20 articles proving systemic abuses of power by Moraes against his political enemies: exactly the reason so many Brazilians, including Bolsonaro, know they can't get a fair trial in Brazil.
Italy today refused to extradite the person accused of being our source on the grounds that the proceedings would be a farce because Moraes — as he so often does — wants to act as the supposed victim, investigator, and judge, and thus his demand falls well outside of Italy's extradition standards. Again, multiple countries have concluded the same, showing what a farce Brazil's once-respected judicial system has become under the Lula/Moraes regime.
Moraes has overseen a system of political persecution masquerading as criminal justice that has been recognized as a sham by multiple countries that are not exactly Bolsonaro allies. Nobody in their right mind who is a political enemy of Moraes would remain in Brazil once if it is clear that he intends to imprison you, since he has proven that guilt is a foregone conclusion and he operates with no legal or constitutional limits of any kind.
That is why asylum under international law exists: to protect those who cannot obtain justice in their own country because the justice system has been corrupted and commandeered for political persecution. Many people, such as Julian Assange, have needed that protection (which Lula cheered). Now people need it from Moraes in Brazil. That is sadly one of the main legacies of both Lula and Moraes over the last six years.
Itália nega extradição de Eduardo Tagliaferro, ex-assessor de Alexandre de Moraes
www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/…
There are lots of funny Mbappe/Mao memes coming from Chinese twitter. But non-Chinese will have difficulty understanding some, even with a correct translation.
This is actually one area that a LLM does incredibly well in - it's cosmopolitan. It ingests enough books from major languages that it can basically serve as a "native" guide to every culture.
Gemini in particular has been able to explain Chinese political jokes since mid 2025 or so (other models generally failed - I tested them extensively with one of my own jokes). But by 2026 nearly every frontier model can explain Chinese political jokes. Here I even give Gemini 4.0 a *translated* text and it was still able to figure out what the joke was.
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姆巴佩这事简直是苏联笑话现实版😹
一个人走在街上喊:“独裁者必须下台!”
红卫兵当场把他抓了起来。
那人连忙解释:“我说的是美国总统!”
红卫兵冷笑道:“少来这套,我们在这儿干了这么多年,还能不知道谁才是独裁者?”
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Many Lula supporters say they want Brazil to adopt China's economic model. To achieve that, Brazil would need to cut social spending and pensions by 50% and cut government spending by 30%. It would need someone much more right-wing than Bolsonaro on economics.
Many working class Trump supporters are fine with the US being poorer in return for 'America First'. In 2025, it was tariffs induced CPI and stock market crash. In 2026, Iran war induced fuel price surge.
Many Lula supporters share the same ethos. They value geopolitical sovereignty and don't want to be an 'American colony'. They are fine with being nominally 'poorer'. In this sense, both blue collar Trump supporter and Lula value national dignity more than 'GDP per capita'.
What the MAGA interviewer does here is similar to what zionist media in the US do to blue collar MAGA voters - select the most bad optics character to discredit the movement. But notice the Lula supporter at 15:35 - he was trying to explain to the interviewer that he rejects liberalism and wants to try Chinese style state capitalism, not soviet style Communism. The interviewer was only interested in getting the 'so you support Communism?' soundbite. Besides, I don't think he understands what state capitalism is anyway.
My personal opinion if I was Brazilian? I would support Bolsonaro on most issues but Lula geopolitically.
here I have some very long posts, statistically debunking 3 viral claims of fraud in Brazil's elections.
serious people can read/contribute.
Replying to @Cuisin07 @Inevitablewest
I don't think you grasped the statistical fallacy. Bolsonaro didn't gain "1 voter"; he gained the votes of an undetermined number of voters, and lost an (undetermined number - 1) of voters. The net change happens to be +1.
This can be supported by a very wide range of plausible scenarios. (and here again we need to avoid the Texas Sharpshooter fallacy and actually integrate over the probabilities of *all* plausible scenarios)
The posts you're citing ruled out every single plausible scenario except one: it calculated the single scenario where "no voter changes their mind; all first round voters also voted in the second round; all vote change is because of undecided voters". All I need to show why we can't *solely* count the probability for this scenario is to show you the support (in probability theory terms) for other scenarios is non-zero. That's it.
I understand your broader point that *if* we want to think about whether the elections are legitimate or not from first principles, we need to apply Bayesian priors and updating. This unfortunately requires an immense of data to carry out in practice; none of the posts you're citing are doing real Bayesian analysis either. We're instead just doing a very traditional (frequentist) method of scientific debate where X says "This test rejects the null hypothesis!" and someone else says "Actually, one of your key assumptions is flawed, therefore the null hypothesis is not rejected by your work."
On the projection thing: from the video alone I can't tell what method he's actually using for his simulations (which he doesn't even show). But his claim that all simulations show "multiple alternations" (and, according to his hand gesture, they can happen in the latter stages) sets off a very strong bullshit alarm. The probability of alternations in the sum of a random walk with drift actually decreases by power law in the short run and exponentially in the long run:
If the drift is 2%,
P(alternation at vote n) ∼= e^(-0.0002n)
The last alternation of the 2026 Brazilian election was around n= 60 million where Lula overtook Bolsonaro.
At n= 60 million the probability is e^(-12000) which is 10^(-5212)
The "professor" is insisting that we should have many more alternations *after* this point. I don't know where he fucked up, but he fucked up something.
(now of course in a more realistic model we'd have batches of votes coming in at a time, with some geographic correlation. But the professor's model isn't doing that either; I'm just reconstructing his model and showing why it can't be consistent with his claims. In any case, both of these assumptions actually decrease the expected number of alterations, although they do shift some of the support from early stages to mid stages)
A final point on being a good Bayesian: there are 60 million very frustrated voters. We're seeing "tonnes of arguments" on social media (none that I've seen yet are good) from a large base of people who have been frantically looking for any corroborating evidence they can find. It's very important to remember what an insanely large number of potential accusers that is, so we don't over-update our priors in one direction. Our minds are naturally adapted for small-society lifestyles where "if 2 people make a strong accusation, we should probably believe them". That we're dealing with 60 million potential accusers here just isn't something our mind adapted for.
Hence, we have to set up the counterfactual carefully: if election fraud *did* occur on a systematic level, it should leave a certain amount of evidence. What is the probability that *all* such evidence in this massive country can be hidden, that not an explicit or secret Bolsonaro sympathizer existed in the large group of people responsible for vote tabulation from these suspicious regions, which could have provided us first-hand evidence of cheating?
Instead, the best evidence that 60 million people can present to us are, so far, several bad statistical models. That no better evidence exists should make us update strongly to the prior that the elections did not have systematic fraud.
p.s.: Poliwave, which is from a team that I trust to be statistically competent, had a stable and accurate projection 30 minutes into the vote count.
Westoids who sing the virtues of China's education system should note that their teenagers undergo multiple years of psychological torture like what you see in the video below. (the exception being the ultra-rich kids who go to international schools)
The teens in the video are, in fact, the more fortunate teens in their school. Their parents have to go the extra length to do this for them. Most don't.
You should be nicer to the angry, bitter Chinese people you see on the Internet, because they were likely traumatized by a childhood like this.
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🧵In 2019, California billionaire tax crusader Gabriel Zucman made an astonishing claim to the NY Times: billionaires pay a lower avg tax rate than poor people in the US.
I noticed something fishy though: Zucman's NYT chart did not match his own published data from a 2018 paper
Blanchard and Zucman are two of the most conceited pieces of shit in American academia. They have spent the last 20 years establishing, through blatant ethnic nepotism I have personally witnessed, a network of French economists working in American universities. Which is not because they like America; they all continue to refer to themselves as French, never as "Americans", and if you have a conversation with them, they'll regularly tell you how much they despise this country and its people.
These "French-American" economists are here to avoid paying the taxes of France, because they don't want to give €30,000/yr of their income to the French government, which is fiscally in more desperate straits than any jurisdiction in the U.S.
Not only that, it was their policy advice (or lack thereof) to the successive French governments since 2000 which have led their country into the fiscal and societal trainwreck that we are seeing today. Barely five years ago, Blanchard headed a commission of economists which identified the most pressing challenges to the French economy as "climate change" and "economic inequalities", which of course demand more taxes and more debt. Apart from having provided a miniscule amount of pushback to French socialists on labor market policy, Blanchard has been content with letting his own country fall into fiscal collapse under the weight of one of the most absurd welfare-regulatory regimes in the world.
Not even wanting to comment on their country which is burning down right now, these smug French economists are now asking why Americans seem to have different views than theirs. They never once consider that the Americans' "backwards" economic beliefs may, in part, explain the diverging incomes between the U.S. and France which they are personally taking advantage of.
Most American centi-billionaires have developed, through personal experiences and professional advice, an intimate knowledge of charitable causes. Zuckerberg is one of the most prolific contributors to education in the world, constantly revising his targets to promote actual improvements in educational outcomes (unlike the Californian government). Brin is among the most generous contributors to medical research in the world, having personally spent years identifying the most pressing needs of the medical community. Brin and Page have also effectively implemented a wealth tax against Google itself (giving 1% of stock, and 1% of profits per year, to philanthropy). The "French-Americans" who have uprooted their own lives to live in a country they hate to avoid paying taxes, suggests that the American billionaires should simply hand this money to their government instead of evidence-based philanthropy.
Not only that, but these French leeches will take it to the public platform to condemn and insult the centi-billionaires, who have contributed a thousand times more, in effort and resources, to helping the global poor than they have ever done.
The most pathetic part is that it's clear Olivier Blanchard was discussing all this earnestly. It took him mere hours to reconsider his position after encountering such mundane criticisms as "Have you considered that the government would not spend this money as effectively as private initiatives?" He now goes back to equivocating about "elasticities" (though he would never bother to look at any empirical research on philanthropy, because that does not interest him.)
That Blanchard's position collapses to basic online feedback shows a much deeper rot within the economics profession: Never once in his professional life has this oracle of retarded advice been challenged by his cowardly colleagues, who "just want to do economics and don't care about the politics". The result is that certain academics have spent their lives advocating for idiotic, radical positions which they have not reasoned through in a way that even an American hicklib who has never attended college is capable of doing. Newsom, whose political future depends on the farmers of Iowa, is desperately trying to stop the wealth tax. He might not understand the pitfalls of government wealth appropriation, but the farmers of Iowa do.
And thus America, whose political system ensures that it must pay attention to the "un-educated" rural voters of the midwest more than its entire professoriate, continues to outperform France in every economic metric.
What amazes me is the attitude of so many of the centibillionaires.
A 5% tax will not make any difference to the way they live. Their spending may be extravagant, but it is still much less than their (correctly measured) income.
They know that, as gifted as some of them indeed are, they have benefited from extreme luck (and the help of the state, and, to speak like an economist, monopoly rents).
They know that their effective tax rate is low, relative to what many others pay.
They know that extreme inequality is extremely unpopular, and can lead to political unrest, backlash, or worse.
They must admit that, morally, it is hard to argue for a society in which some become obscenely wealthy, while so many are poor and see their income stagnate.
They typically have not indicated that they are building their wealth to eventually make the world a better place.
But they are still willing to fight the tax, spending hundreds of millions in California to avoid paying the tax. Why?
They simply think what is theirs is theirs, end of story.
They believe in the slippery slope, and if they do not take a stand on this levy, the government will come back for more.
They hate the state and the notion that their money will be misused?
Or?
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'Warsh, so I hear from inside the Fed, has commissioned a generative AI bot based on the entire corpus of Friedman’s work and named it “Milton.”
A similar initiative incorporates the work of liberal Keynesian economist James Tobin. Yet another covers the recorded thoughts of George Schultz, a conservative eminence in the Nixon and Reagan administrations, who mentored Warsh at Stanford.
As a senior Fed official explained to me, “[Warsh] likes to sit in his office having long talks with ‘Milton’ about the economy and Fed policy.”
spectator.com/article/is-a-r…
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Myriam was a 7-year-old French Jewish girl. She witnessed a terrorist break into her school and kill two of her classmates.
She tried to run but tripped while grabbing her schoolbag, causing her ballet slippers to fall out. She stopped to pick them up. He chased her and grabbed her by the hair, shooting her in the head at point-blank range.
The man was Mohamed Merah, and a rap song honoring him and other Muslim terrorists has become the unofficial anthem of the ‘student protests’ in France.
🚨 ALERTE - Des élèves ONT BLOQUÉ le lycée François Villon, à Beaugency (45), en écoutant MRH, un titre faisant référence à des TERRORISTES ISLAMISTES.
« À la Mohamed Merah, v-esqui' les caméras. Bataclan, je l'ai shooter à l'œil, chasse à l'homme, Salah Abdeslam »
« J’ai pas peur, j’ai pas peur de l’enfer, le pacte est intact, à part Allah qui peut m’arrêter. Bataclan, faisaient les morts, allongez-vous, je vais en shooter à l’œil ».
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Half a million views, tons of right wing posters like this one going "when we talk about cultural compatibility it's not some hypothetical issue", and no one asked "is that letter entirely AI generated" (yes) and "is it in fact almost the exact letter you get if you say 'generate a fake HOA letter telling me to stop smoking brisket' (yes), "would a first class letter dated Saturday October 17 arrive in time to complain about it bright and early Monday morning" (no), "is the letter consistent with Arizona laws around notice periods" (no), "how many HOAs in Arizona have a nuisance provision 8.4" (5, according to ChatGPT), and "do any of them employ a Marjorie" (no).
Now, of course, this isn't dispositive. It could be that the HOA used ChatGPT to make the letter, and wrote FIRST CLASS MAIL on it (which is what ChatGPT does by default when prompted to generate an HOA letter about smoking brisket) but then delivered it the normal way you would do so in an HOA, by hand. It could be that the HOA works on Saturdays. It could be that they just don't list their staff.
But my present perspective is that, for all the excitement that Dr. Josh Simmons's letter has caused on X, cultural compatibility might still be a hypothetical issue.
chatgpt.com/c/6ad8277b-9870-…
When we talk about cultural compatibility it’s not some hypothetical issue. What we can and cannot do in public, or even in private, is informed by our cultural upbringings. If you’re raised in a culture that views killing and eating cows as a sin, an evil, then having smoke from its cooking waft into your house is not only annoying and unpleasant, but deeply offensive. That culture is incompatible with one that enjoys grilling. There isn’t really a compromise here. One side will get what they want and the other won’t. It is a win-lose situation.
The more you import different culture, the more of this conflict you create.
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India is 79% Hindu, Pakistan is 96% Muslim.
Israel is 73% Jewish, the Palestinian territories are 99% Muslim.
Cyprus is 78% Greek, Turkish-occupied North Cyprus is 99% Turkish.
It's always the same story, isn't it?
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Young people have never been richer.
All the negativity you see is the result of spiritual poison.
If you can't make it in America today, you are a loser. Of course you blame immigrants, because they remind you of it. richardhanania.com/p/the-cul…
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所谓优雅的数学结构,本质上是人类为了迁就自己那点可怜的脑容量,被迫发明出来的拐杖。
一个顶尖人类数学家的工作内存,撑死也就同时追踪五六个变量的交互。
当你在算一个偏微分方程或者组合不等式时,一旦展开到三阶以上,几十个交叉项涌出来,人脑就直接宕机了。
所以人类数学家极其厌恶展开高阶项,一旦看到高阶项发散,人类的本能反应是此路不通,赶紧退回来找对称性、找不变量、搞同调代数或者几何直观,试图不展开式子就把问题绕过去。
但 AI 没有这个生理缺陷。
对于上万个并发的 Agent 来说,同时追踪一万个五阶交叉项的系数变化,跟我们算 1+1 一样轻松。
在它的视野里,根本不需要什么几何直观,它直接站在高维的代数展开式里往下看,人类觉得像乱麻一样的百项高阶余项,在它眼里就是一张明明白白的线性方程组。
既然把式子硬展开到第七阶,再凑几个待定系数就能让所有讨厌的发散项精准归零,它为什么要费劲去帮你发明一个人类能看懂的新概念?
这 700 个结果背后最无奈的黑色幽默:我们终于拿到了上帝账本里的答案,却发现上帝算账根本不用微积分,他老人家是直接拿计算器硬按出来的。








































