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At what point do you trust an edge enough to actually size up?
I’ve got ~550 bets in a pretty specific/niche live micro market at around a 7% ROI.
Important caveat, I’ve run really hot on a handful of longshots (+1000 and above) in this market. That combined with there being no chance for CLV makes it a little tougher to figure out how much is variance vs real edge
If there are other new/unique markets you want to see on the site, let me know!!
ProphetX accelerates expansion beyond sports with new markets:
The US prediction market exchange has launched contracts tracking rival platforms' trading volumes and self-certified dozens of non-sports products, although sports still dominates activity.
Full Story ➡️ nextpredict.io/market-news/i…
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The answer is @ProphetX and you should dm me if you want to onboard
hearing the same things over and over from PM traders and market makers, especially since NFL season kicked off:
- they’re already on Kalshi and Polymarket
- margins keep getting squeezed
- seeing combos quoted below what they consider fair value
everyone’s asking about what other exchanges they should integrate next, specifically:
- where is there enough volume to justify it?
- where are makers still seeing strong hold rates?
🚀🚀🚀🚀
Proud to say that after a few months in an interim capacity, I’m stepping into the full-time role of leading the Growth team at @ProphetX .
The last few months have been a whirlwind. Can’t wait to pick up the pace even more.
Up only 🚀
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You all know how much I love college hoops, and we’re finally back Sunday with Notre Dame vs. Villanova tipping things off in Rome 🏀
Come trade on @ProphetX, where your capital goes further.
Claude tells me McDavid has ~0.79% chance to break Gretzky’s single season scoring record this year.
What do we think, too high? Too low? Just right?
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Exciting stuff! Check it out and as always, if you are a market maker looking to onboard on the platform please shoot me a DM!
ProphetX Web 2.0 is LIVE 🖥️
Prefer trading on web over mobile? Check out our brand new web product. New UI, full orderbook and tons of additional features being added soon.
prophetx.cc/03SbLy
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This game is rigged!!
I made a game where you draft your All 22 Pokemon team from randomly rolled Regions and Pokemon Types and the goal is to finish the season 17-0
So far my best record is 10-7 lol
all22pokemon.com
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Started playing around with this the last week or so and it’s pretty cool! I am accidentally now a huge Treyveon Henderson fan
Did you lose access to your favorite NFL fantasy game?
We’ve set aside $20,000 to help.
Eligible players get $50 to put their NFL knowledge to work on SDF, own shares in the players they believe in, and compete every week.
Claim your offer and build your squad ↓
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I need to buy a decent watch I can wear with a tux for an upcoming wedding I’m in but don’t want to break the bank (like under $1000 ideally)
I usually just wear my Garmin so I am very out of my element here. Looking for any and all recommendations!!
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