Prince Jas 🇨🇦🇫🇯

October 29th | NFL Bet 🏈 #GoPackGo #KeepPounding Packers -2 (-130) 25% Boost- HR ——————————— 👇 Write Up The number is what I like most. The market sits at Packers -3.5 everywhere, and -2 is the same side with a much better price. Moving down to -2 means a 3-point Green Bay win now cashes instead of losing. Since 2010, home favorites of 3 to 4 points have won by exactly 3 about 9.9% of the time, more than any other margin. Every Packers win this season has been by 3 or more, and two were by exactly 3. With the 25% boost, -130 pays like roughly -104, so we need only about 51% to break even. The market implies we're closer to 58-60%. The matchup helps too. Green Bay's defense leads the league with 13 takeaways and 9 interceptions. Bryce Young just threw 3 turnovers, took 5 sacks and was benched in a 43-13 loss to Tampa. Now he's on the road against the best takeaway defense in the league with a patched line: Carolina is down to 7 healthy linemen, Jaelan Phillips is out, and the secondary has only 2 healthy corners. Then there's the run game. Green Bay's rushing offense is last in the NFL, but Carolina's run defense is also last at 153.2 yards per game and 5.16 per carry, with a league-high 11 rushing TDs allowed. Josh Jacobs gets a good matchup at home, and Jordan Love has the 4th-best passing offense (279.7 yards per game) with a clean, dry Lambeau night: about 50°F and no precipitation. #Gambling𝕏 | #NFL

October 29th | NFL Bet 🏈 #GoPackGo #KeepPounding 1U Josh Jacobs O 58.5 Rush Yds (-125) ——————————— Collab W / @BrickByBrick247 👇 Write Up Thursday Night Football gives us the best run matchup on the board. Carolina has the worst run defense in the NFL: 153.2 rush yards allowed per game, 5.16 per carry, and a league-high 11 rushing TDs allowed. They gave up 291 rushing yards to Chicago and 258 on 49 carries to Tampa Bay. The game script helps too. Green Bay is a 3.5-point home favorite with a team total around 26. Lambeau looks dry, in the upper 40s with light wind. A Packers team that is leading or tied at home is a team that runs the ball. Jaelan Phillips is out for Carolina, which takes away their top pass rusher and a big piece of their front. Jacobs has also done this to Carolina before. He's 2/2 over this number against them: 93 yards and 3 TDs in 2020, and 87 yards on 17 carries at Lambeau last November. Last season he cleared this number in 9 of 15 regular-season games. He's the clear lead back and the goal-line back, and he led Green Bay's backs in yards after contact last week at 2.73 per carry. ❤️ If Tailing #Gambling𝕏 | #NFL