Jayson Frascatore (@JaysonFras) header
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Data Analyst | Project Manager | I love to learn languages and learn about different cultures while teaching English all over the world | Overwatch player

NY-21 ✈️ FL-09
Joined April 2012
Photo by Jayson Frascatore (@JaysonFras)Photo by Jayson Frascatore (@JaysonFras)Photo by Jayson Frascatore (@JaysonFras)Photo by Jayson Frascatore (@JaysonFras)Photo by Jayson Frascatore (@JaysonFras)Photo by Jayson Frascatore (@JaysonFras)Photo by Jayson Frascatore (@JaysonFras)Photo by Jayson Frascatore (@JaysonFras)Photo by Jayson Frascatore (@JaysonFras)
Looking for accurate and more detailed results about Florida’s election? Follow along with my 2026 Florida Vote Tracker where you can find the latest results, forecasts, and trends. Updates occur at 11am, 3pm, 7pm, and 11pm eastern. jaysonfrascatore.github.io/F…
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AJC: Georgia shatters midterm early voting record Georgia voters shattered the state’s midterm record for in-person early voting Thursday, another sign of intense interest in an election that will set the battleground state’s political trajectory. ajc.com/politics/2026/10/geo…
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Earlier, Republicans had one of their best days In Person Early Vote turnouts so far at R+15.08. Naturally, Democrats were going to eat into it by 7pm. Based on trends, my estimate was around 12.7 points. Democrats ate into the R+15.08 margin by 4.36 points and knocked it down to R+10.67. jaysonfrascatore.github.io/F…
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Sorry for the typo, this should say “Earlier, Republicans had one of their best days in the In Person Early Vote turnout so far…”
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🗳️ Florida Vote By Mail + In Person Early Voting Update, October 29, 2026, 7:00pm. Republicans lead statewide by a little over 76,000 votes (R+1.79). This is essentially unchanged compared to 3pm. It moved toward Democrats by 0.004% (in the third decimal!!) Final numbers at 11pm with stragglers. 4.2 million ballots have been counted! Statewide Total Votes: 🔴 REP: 1,720,713 (40.36%) 🔵 DEM: 1,644,280 (38.57%) 🟣 OTHER: 898,604 (21.08%) 115,493 new VBM + IPEV ballots across 67 counties have been counted, with the largest update coming from Broward County. Latest Drop: 🔴 REP: +45,109 (39.06%) 🔵 DEM: +43,169 (37.38%) 🟣 OTHER: +27,215 (23.56%) 🟢 TOTAL: +115,493 🟢 Total Votes Statewide: 4,263,597 🔴 Republicans lead statewide by 76,433 votes, an increase of 1,940 votes compared to the previous lead. jaysonfrascatore.github.io/F…
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Turnout by Party Registration Democrats have a 9.86% lead over Republicans in voter turnout, a 0.26% increase compared to the previous update. 🔵 DEM: 40.78% turnout 🔴 REP: 30.92% turnout 🟣 OTHER: 23.50% turnout Increase by party: 🔵 DEM: +1.07% 🔴 REP: +0.81% 🟣 OTHER: +0.71%
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Top 3 Largest Updates 🥇 🔵 Broward County 🔵 DEM: +6,659 (49.89%) 🟣 OTHER: +3,793 (28.42%) 🔴 REP: +2,896 (21.70%) 🟢 TOTAL: +13,348 🥈 🔴 Miami-Dade County 🔴 REP: +4,183 (36.34%) 🔵 DEM: +3,974 (34.52%) 🟣 OTHER: +3,355 (29.14%) 🟢 TOTAL: +11,512 🥉 🔵 Hillsborough County 🔵 DEM: +3,505 (42.28%) 🔴 REP: +2,653 (32%) 🟣 OTHER: +2,132 (25.72%) 🟢 TOTAL: +8,290 #FlaPol #Midterms2026 #FLSen #FLGov
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Former Trump admin official Jeremy Carl is "bearish on the GOP's results in early voting" in Florida
Replying to @InsiderPolling
I have been pretty bearish on the GOP's results in early voting. I have tracked early voting in Florida extremely closely. Barring a hugely unexpected failure to turn out on election day, we will not lose Governor or Senate there (though either could be close)
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Jayson Frascatore retweeted
🚨@InsideElections shifts OVER 40 RACES toward Dems🚨 #CO05/#FL22/#KY06/#MI04/#MT01/#PA01/#TX35 ➡️ TOSS-UP #AL02/#NV02/#SC01/#VA01 ➡️ TILT R #AZ06/#CO08/#FL14/#FL25/#NC01/#NC11/#OH07/#OH09/#PA10/#TX15/#VA02/#WI03 ➡️ TILT D #AZ02/#MN01/#OH10/#OH15/#TX09/#VA05/#WI01 ➡️ LEAN R
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CBS News: Trump’s rally in Dubuque, Iowa set for Sunday has been canceled and replaced with a tele-rally.
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Mark Halperin: Most Republicans have privately conceded that the Senate races in Ohio, Kansas, and North Carolina are lost for them.
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Sumter County turnout by party: 🔵57.8% 🔴46.9% 🟣37.5% Diff: 🔵D+10.9
Sumter County becomes the first county to have over 45% turnout. They are current at 46.8% Live Turnout. This is home to The Villages.
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Sumter County will still be Safe Republican, but the turnout gap by party just shows the extent of how depressed the Republican turnout is across the state.
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While Republicans are at an almost R+2 lead statewide right now, I wanted to look at the Turnout by Party Diff. It is truly unbelievable at this stage of In Person Early Voting to see Democrats with almost a 10 point lead in turnout by party registration. You can find more of this data on the new "More Splits" tab. jaysonfrascatore.github.io/F…
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