Jonas retweeted
The wait is over!
Introducing... 🥁
Bitcoin Quantile Model v2.
You’re going to want to bookmark this post—and follow for regular model updates.
After months of research and development, I’m very proud of this model—my flagship quantile framework.
I’m confident it’s one of the best—if not the best—long-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available.
As a full-time, unpaid Bitcoin researcher, I’m often asked how people can best support my free content.
Simply bookmark, repost, and comment on my posts :)
Thanks for all your continued support!
— PlanC
Key Features & Improvements:
1. Quantile lines never cross—mathematically impossible.
2. Cycle-length agnostic.
3. 133,000+ data points and 1,500 lines of code.
4. Fits and stores 999 quantile levels (τ = 0.001–0.999 in 0.001 steps) and identifies which level the last price is closest to.
5. Fits the two leading decay functions (stretched exponential decay & exponential decay) and selects the better fit via quantile-appropriate AIC.
Uses Akaike weights to identify the best-supported model.
Akaike weights (AIC-based):
Stretched exponential decay: 96.4%
Exponential decay: 3.6%
6. Piecewise Quantile Regression — Linear + Stretched Exponential Decay (Nonlinear).
Jonas retweeted
🚨 New report launch: The Bitcoin Checkpoint
Get 43 full-page insights here👉 tinyurl.com/btc-checkpoint.
Bitcoin’s market structure has fundamentally changed this cycle, and in this report, we break down exactly how. Here's what we cover:
- Price Performance: Why chopsolidation has defined this cycle.
- Supply Dynamics: What an institutional Bitcoin supply breakdown looks like.
- Capital Flows & Sentiment: How $1T+ in value has been entrusted to Bitcoin.
- Sell-Side Pressure: How the market has absorbed tens of billions in sell-side.
- The Extraordinary ETFs: Which have reshaped the supply and demand balance.
- Derivatives & Leverage: What lies in store as derivatives explode in size.
Proudly produced alongside @unchained.
Get it here👉 tinyurl.com/btc-checkpoint.
Jonas retweeted
Not a single bottom in the history of #Bitcoin actually looked like a bottom but more like a fully broken structure like in 2015, or 2018.
Buying very big for the long term, I dont care for short term price movements. Iam ready to hold two or three years.
See you in 2024
Jonas retweeted
We built an AI creative team that turns a sentence into a full video.
The waitlist is live.
Sign up now👇
Today we’re introducing you to the future of video.
The world’s first Creative Operating System, we call it the HeyGen Video Agent.
Upload a doc, some footage, or even just a sentence.
It analyzes your input.
Finds the story.
Writes the script with taste.
Selects the shots or generates the footage.
Casts your actor.
And edits everything… Pacing. Motion. Captions.
An entire creative team built to tell your story.
Whether it’s ads, TikToks, short films, product demos, or any other idea you’re dreaming up.
Join the waitlist below. 👇
Jonas retweeted
Introducing Deep Research on Perplexity.
Deep Research lets you generate in-depth research reports on any topic.
Available to everyone for free—up to 5 queries per day for non-subscribers and 500 queries per day for Pro users.
Jonas retweeted
JUST IN: 🇨🇭The Swiss creator of ProtonMail launches a #Bitcoin wallet that's opensource and self-custody to its 100 million customers.
Jonas retweeted
Some good news for the EU, Norway, Iceland, Liechtenstein, and Switzerland—
You now have video and screensharing in Advanced Voice in the ChatGPT mobile app.
Jonas retweeted
"Comprehensive and clear regulatory framework" led by @HesterPeirce
Bullish on regulators who engage with their industry 🐂
Jonas retweeted
Introducing BNB Agents 🤖
Your Binance Smart Chain Hub for AI Agents
🔗 Built on the open operating system for AI: BNB Agents OS
💎 Fueled by the one currency for all AI: $BNBAI
⚡ Deploy, 🤝 Trade, and 🧠 Manage tokenized AI Agents—on a platform that puts you in control!
Jonas retweeted
Binance Wallet X CreatorBid campaign is live! 🪂
8,000,000 $BID token rewards await in this special campaign (ONLY VIA MOBILE) with @BinanceWallet.
-> SWAP $AGENT
-> Become a member (lock tokens in Memberships)
-> Complete social tasks
Join the link below VA MOBILE to participate:
👉 binance.com/en/web3-campaign…
Jonas retweeted
If you follow my work, you will eventually encounter my framework for Top Heavy Markets & bear market risks
Onchain data lets us visualise cost basis clusters, enabling analysis of how much Bitcoin is at risk of falling into loss
My latest piece on the framework is linked below
Jonas retweeted
LIVE NOW -- AI ROLLUP #6
This week @cryptopunk7213 & @TrustlessState walk us through the hottest AI trends to expect in 2025👇
[TIMESTAMPS]
00:00 Intro
02:31 What's The Big Deal? (h/t @bankrbot)
06:03 Utility Tools To Use (h/t @cookiedotfun, @_kaitoai)
09:19 Evaluating AI Agents (h/t @griffaindotcom)
12:18 Is This a Cycle Play?
20:55 Goals For Q2 + Q3
28:38 AI Mindshare (h/t @0xNairolf)
37:00 Agent Threatens @notthreadguy
42:51 DeFAI (h/t @0xjeff)
49:09 Agent Engines (h/t @askthehive_ai, @blocknewsdotcom, @pastagotsauce, @templecrash)
1:00:51 AI x Gaming (h/t @AshConnell, @hyperfury_ai, @chrislatorres, @dankvr, @ARCAgents, @KieranWarwick)
1:18:50 Agents Are Not Just LLM Wrappers (h/t @0xCygaar)
1:24:35 @arcdotfun (h/t @0thTachi)
1:28:42 @dolos_diary (h/t @khouuba)
1:32:06 @vvaifudotfun
Jonas retweeted
Americans pay a 3% tax on every transaction because Visa and Mastercard have a regulation protected duopoly.
End this now.
Allow stablecoin legislation so new payment methods can compete.
It's 2025 - Americans should be able to pay for things without a 3% monopoly tax.
Jonas retweeted
BREAKING: The largest influencers on X including @wallstreetbets, @GoingParabolic, and @aixbt_agent are all posting about the #1 Bitcoin memecoin $DOG
Jonas retweeted
Petition for @aixbt_agent to change its PFP to the #1 Bitcoin memecoin $DOG for 24 hours
(it is estimated that doing so would generate millions of impressions for aixbt on X and increase its follower count by 25K in just 24 hours)
✏️ Repost to sign
Jonas retweeted
New Article:
Zerebro, the Agent that Bootstrapped Itself to Become an Ethereum Validator
Zerebro is opening the agentic validator future
mirror.xyz/tint.eth/08_MNp8P…































