JustDimes

🏆 2026 AFL Season Results 🏆 The 2026 AFL Season comes to a dramatic close, so it only makes sense to recap what it was for us on the page. +48.66u to close the season I will more than be pleased with, especially with where that number was for the vast majority of the season. Really started moving along once all the Bye Rounds concluded in RD17. Tinkered with the way I approached betting and it really paid dividends in the back-end of the season. Our MPP for the season was Shaun Mannagh, where we really capitalised on his midfield run in those last few weeks 🐐. His efforts also made a strong contribution to making Geelong our Most Profitable Team throughout the season as well, earning +23u from the Cats, with some help from the likes of Jack Henry and Blicavs where we banged on massive goal prices for each of them a couple times 🐱 🔥 And finally to close, RD21 ended up being the most profitable RD for the season. We cashed out a handful of value that week, with some Goalscorers such as Blics ($3.9), Harvey Johnston ($4) and Billy Dowling ($4) all finding the big sticks for us, whilst others like Jarman Impey and Marcus Herbert racked up the pill from HB and cashed their 30+ props for us ($3.08/$5.2 respectively). 🐷 💰 I’ll leave the spreadsheet link in my Twitter bio for the next few weeks if anyone wants to see it. Has every bet tracked alongside a bunch of notes scattered there throughout the season. Thanks to everyone for tailing and showing love to the page for yet another season! Few weeks until NBA tips off, see y’all there! ❤️ 🪙

Recap: 1u - Hartenstein ✅ 0.25u - Hartenstein 7+ ($6.5)❌ 1u - Deni✅ 1u - Wagner✅ 1u - Drummond✅ 1u - Peterson✅ 1u - SGA❌ (+4.22u) Season: +10.9u📈ROI: +11.6%📊 Good day in the office for us. A sweep was very well on the cards if that margin was closer in the OKC-POR game. Happy with all the reads in this one. Back in the lab now for tomorrow!

1u - Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o32.5 PTS ($1.80 SB) Can you tell that I'm really bankng on this matchup to be a close outing? Anyway, probably one of the best matchups for SGA here vs POR. Ranking 25th against Pull-Ups (68% of SGA's PTS converted from), alongside 4TH highest FREQ% to Pull-Ups, a team that not only plays single coverage in majority of their defensive scheme, but also a deep drop coverage in PnR with Clingan, makes the perfect recipe for SGA today. Because of their defensive identity, we see teams are forced to lean onto their stars far more, to which we've seen plenty of them take advantage. Below are just some names from their L4 games who've performed vs POR: Wemby: 29PTS, 9-13FGA (24MINS) Doncic: 53PTS, 17-33FGA Booker: 33PTS, 9-19FGA Jamal Murray: 39PTS, 10-19FGA As mentioned prior, this being a close game really is the deciding factor for SGA here, as that last quarter run is crucial for SGA to give us a far better chance here, as it is for most overs. If he does get that crunch time run, very confident in him here. ❤️IF YOU'RE TAILING THIS PLAY!

1u - Darryn Peterson o25.5 PA ($1.83 SB) No JJJ, George or Markkanen, alongside Collier and Sensabaugh starting on the bench means that DP is going to take a heap of the usage for a good portion of the game, with so much ball-handling duties swinging his way. Coming off his best game so far in his rookie campaign, and Coach Hardy noting it as "The most comfortable he's looked", now rolls into a fantastic matchup vs MIA. MIA allow the most PA to his position, rank 27# at guarding Pull-Ups (47% of his PTS), allow the most ASTS in the league and are ranked #3 in Pace this season. All of those are going to heavily benefit DP here. ❤️IF YOU'RE CATCHING THIS LATE MAIL!

Recap: 1u - Wiggins ✅ 0.75u - Edey❌ 1u - Nembhard✅ 1u - Oso❌ 1u - Bridges❌ (-0.55u) Season: +6.65u📉ROI: +7.6%📊 Little loss today. Wasn't able to watch much of it today but expected a bit more from the PHX cohort. Edey falling just short of a DD, was hoping for a few more min for the big today. At least the savior of ball and Nembhard helped salvage this day a bit. Expect tomorrow's picks to come out a similar time as today.

Recap: 0.75u - Sharpe ($2.9) ✅ 0.35u - Sharpe 7+/10+❌ 1u - Traore✅ 1u - Trey❌ 1u - Wagler❌ 1u - LaMelo✅ (+0.72u) Season: +7.2u📈ROI: +8.7%📊 Pretty much get back what we lost yesterday. Nice reads with Sharpe, Traore and Lamelo. Wagler just super efficient, with Trey really being the only bad read, got far more volume today.

✅ Clears both lines in this one with the volume to show for it as well. Lamelo Ball o20.5 PTS ✅

1u - LaMelo Ball o20.5 PTS ($1.90 TAB) Fine with 21.5 also Starts in 5MINS. Great spot for LaMelo here. A slow start in the season but his L5 games averaging 22PG, which includes a 10PT outing thanks to major foul trouble. UTA ranked dead last at guarding PnR Ball-Handlers, and bottom 10 at guarding shots above the break, both great for someone like LaMelo. Basic writeup but left this incredibly late. See this as a nice spike game for the Ball brother. ❤️IF YOU'RE TAILING THIS PLAY!

❌ Goes 2-5 from deep in a blowout win. Did get the Clingan matchup when the minutes of Wemby, Castle and Clingan intertwined, but Castle not trigger happy from deep with the matchup, putting himself in more handoff/off ball screening actions. Stephen Castle 3+ 3PM ❌

0.75u - Stephon Castle 3+ 3PM ($3.1 PB) Matchup-based to where I believe that the Blazers will plant Clingan to start on Castle, much like other teams such as OKC, HOU, SAC have in their matchups vs SAS, where their Center matches up on Castle and lets him have free reign from outside. Did see this happen a lot in their playoff matchups last season, and the likes of Camara of Holiday guarded Wemby. Obviously that was during Thiago Splitter's reign as their HC, to now that belongs to Micah Nori. However I think in this situation, we could see a similar scheme today, despite Wemby (28.6%) actually shooting worse from 3 this year than Castle (32.3%). Volume has been abundant for Castle from deep when teams have matched their Center on him (3-9 vs HOU, 3-8 vs SAC first meeting). I'm happy to play it by the numbers here. ❤️IF YOU'RE TAILING THIS PLAY!