Director of defense and foreign policy studies, @CatoFP. Review wines at @WinesFromLatAm.
Washington, DC
Joined April 2013
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Asking again: Is President Trump committed to a regime change war in Iran after the midterms, or is the candidate for Israeli prime minister he just endorsed speaking out of turn?
Justin Logan retweeted
At some level, this stupid conflict really is, at its base, just the last boomer war, risking the lives of young Americans to soothe their generational trauma.
Reagan had enough sense to push away from the table and stop throwing good money after bad. Trump should do the same.
Justin Logan retweeted
@CatoFP's @JustinTLogan debated Hugh Hewitt on the cost of the Iran war ahead of the midterm elections on @dcexaminer’s WEX NOW podcast.
Watch the full debate here:
cato.org/multimedia/media-hi…
Justin Logan retweeted
Interesting to see leading Democrats propose “a formal no-surprises policy… under which allies would receive advance notice of U.S. redeployments and have a voice on potential troop withdrawals, if not a veto.” foreignpolicy.com/2026/10/21…
If President Trump had come into office and opened the borders, pushed amnesty legislation, etc, would the anti-immigration types who backed him on the campaign trail be more openly critical of that decision than anti-Iran War types have been, the same amount, or less?
71%more
25%same
4%less
24 votes • Final resultsFormer (?) neocons turning their sights on their quondam comrades.
Major revelation here from @Timodc on the Mike and Kristi Rogers scandal.
We reported that she was Paul Bremer’s press aid in Iraq and that he traveled there frequently as a married member of Congress. He divorced his first wife in 2007 and married Kristi in 2010. Rogers joined the Intel committee in 2005.
In 2006, Kristi launched the U.S. subsidiary of Aegis, a defense contractor, which quickly started getting massive contracts.
Tim Miller adds a key detail: Kristi Clemens was Rogers’ finance director for his 2000 campaign. So they knew each other this entire time.
Rogers and his wife threatened to sue us over our first story. We stand by our reporting.
Justin Logan retweeted
So we took a strait that was open and turned it into a strait that requires permanent U.S. military presence to be sort of open at a higher cost. Is this a win?
While nearly everyone else was declaring the Battle of Hormuz lost, we at @FDD were calling this outcome for months.
Never underestimate @CENTCOM, @centcomcdr, or the extraordinary men and women of the U.S. military.
Justin Logan retweeted
“If not a veto”
Since when is the U.S. in the habit of giving allies a veto over decisions that affect U.S. national interests? If policymakers decide it is in the best interests of the U.S. to reduce posture, they should do it, regardless of what allies want.
Interesting to see leading Democrats propose “a formal no-surprises policy… under which allies would receive advance notice of U.S. redeployments and have a voice on potential troop withdrawals, if not a veto.” foreignpolicy.com/2026/10/21…
Justin Logan retweeted
While nearly everyone else was declaring the Battle of Hormuz lost, we at @FDD were calling this outcome for months.
Never underestimate @CENTCOM, @centcomcdr, or the extraordinary men and women of the U.S. military.
Interesting to see leading Democrats propose “a formal no-surprises policy… under which allies would receive advance notice of U.S. redeployments and have a voice on potential troop withdrawals, if not a veto.” foreignpolicy.com/2026/10/21…
Justin Logan retweeted
COMING OCTOBER 29: I'm launching a new economics podcast for the @CatoInstitute called The Economics of It.
Subscribe now to ensure you receive the first episode with @Kalshi CEO @mansourtarek_ direct to your feed.
Links to channels in next tweet.
Are there any advertisers left beyond boner pills and online gambling?
A scoop from me: CBS-owned local stations' election coverage will be sponsored by DraftKings, a deal that has stirred concern inside the company. status.news/p/cbs-draftkings…
The mainstream media was so impervious to skepticism about the Iraq War that a group of international relations professors paid for an ad laying out the case against the war. Open letters have their place.
Back in 2009 I pulled together a similar letter on the folly of surging in Afghanistan. politico.com/blogs/ben-smith…
Justin Logan retweeted
Remember what I previously said--Obama will someday attack Iran in order to show how tough he is.
Justin Logan retweeted
Remember that I predicted a long time ago that President Obama will attack Iran because of his inability to negotiate properly-not skilled!
On why we shouldn’t provide Article 5 or “Article 5-like” security guarantees, read @Le_Shif and me: foreignaffairs.com/united-st…
Zelensky says the latest US peace proposal includes security guarantees for Ukraine modelled on NATO’s Article 5 collective defence clause, and that American envoy Steve Witkoff will present the document to Russia (tomorrow).
“We have discussed security guarantees, and I’m grateful to the American side for emphasising once again that they will be strong,” Zelensky said following talks in Oslo.
“We discussed NATO, Article 5 and Article 5-like guarantees. Different types of security guarantees are included in the document, which Steve will share with the Russians, and we will hear their feedback.”
I’m not sure I understand the argument here. If, for example, the US reduced military assistance to Ukraine to the levels provided in 1994 when Budapest was signed, that would amount to “coercion”?
In the 1994 Budapest memorandum, under which Ukraine agreed to become a non-nuclear state, the U.S. didn’t commit to defending Ukraine. But it did commit to respecting its sovereignty and territorial integrity, and to “refrain from any economic coercion” that could undermine this territorial integrity. Any U.S. pressure on Ukraine to cede land to Russia would directly contravene these written obligations.
