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K-man retweeted
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Analysis by @Vulgi @forexflowlive @kvanderschrick #TRADING #TRADINGANALYTIX #MARKETS
K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #AUDNZD taps another big figure.
The kiwi has seen a bit of a bounce after the weekend election stalemate turned into a slim coalition government.
That helped AUDNZD through 1.23 briefly this morning.
The 1.2280/90's have been an area of support and resistance over the last few months, with the odd extension too.
The bounce thus far is finding res around 1.23220/30.
There's 1.2355 and 1.2370 after that.
Next support back below 1.2280 is from 1.2270 down to the 50.0 of the Aug move at 1.2257.
There's been former resistance there earlier this year.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #EURUSD pings off the 1.1130 level.
The 50.0 of the 2025 move at 1.1130 has held a test and bounced as USD faces some early European selling.
Whether it's USD risk off reversing after Trump ruled out strikes on Iran, or just some squaring from Friday's data we don't know but what we do know, is that we're still not ready to break the range.
Will we test 1.12? Probably.
Will we break it? Answers on a postcard.
Look for 1.1160 & 70 for signs they're support again.
Look for 1.1220 & 40 to be resistance if we do move back above 1.12.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: Rallies in Brent #oil are still finding sellers.
Trump is keeping oil markets in hopium mode after saying no new strikes are likely if talks with Iran progress.
However, those comments have not been enough to see oil to new lows, so the market is back to waiting for that progress to bear fruit, or not.
We're still above last week's low and 94.90/95.00 area, and holding below the 100/101 area, and that's likely to be our range until the next new headline.
For now, the path of least resistance is down, so the support is more at risk from a drift lower than the upside on a drift higher.
93.50's-30, 93.00 then 92.50 are the next minor support levels.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: 7390 looks the key pivot point in #SPX
Rallies above and dips below aren't holding, so we're turning about the level more and more.
7435 remains the sticking point for said rallies and 7450/60 after that.
Dips should be watched at 7350, and more importantly at 7320 before the 7300 level.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #GBPUSD held 1.3343/50 support from where it bounces at the start of the week. Trading around the 38.2 of the year's range at 1.3416/17, overcoming and holding this would open a path back to 1.34740/75 , portentially 1.3500/05 where it capped last week. 1.3380 first intraday level to monitor on setbacks ahead of the recent low.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: Helped by a smalls weaker #USD this morning, #AUDUSD has recovered to the broken TL, 0.6900/10 zone of interest. Still very much looking at how risk, specifically #SPX trades, further developments will depend on it. Get through this area, 0.6935 up to 55 will be next to monitor, which needs clearance to move back closer to 0.70. A failure in turn would have the pair look down to the recent lows, 50% of the whole rally at 0.6850 and March '26 0.6835..
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: Holding 4025/30 despite the strong #USD on Friday's jobs report could be seen as mildly positive for #XAUUSD .
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K-man retweeted
Is The Tech Trade Dead?
The Week Ahead viseo is out!
youtube.com/watch?v=7wIpSih2…
Get ready for what markets are going to bring us this week.
K-man retweeted
Are you smart enough to guess the #US #NFP number this week?
Guesses only on this tweet.
forexanalytix.com/blog/are-y…
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #USDMXN is trading right above 18.51/55 going into today's #Banxico interest rate decision. The overall expectations are for a hold at 6.50% with a small minority seeing a potential additional 25bps cut. Data haven't really supported an extra move right here and now which, barring a surprise, should let USDMXN continue to trade on the back of risk and techs. A break under 18.50 would bring 18.43/44 into play with a bit of a gap under there if it'd let go down to 18.13/20. Another cofirmation of current support will reinforce the past week's range with the topside coming in just below 19. Intermediate level of interest 18.69/70.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #BOE's rate decision today. The way they bring it to markets should decide upon whether #EURGBP restests, potentially breaks back above 0.8360 for a grind back to 0.8400 or continues its downward path into 0.8295/8315 or even lower if we'd get a more hawkish decision than the insurance 25bps hike the market is expecting.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: It's #BOE day. A 25 bps hike is pretty nailed on taking rates to 4%, the question is of which kind. A 7-2 vote is expected, together with comments referring to it being an inflation driven, insurance move. Deviating from the scenario should be the better mover for #GBPUSD and #GBP in general. Get a more hawkish picture 1.3500/05 will be retested once more, potentially triggering an additional climb into 1.3560/70 or 90 on a break. 4% will also keep GBP in the relative high yielder bracket. But Bailey could dampen the market's further hikes expectations in which case a return sub 1.3440/50 would see the pair trade back closer to 1.3405/15. #USD pairs mostly trading in a range right now should let GBP move pretty freely on the back of the decision.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: Germany must be booming as the #DAX hits a new ATH.
It's actually in the same boat as the FTSE regarding flows but it is outperforming some of its European neighbours, relative to their highs.
We might have made new highs but we're not yet holding above the prior highs, so some caution is needed.
26450/70's is where dips have already found support, and that might need to continue.
If not, it's 26180.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: The #FTSE is testing the top.
It looks like UK stocks are feeling some rotation love post the US mid terms.
We're a few ticks shy of the summer ATHs and we could be heading for a leg up if those are taken out.
Dips back to 10830 need to hold but it will look more bullish if support has built at 10900/890.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #USDJPY stays stuck in range.
158.70/80 still caps rallies, as does 158.45/50/60 when back below those levels.
157.80's holds the modest dips.
The broader range of 157-159 remains active in lower volatility, with 156-156.50 acting on higher vol.
The key price action here is that we're more willing to break down harder and faster than breaking up.
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K-man retweeted
UK/EU Session Update: #EURUSD keeps knocking on the door.
Not backing off from the resistance area.
Maybe tomorrow's NFP can finally unlock the range.
1.1300, 1.1320/25, 1.1340/50's come next if it can.
1.1215-00 is the support if it can't.
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