Lower League Analyst

Boreham Wood have topped our last two Saturday 4-folds and won both. 4-0 against Fylde, then 4-3 against Hartlepool on Saturday at 1.31. That's a lot of sweat for a leg we had at a 76% win chance. The model has backed them 12 times since April and they've won 11. When a leg's that strong it goes on the slip first and I build the rest round it. Who's the one team you never leave off your acca?

Nothing new on the board this morning, and nothing midweek either. None of Tuesday or Wednesday's 13 games got to 7 out of 10, so none of them go on a slip. Saturday's 4-fold is empty for now. Its legs land over the next few mornings as the midweek results come in. It's a short Saturday in the league with three 12:30s, and those stay off the slip. 2 in 3 of our picks win (69%). 14 days free, no card. lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Empty board this morning. None of Tuesday or Wednesday night's 13 games got to 7.0 out of 10, so I'm not putting any midweek legs on a slip. Yesterday's 4-fold went 3 from 4. Boreham Wood, Boro and Stockport did the job and Barrow drawing 1-1 with Eastleigh sank it. Saturday is next. Those numbers go final once the midweek games are played, so Saturday's legs should start landing on the board from Thursday morning. 14 days free, no card. 2 in 3 of our picks win (69%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Last Saturday our picks went 5 from 6. Boreham Wood put four past Fylde, Harrogate won 3-1, and Reading, Wolves and Huddersfield all got it done. Boston won on Tuesday too, so that's 6 from 7 for the week. Saturday's board is out. Eight picks at 3pm and our 4-fold takes the four strongest. Free leg is Boreham Wood again, at home to Hartlepool. 76% to win on our numbers. The other three legs are on the board. 14 days free, no card. lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

No new picks this morning, so Saturday's 4-fold stands as it was: four legs, all 3pm, about 1 in 5 (22%) on our numbers. The free leg is still Boreham Wood at home to Hartlepool, 76% to win. The other three are locked. There are two 12:30s on the board as well and I've left both out of the slip. That's the kick-off that kills your acca before the 3pm games have even started. Tuesday night's numbers go final once Saturday's results are in, so those legs start landing from Sunday morning. 14 days free, no card. 2 in 3 of our picks win (69%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Two more picks went on Saturday's board this morning, and one of them went straight into the 4-fold. The free leg stays Boreham Wood at home to Hartlepool, 3pm. Top of the National League, unbeaten at home and letting in under a goal a game. We make it 76% to win, 8.6 out of 10, and it was 1.31 when it went out. Four legs, all 3pm, so no 12:30 to kill your slip before the main event. All four land together about 1 in 5 (22%) on our numbers. Four home wins picked at random come in about 1 in 28. Three more legs on the board, 14 days free, no card. 2 in 3 of our picks win (69%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Yesterday Saturday's 4-fold came in about 1 in 11 (9%). Today it's about 1 in 5 (21%), and it's still four legs, all 3pm. Two stronger legs joined the board this morning and pushed out the two weakest. Those two were 56% and 42% to win on our numbers. The two that replaced them are 76% and 70%. That's where most accas go wrong. You want a fourth or fifth leg, you grab a 42% shot to get there, and that one leg cuts the whole slip's chance by more than half. What's the weakest leg you've let into an acca this season?

Two more legs joined Saturday's 4-fold this morning, and one of them is our new free leg. Boreham Wood at home to Hartlepool, 3pm. Top of the National League against 20th, and Boreham Wood have won their last five. We make it 76% to win, 8.6 out of 10, and it was 1.31 when it went out. Still four legs, all 3pm, so no early kick-off to ruin your afternoon. All four land together about 1 in 5 (21%) on our numbers. Four home wins picked at random come in about 1 in 28. Three more legs on the board, 14 days free, no card. 2 in 3 of our picks win (69%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Boston United got the job done last night, 2-1 against Gateshead at 1.53. Saturday's 4-fold is four legs now, all 3pm, so there's no 12:30 game to sink it before the rest have kicked off. The free leg is Middlesbrough at home to Charlton. Boro are top, Charlton are 19th, and Boro haven't lost at home all season. We make it 65% to win, 7.8 out of 10, and it was 1.31 when it went out. All four together come in about 1 in 11 (9%). 2 in 3 of our picks win (69%). Three legs on the board behind a 14-day free trial, no card. lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Two of Saturday's picks kick off at 12:30, and neither of them is in our 4-fold. The early game is the leg that ruins your afternoon. It's done by twenty past two, and if it loses you're sat watching the 3pm games with a slip that can't pay you a penny. So our 4-fold is four legs, all 3pm, and you find out the lot together just before 5. Do you still stick the 12:30 in yours?

Saturday's 4-fold is full. Four legs, all 3pm, and the fourth one joined the board this morning. Free leg: Middlesbrough at home to Charlton, 3pm. Top of the Championship against 19th, and Boro have won 3 of the last 5 meetings. We make it 65% to win, 7.8 out of 10, and it was 1.31 when it went out. All four land together about 1 in 11 (9%) on our numbers. Four home wins picked at random come in about 1 in 28. Three more legs on the board, 14 days free, no card. 2 in 3 of our picks win (68%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Saturday's 4-fold is three legs in, all 3pm. The free one is Middlesbrough at home to Charlton. Top of the Championship against 19th, and Boro are putting 8.6 shots on target a game. We make it 65% to win, 7.8 out of 10, and it was 1.31 when it went out. The three together come in about 1 in 4 (23%). Tonight's round can add a fourth leg once the numbers are final. The other two legs are on the board behind a 14-day free trial, no card.

Four 4-folds settled since we went acca first. Every one of them finished 3 from 4. Leicester lost 3-1 at home to Peterborough. Southampton drew 0-0 with Bolton. Barnet lost 3-1 at home to Swindon on the Tuesday night, then drew 1-1 with Oldham on Saturday. So 12 of the 16 legs won and none of the 4-folds landed. Each one went in at between about 1 in 5 and 1 in 7, and that's what a 4-fold does to you. One leg goes and the slip's dead. Barnet owe me two accas. 2 in 3 of our picks win (68%).

Saturday's 4-fold has three legs on the board so far, all 3pm. No 12:30 in there to ruin your afternoon. The three land together about 1 in 4 (23%) on our numbers. There's a big round Tuesday night, so more legs can join once those numbers are final. Every leg you add roughly halves it. One leg's free on the board, the other two are locked. 14 days free, no card. 2 in 3 of our picks win (68%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Saturday's 4-fold is three legs in, all 3pm. A fourth could join once this week's midweek games are done. Free leg: Middlesbrough to beat Charlton. Top v 19th, Boro haven't lost at home all season, and we've got them winning 65% of the time (7.8 out of 10). The three so far land together about 1 in 4 (23%). The other two are locked, 14 days free. Who's your fourth leg? lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Two of next Saturday's picks kick off at 12:30. Neither goes in the 4-fold. The early game is the leg that ruins your afternoon. It goes 1-1, your acca's dead by quarter past two, and you're watching the 3pm scores for nothing. Both our 12:30s won yesterday, so they're decent picks. I'd still rather have all four legs live at 3pm. Early kick-off in your acca or not? lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Boreham Wood 4-0 AFC Fylde. Top leg of Saturday's 4-fold. It went out on Saturday 17th, a full week before kick-off. 8.2 out of 10, the highest score on the board, 63% win chance, 1.37 at release. They came into it top of the National League with five straight wins and unbeaten at home. Shame Barnet couldn't do the same. Next Saturday's top leg is Middlesbrough to beat Charlton at 3pm, 65% win chance. 2 in 3 of our picks win (68%).

Saturday's board is out. Six picks went out this morning, and three of them are 3pm Saturday legs for the 4-fold. No early kick-off to ruin your afternoon. The three so far land together about 1 in 4 (23%). More legs can join as the week's numbers become final, and each one you add roughly halves it. Free leg: Middlesbrough to beat Charlton, Saturday 3pm. 65% win chance on our numbers, 7.8 out of 10. Boro are top of the Championship, unbeaten at home, and averaging 8.6 shots on target a game to Charlton's 3.6. The other two legs are locked. 14 days free, no card. 2 in 3 of our picks win (68%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…

Saturday's 4-fold went 3 from 4. That's four settled since we went acca first, and all four have finished 3 from 4. Boreham Wood 4-0 Fylde, won Reading 2-1 Barnsley, won Wolves 1-0 Watford, won Barnet 1-1 Oldham, lost Barnet were the weakest leg on our numbers at 54%, and that's the one that went. Add a fifth leg and you've just given yourself another Barnet. Huddersfield and Harrogate won the early games too, so 5 from 6 on the day. 2 in 3 of our picks win (68%). lowerleagueanalyst.co.uk/?ut…