LP retweeted
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LP retweeted
$BTC
When applying the anchored VWAPs within this current cycle, each local bottom has formed after price tapped the VWAP anchored from the previous local low.
Recently, BTC tapped the VWAP from the 75K bottom, which has historically marked the end of each corrective phase within this cycle. That suggests the current low may already be in, setting up the next leg higher.
Each impulse this cycle has been around 20% smaller than the last. Following that pattern, we could see roughly a 40% move higher from here, putting BTC around 160K at the next major top.
LP retweeted
$BTC
Local bottom signal.
Each time RSI tapped into this zone over the past months, it marked a local bottom followed by a leg higher. We're right back in that same region again.
Unless we see a clear breakdown beneath 100k, this looks like a classic reload zone before the next move higher.
LP retweeted
$BTC HTF Bullish Scenario
We filled 50% of the wick yesterday — exactly what I’ve been calling for since Sunday.
From here, I see two bullish paths:
Scenario 1: Slow chop back toward the upside, forming an Adam & Eve double bottom with the Monthly Open as the neckline. Key bounce zone: 102.6–103K.
Scenario 2: Push lower to sweep the wick — potentially dip below 100K — before resuming up.
Weekly close below 98K = invalidation.
LP retweeted
$ETH
24 days ago I called for the drop from 4700-3800.
The blue box and fibs weren’t drawn at random — they marked the exact bottom before ETH rallied back to 4700. hope you bought.
Now sitting around 4300, it’s time for the October prediction.
25 likes and ill post it. ✔️
Noti's on if you don't want to miss it. 🔔
$ETH
BOOM. ✔️
called for this drop from 4700 - 3800 2 weeks ago.
although I called for a sweep of the equal lows before the expansion (we didn't get it) and miss called the top by 50$. I think overall we did a pretty good job. September end is right around the corner. Should I do one for October?
FYI: I moved the fib, blue box and the arc more towards the left so that it's right below price action. hasn't moved an inch up or down. Check quoted tweet
LP retweeted
$BTC – HTF update
The projection we laid out earlier this month has now been completed almost to the dollar. We got the push higher into the red zone around 117k–118k, followed by the expected rejection. ✔️
This move lined up perfectly with the FOMC window as well, which has consistently acted as a pivot point for local tops and bottoms throughout the year. The market once again respected that dynamic, showing that liquidity and narrative shifts around these dates remain one of the cleanest drivers of price action.
From here, the focus shifts to whether BTC can sustain momentum above the current zone or if the rejection deepens into the lower support levels. The path I’m watching is for a drift back toward the 110k–109k area. If that level holds, it can provide the base for another leg higher later in Q4. Lose it, and the bigger picture turns far more cautious heading into October.
Overall, the bias is no longer simply “up only” — the easy move has played out. Now it’s about managing the transition as momentum fades post-FOMC. The market rewarded patience this month, and I expect October will be a month where patience becomes even more important.
$btc #BTC #Bitcoin
September HTF plan – $BTC
there’s too much weight being put on seasonality right now. everyone is talking about September being weak and “uptober” being strong, but in my opinion that narrative is going to catch a lot of people off guard. the same people calling for 120k won’t get their levels, and the ones calling for sub-100k won’t get theirs either.
from where I stand, the cycle top is either already in or very close to being in. I don’t think we print a new ATH in September, and I also don’t think first half of October gives us one either. the next leg should stretch us into the 117k–118k area, and my expectation is that the peak lands on the 21st of September give or take a few days. (blue box tap isn’t necessary, but would be nice if we got it).
this leg higher will most likely come from the market pricing in rate cuts, which adds fuel in the short term but doesn’t change the bigger picture. after that push, I expect momentum to fade going into October — and I’ve already hinted at what I’m expecting then.
overall — bias remains higher into mid-month, but the bigger picture is caution. let’s see how the rest of September plays out.
$btc #bitcoin #btc
