C’est assez drôle que les causes de la défaite des républicains sont à la base les raisons de leur victoire en décembre 2024.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
En résumé, la guerre en Iran ;).
La chose la plus prévisible sur Terre 😂😂😂.
C’était le pire lancement de guerre possible.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
Netanyahou le souhaitait aussi.
Il s’agissait de la dernière année de ce versement qui avait été signé sous Obama en 2016.
Trump en profite pour les élections de mi-mandat.
Cela ne changera aucunement l’alliance. Je vous invite à lire la NDAA 2027 (section 224)
🔴 URGENT - Donald Trump annonce l'arrêt d'une aide militaire annuelle de 3,8 milliards de dollars à Israël
➡️ go.rfi.fr/Bu6
C’est une autiste cette bouffonne. À force de l’écouter, c’est très simple de la contre-argumenter en plus. Elle est méprisante, insupportable sur les tableaux, cela donne aucune envie de voter pour elle.
La question n’est pas la durée, mais son calendrier, c’est ici que ça bloque depuis le début.
Aucun des deux n’est prêt à faire les concessions en premier car il y a une méfiance structurelle entre les deux camps.
Et littéralement aucun signe de capitulation ou de concessions 🇮🇷
The results of the Trump administration’s economic asphyxiation strategy and @USTreasury sanctions against Iran are already here:
1- Oil exports have collapsed:
•Seaborne crude shipments have fallen from 1.5–2 million barrels per day to roughly 50,000, a decline of more than 95%.
• No loadings from Kharg Island since late August.
•CENTCOM estimates the U.S. blockade has cost Tehran at least $25 billion, compared with the $2–3 billion in monthly oil revenues Iran previously generated.
2- The rial is in free fall:
• The currency has lost more than half its value against the dollar in 2026, reaching 2.6–2.7 million rials per dollar on the parallel market, compared with roughly 1 million at the beginning of the year.
3- Inflation is soaring as the economy contracts: The IMF projects average inflation of 78.6% in 2026, compared with roughly 40% in 2025, while GDP is expected to shrink by 7.6%, a sharp reversal from the modest growth recorded in previous years.
Hello !
J’aimerai savoir s’il y a des personnes qui ont déjà réalisé des Master / MBA dans des universités étrangères dans les pays suivants : Suisse / US / Angleterre / Pays bas / Canada
Merci d’avance ;) n’hésitez pas à venir en dm svp, je suis à la recherche d’infos
Il est invité car ça attire du monde, c’est 100% business. Et d’ailleurs aujourd’hui malgré ses propos, de plus en plus de gens adhèrent à ce qu’il dit mais ne l’assument pas en public (trop extrême). Cela concorde parfaitement avec la montée de l’extrême droite en France.
🇫🇷📺 FLASH | Éric Zemmour, l’homme politique le plus condamné pour incitation à la haine, a été invité à SEPT REPRISES depuis septembre sur les trois principales chaînes d’information (CNews, LCI et BFMTV), dont quatre fois sur les antennes du groupe RMC-BFMTV. Une nouvelle invitation sur BFMTV, prévue le soir de l’attentat raciste de Trappes, a finalement été annulée IN EXTREMIS après de nombreuses réactions indignées. Mais il a été remplacé par deux profils assez similaires : Louis Sarkozy et l’élu RN Matthieu Vallet. (via Mediapart)
Et ça vient critiquer le régime iranien 😂😂😂
Information exclusive Blast : le Premier ministre a préparé la coupure des réseaux sociaux pour le 24 octobre
Deux jours avant la manifestation du 24 octobre, le Premier ministre Sébastien Lecornu a demandé à Orange, SFR, Free et Bouygues Telecom de se tenir prêts à couper l’accès à TikTok, Instagram ,Snapchat et X. Blast révèle la lettre et le compte rendu de la réunion qui a suivi, où les opérateurs ont exprimé leurs doutes. Le gouvernement avait déjà utilisée cette mesure liberticide en Nouvelle-Calédonie en 2024, avant d’être désavoué par le Conseil d’État.
Par @yanmdi.
blast-info.fr/articles/2026/…
Cnews pour moi, c’est littéralement la chaîne des plus gros abrutis de la France. Faut vraiment avoir un QI négatif juste pour aller sur cette chaîne.
🔴🇫🇷INTOX - Nouvelle manipulation sur #CNews : des images tournées en #Albanie ont été présentées comme celles de casseurs se changeant place d’Italie, à #Paris. Cette séquence intervient après plusieurs fausses informations diffusées ces derniers jours sur la chaîne d’extrême droite : un faux couple d’octogénaires dépouillé, des kalachnikovs attribuées à des émeutiers et des commerces juifs prétendument ciblés à Marseille. Des #intox démenties par le parquet, la police, la DGSI et le CRIF.
Quand ton homme passe littéralement son temps sur les plateaux TV a insulté / critiqué / mettre en cause / et clairement assumé des propos racistes envers les Noirs / Arabes / personnes musulmanes, vous êtes bien le camp qui engendre cettt haine.
Vous êtes complice.
Soirée tragique, où ceux qui ont tout fait pour créer les conditions de l’affrontement accusent ceux qui ont tout fait pour l’empêcher d’en être responsables.
Soirée tragique pour les familles de victimes innocentes, à la veille d’une nouvelle déflagration, pour tout un peuple qui voit son pays s’embraser.
Soirée tragique où un président choisit ses morts. Il oublie les catholiques, comme le père Hamel, mort parce que catholique. Il oublie les Juifs, comme les enfants Sandler, morts parce que Juifs. Il oublie les Blancs, comme Thomas, mort parce que Blanc.
Battons-nous pour que la tragédie fasse place demain au redressement, à la paix et à la liberté.
Comme il est écrit dans Document National de Sécurité 2025 des États-Unis ;
- arrêt du conflit
- délégation de la gestion de l’Ukraine à l’UE
- pas d’OTAN pour l’Ukraine
- reprise des activités économiques et financières avec la Russie
Et chacun suit son chemin ;)
New Trump peace plan includes:
•Demilitarized zone in Donbas
•Ukraine abandons NATO
•Investment package & EU membership for Ukraine
•Russian business deals with US companies, lifting sanctions & normalization of political relations
•Resumptions of Russian gas supplies to Europe & Nord Stream
This is reported by Ukrainian media citing Ukrainian officials in The Economist.
C’est impressionnant la haine de l’administration Trump envers l’Ukraine et Zelensky plus particulièrement, même si cela signifie qu’ils sont complices de crimes de guerre réalisés par la Russie.
Je me demande sincèrement d’où vient cette rancune, et s’ils veulent vraiment
Breaking: Elon Musk ordered the Starlink slowdown that blindsided Ukraine on.wsj.com/4sgcpBv
Ça devient incompréhensible
Zelensky says the latest US peace proposal includes security guarantees for Ukraine modelled on NATO’s Article 5 collective defence clause, and that American envoy Steve Witkoff will present the document to Russia (tomorrow).
“We have discussed security guarantees, and I’m grateful to the American side for emphasising once again that they will be strong,” Zelensky said following talks in Oslo.
“We discussed NATO, Article 5 and Article 5-like guarantees. Different types of security guarantees are included in the document, which Steve will share with the Russians, and we will hear their feedback.”




















