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π«π₯ A NEW CHAPTER BEGINS!
After years of chasing player props, hunting longshots, and sharing the highs and lows of sports betting, it's time for something new.
Welcome to THE LONGSHOT LODGE! π¦
I'm building a place where great sports picks meet an even better community.
π― Daily Picks & Player Props
π£ Longshots & Parlays
πππβΎ All Major Sports
π Honest Results
π» A Community Worth Being Part Of
No guaranteed winners. No empty promises. Just hard work, good people, and the thrill of the hunt.
The doors are opening, and there's always room for another hunter.
π« THE LODGE MASTER
π₯ Where the Odds Are Long & the Stories Are Longer.
ποΈ JOIN THE HUNT:
dubclub.win/THELONGSHOTLOUNGβ¦
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π« THE LONGSHOT LODGE retweeted
THREE FIRST TD SCORERS IN A ROW π₯
@LongshotLodge has been on FIRE cooking with the first td scorer slips for his community π€
Get 30% off here: dubclub.win/r/p/pri-rqh2v/?cβ¦
π¦ THE LONGSHOT LODGE π¦
πͺ THE LODGE MASTERβS PRA LADDER
π KELLY OUBRE JR. (IND)
π₯ Indiana Pacers vs. Brooklyn Nets
Weβre climbing the ladder tonight, and Kelly Oubre Jr. has a matchup that caught my attention!
π LETβS TALK ABOUT THE DATA!
β
3 of his last 5 games with 20+ PRA!
β
Played at least 28 minutes in each of those three games.
β
4 FOR HIS LAST 4 H2H against Brooklyn clearing 20+ PRA!
π― THE LADDER
πͺ Over 17.5 PRA | -102 | 1.00U
πͺ Over 19.5 PRA | +200 | 0.75U
πͺ Over 24.5 PRA | +600 | 0.50U
πͺ Over 29.5 PRA | +1500 | 0.25U
π° TOTAL LADDER RISK: 2.50U
π« THE LODGE MASTERβS TAKE
What I really like here is the combination of recent production, playing time, and matchup history.
Oubre has shown he can get past 20 PRA when heβs getting solid minutes, and Brooklyn has been a favorable matchup for him historically.
The 19.5 PRA at +200 is particularly interesting considering heβs cleared 20 in four straight head-to-head meetings!
Weβre building this ladder with a heavier investment on the lower rungs while giving ourselves a shot at some serious returns if Oubre has a big night.
π₯ The +600 and +1500 rungs are where weβre hunting for that trophy buck!
Remember, these are progressively tougher targets, and the historical trends donβt guarantee tonightβs result.
π¦ WHERE THE ODDS ARE LONG & THE STORIES ARE LONGER!
β THE LODGE MASTER
Follow TheLongShotLodge (@TheLongshotLodge) on DUBCLUB for sports picks and analysis.
dubclub.win/follow/thelongshβ¦
π€ Made with AI
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π THE LODGE MASTERβS TOP 8 FIRST BASKET PICKS
π₯ Brandin Podziemski (GSW) β +542 | 36.5%
π₯ Wendell Carter Jr. (ORL) β +750 | 23.2%
π₯ Paul George (BOS) β +500 | 23.2%
4οΈβ£ Julius Randle (BKN) β +890 | 20.5%
5οΈβ£ Michael Porter Jr. (BKN) β +550 | 21.4%
6οΈβ£ RJ Barrett (TOR) β +800 | 18.9%
7οΈβ£ Darius Garland (LAC) β +820 | 18.7%
8οΈβ£ Luka DonΔiΔ (LAL) β +410 | 19.7%
π Percentages represent projected first-basket probabilities.
ββββββββββββββββ
π THE LODGE MASTERβS TOP 4 STRAIGHTS
βοΈ Brandin Podziemski (GSW) β +542
βοΈ Wendell Carter Jr. (ORL) β +750
βοΈ Julius Randle (BKN) β +890
βοΈ RJ Barrett (TOR) β +800
π― 1U Each Straight
π¦ PICK OF THE DAY: Brandin Podziemski +542
ποΈ THE LONGSHOT LODGE
Where the Odds Are Long & the Stories Are Longer.
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π¦ THE LONGSHOT LODGE π¦
π UNDERDOG OF THE DAY
πΎ NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS ML (+145)
vs. Oregon Ducks | October 31, 2026
π― THE HUNT: Weβre going Duck hunting in Eugene!
Sometimes the best underdog isnβt the team nobody believes in. Itβs the team thatβs playing better football but still getting treated like the inferior program because of the name on the other jersey.
Thatβs exactly what I see with Northwestern today.
The Wildcats roll into Eugene at 6-1, riding four straight wins, while Oregon sits at 4-3 and has lost three straight.
And somehow, Oregon is still favored.
Letβs talk about why Iβm hunting this upset.
π₯ 1. OREGONβS OFFENSE IS IN TROUBLE
The Ducks have managed just 42 total points over their last three games.
Starting quarterback Dante Moore is out for the season, and Oregon just made a change at offensive coordinator.
Thatβs a lot of uncertainty for a team laying points against a ranked opponent.
Oregon has converted just 8 of its last 42 third downs. Thatβs a major problem against a Northwestern team capable of controlling possession.
π₯ 2. NORTHWESTERN IS BUILT TO CONTROL THIS GAME
The Wildcats are averaging approximately:
π 34.7 points per game
π 205 rushing yards per game
π 436 total offensive yards per game
Northwestern can run the football, sustain drives, and keep Oregonβs offense watching from the sidelines.
And hereβs the interesting part.
Former Oregon head coach Chip Kelly is now running Northwesternβs offense.
Heβs returning to Eugene with a quarterback who is thriving in his system.
π₯ 3. AIDAN CHILES IS A PROBLEM
Northwestern quarterback Aidan Chiles is coming off an outstanding performance against Rutgers.
π 219 passing yards
π 3 passing touchdowns
π 83 rushing yards
π 2 rushing touchdowns
Thatβs five total touchdowns from one player.
His ability to hurt defenses through the air AND on the ground gives Northwestern another dimension Oregon must account for.
π₯ 4. THE WILDCATS DONβT BEAT THEMSELVES
This might be my favorite part of the matchup.
Northwestern has committed just THREE turnovers through seven games.
The Wildcats have also been outstanding in the red zone, converting scoring opportunities at one of the highest rates in college football.
Meanwhile, Oregon has struggled to finish drives and has committed 10 turnovers during its three-game losing streak.
When youβre hunting an outright underdog, protecting the football matters.
π₯ 5. THE DEFENSE CAN KEEP THIS CLOSE
Northwestern is allowing just 16.5 points per game.
Opponents are scoring touchdowns on only 39.1% of their red-zone trips against the Wildcats.
Thatβs exactly the kind of defense I want backing an underdog.
Make Oregon work for every yard, force difficult third downs, and turn potential touchdowns into field goals.
Thatβs how you steal a game on the road.
π¦ THE LODGE MASTERβS TAKE
Oregon has the home-field advantage, the talent, and the bigger national reputation.
But Northwestern has the momentum, a productive running game, a dangerous dual-threat quarterback, and an offense thatβs functioning at a much higher level right now.
The biggest concern is traveling across the country into Autzen Stadium. Thatβs never an easy assignment.
But I believe this Northwestern team is capable of handling it.
At +145, the Wildcats need to win approximately 40.8% of the time just to break even.
I think this matchup is much closer to a coin flip than the market suggests.
π― THE OFFICIAL HUNT
πΎ Northwestern Wildcats ML +145
π Northwestern +3.5 is the safer alternative.
My upset call: Northwestern 27, Oregon 24.
π¦π² THE LONGSHOT LODGE
Where the Odds Are Long & the Stories Are Longer.
πΉ Sometimes you donβt follow the favorite. You follow the tracks.
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π₯π° FRIDAY NIGHT WAS AN ABSOLUTE CASH FEST! ππ
While everyone else was watching, the Nerd Den was CASHING! ππ Tired of seeing these winning tickets AFTER the games? Drop a π₯ below or DM me βNERDβ to get in on the action! π
π€ Made with AI
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π₯ FIRST GOAL SCORER PLAYS ABSOLUTELY SMASHED!
We fired 1U on all six FGS straights and only needed ONE of these longshots to put us in the greenβ¦
WE HIT TWO. π°π°
β Matt Boldy +1011
β Morgan Geekie +1600
β
Cole Caufield +1150 β +11.50U
β
Adrian Kempe +1200 β +12.00U
β Wyatt Johnston +1150
β Drake Batherson +1329
6U RISKED β 25.50U RETURNED
π¨ NET PROFIT: +19.50 UNITS! π¨
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π― FIRST TD LONGSHOT CARD
Kaleb Johnson +4900 β 0.10u
Antonio Williams +9900 β 0.10u
Chris Brooks +3233 β 0.10u
Greg Dulcich +3233 β 0.10u
T.J. Hockenson +3233 β 0.10u
Ray Davis +4000 β 0.10u
Mike Washington Jr. +2400 β 0.10u
Dontayvion Wicks +2400 β 0.10u
DeVonta Smith +1329 β 0.10u
Kenny Gainwell +1900 β 0.10u
TOTAL RISK: 1.00u
π° One winner = profitable card. Even the shortest number, DeVonta Smith at +1329, gives us +0.43u net profit on the entire card.
Antonio Williams at +9900 would give us +9.00u net if he hits.
Ten darts. One unit total. We only need ONE. π―π₯
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1,354
Late night RR
π₯ 3-MAN HR ROUND ROBIN β BY 2βs & 3βs
HR BOMBS π£
Dominic Canzone +400
Ketel Marte +500
Shay Whitcomb +1050
RR BY 2βs
Canzone + Marte β +2900
Canzone + Whitcomb β +5650
Marte + Whitcomb β +6800
RR BY 3βs
Canzone + Marte + Whitcomb β +34,400 π
4 total bets.
That Whitcomb +1050 is the piece that makes this thing get absolutely stupid if he connects.
#bombs
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