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Saturday’s heavyweight main event, by the numbers:
Waldo Cortes Acosta has never been finished — all four of his losses went to decision.
Johnny Walker has 18 of his 23 career wins via knockout. He’s also been knocked out six times.
The favorite you can’t finish vs the underdog who ends fights — and gets ended.
Full card research, matchup data, live odds & market movement on MMA Index 💪
ALT MMA Index - UFC Fight Night - Walker vs. Cortes Acosta
Saturday morning line movement update 👀
All four of the biggest moneyline moves this week have been toward favorites.
Karine Silva leads the way, moving from -165 → -220 (+6.2 pts).
Elijah Smith has also seen significant movement, going from -230 → -310 (+5.7 pts).
Other notable movers:
• Jose Henrique: -175 → -225 (+5.6)
• Lucas Fernando: -260 → -340 (+5.1)
ALT MMA Index - UFC Vegas 124 - Line Movement
Most likely methods of victory for Saturday's UFC card, according to the betting market
Mantas Kondratavicius by KO/TKO leads the card at 53% market-implied probability.
Keiichiro Nakamura by KO/TKO is next at 51%, followed by Austin Bashi by submission at 46%.
#UFCVegas124
ALT MMA Index - UFC Fight Night - Market Methods
#UFCVegas123 line movement update:
Zach Reese has drawn the biggest move since Sunday: -200 → -400 (+13.3 pts).
Renato Moicano (+105 → -125) and Cody Durden (+105 → -115) both flipped from slight underdogs to favorites.
JeongYeong Lee is moving in the other direction, -185 → -155 (-4.1 pts), as the market shows some support for Julian Erosa.
Check out the event page on MMA Index for the full card research hub, along with matchup data, fighter history, and everything you need to break down every fight on #UFCVegas123
ALT MMA Index - UFC Vegas 123 - Line Movement
Most likely methods of victory for Saturday's UFC Fight Night, according to the betting market 👀
🥊 Zach Reese by KO/TKO leads the card at 47%.
Piera Rodriguez and Luana Santos are next at 46% each, both by decision.
Not a single method of victory cracks 50% on the MMA Index market probability board this week.
#UFCVegas123
ALT MMA Index - UFC Fight Night - Market Most Likely Methods
4 UFC fights. 4 finishes.
Jacobe Smith returns just 28 days after his last win to face Randy Brown in Saturday's co-main.
A fifth straight finish would put him alongside Ngannou, Aspinall, Rousey and Shavkat — fighters who finished their first 5 UFC opponents. 👀
Full card research, matchup data, live odds & market movement on MMA Index 💪
ALT MMA Index - UFC Fight Night - Jacobe Smith
#UFC333 line movement update 👀
Aaron Pico has drawn the biggest move so far, going from -100 to -150 (+9.2 pts).
On the other side, Daniel Santos has seen the biggest pullback, shifting from -135 to -110 (-5.4 pts) and is now a pick 'em in his bout vs. Bolaji Oki.
Other notable movers:
• Asaf Chopurov: -455 → -600 (+3.8)
• Azamat Murzakanov: -245 → -205 (-3.8)
• Abubakar Vagaev: -185 → -160 (-3.7)
• Petr Yan: -175 → -150 (-3.6)
ALT MMA Index - UFC 333 - Line Movement
No fighter currently on the UFC roster has a longer active win streak than Movsar Evloev.
20 straight wins.
And that's not all. #UFC333 is loaded with fighters riding long win streaks.
Four other fighters on Saturday’s card rank inside the UFC roster’s top 30 active win streaks:
• Nurullo Aliev - 12
• Ramazan Temirov - 12
• Asaf Chopurov - 11
• Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev - 10
#UFC333
ALT MMA Index - UFC 333 - UFC Win Streak Leaderboard
No fighter in UFC history has landed more takedowns than Merab Dvalishvili - 119.
Georges St-Pierre is #2 at 90 - a 29-takedown gap.
Saturday, Merab tries to take the bantamweight title back from Petr Yan in the third fight of their trilogy.
Series tied 1-1. Belt on the line.
Full fight research, matchup data, odds & more live on MMA Index 💪
#UFC333
ALT MMA Index - UFC 333 - All-Time Leaderboards
Saturday #UFCEdmonton line movement update:
📈 Steven Koslow remains the biggest mover on the card, continuing from +110 underdog → -165 favorite (+14.8 pp) since Sunday’s snapshot.
📈 Joel Faglier has also kept taking support after crossing through pick’em: +100 → -135 (+7.6 pp)
📈 Melissa Croden has joined the biggest movers: -245 → -335 (+6.0 pp)
Koslow and Faglier both opened the week on the plus-money side and are now clear favorites heading into fight day.
#UFCEdmonton
ALT MMA Index - UFC Edmonton - Line Movement
Early week line movement for this weekend’s #UFCEdmonton:
📈 Steven Koslow has taken the strongest action by far, flipping from +110 underdog → -150 favorite (+12.2 pp) since Sunday.
And he’s not the only fight to cross through pick’em:
📈 Joel Faglier: +100 → -115 (+4.4 pp)
📈 Cristian Pérez has also taken steady support: -290 → -370 (+4.5 pp)
Two early-week favorite flips already, with Koslow clearly the biggest mover on the card so far.
Full card research, matchup data, live odds & market movement on MMA Index 💪
ALT MMA Index - UFC Edmonton - Line Movement
Early week line movement for this weekend’s #UFCEdmonton:
📈 Steven Koslow has taken the strongest action by far, flipping from +110 underdog → -150 favorite (+12.2 pp) since Sunday.
And he’s not the only fight to cross through pick’em:
📈 Joel Faglier: +100 → -115 (+4.4 pp)
📈 Cristian Pérez has also taken steady support: -290 → -370 (+4.5 pp)
Two early-week favorite flips already, with Koslow clearly the biggest mover on the card so far.
Full card research, matchup data, live odds & market movement on MMA Index 💪
ALT MMA Index - UFC Edmonton - Line Movement
Saturday #UFCFightNight line movement update:
📈 Francisco Prado’s move has only accelerated.
He had already flipped from +110 underdog → -110 favorite from Sunday to Wednesday.
After Ismael Bonfim missed weight by 7.5 pounds, Prado is now up to -155 — a +13.5 pp move from Sunday’s snapshot. That’s another +8.7 percentage points since the original post.
Other notable moves:
📈 RJ Harris: -260 → -370 (+6.5 pp)
📈 Felipe Franco: -290 → -400 (+5.6 pp)
📉 Brendan Allen: -150 → -115 (-6.5 pp)
Brendan Allen is trending towards a pick 'em in the main event, now priced around -115 at most books.
#UFCFightNight
ALT MMA Index - UFC Fight Night - Saturday Line Movement
Early week line movement for UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
📈 Francisco Prado has made the biggest move so far, flipping from underdog to favorite since Sunday:
+110 → -110 (+4.8 pp)
Other notable movers:
📈 RJ Harris: -260 → -320 (+4.0 pp)
📈 Felipe Franco: -290 → -360 (+3.9 pp)
📉 Melissa Gatto: -140 → -120 (-3.6 pp)
Prado is the standout early-week move, with the market crossing all the way through pick’em.
Full card research, matchup data, odds & market movement live on MMA Index for #UFCFightNight Allen vs. Duncan.
ALT MMA Index - UFC Fight Night - Early Week Line Movement
Francisco Prado has gone from +110 underdog to -110 favorite this week against Ismael Bonfim, in a fight that has the feel of a potential “loser gets cut” matchup.
Prado has lost 4 straight. Bonfim has lost 3 straight and 4 of his last 5.
Prado's record makes the market move even more interesting:
12 career wins. 12 finishes.
6 KO/TKOs & 6 submissions
9 finishes in Round 1
One of the more interesting fights on Saturday’s card.
Full matchup research, odds & market movement live on MMA Index.
#UFCFightNight
ALT MMA Index - UFC Fight Night - Prado vs. Bonfim
RJ Harris got into the UFC because Allen Frye Jr. pulled out.
Harris took the short-notice replacement spot in July against Alvin Hines — then stopped him in 1:40 of Round 1 in his UFC debut.
Now, less than three months later, Harris is fighting the man he replaced.
Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris goes down Saturday at #UFCFightNight
Full matchup research, fighter history, odds & more live on MMA Index 💪
ALT MMA Index - UFC Fight Night -RJ Harris vs. Allen Frye
Top-5 vs. Top-10 at middleweight Saturday night.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan has won 5 straight and gets his first UFC main event after breaking into the Top 10.
Allen is ranked #4, Duncan #10 — and a win puts either firmly into the middleweight title picture.
Full main-event research, matchup data, odds & more for #UFCFightNight Allen vs. Duncan 👇
mmaindex.com/events/ufc-figh…
ALT MMA Index - UFC Fight Night - Allen vs. Duncan
Early week line movement for UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan
📈 Francisco Prado has made the biggest move so far, flipping from underdog to favorite since Sunday:
+110 → -110 (+4.8 pp)
Other notable movers:
📈 RJ Harris: -260 → -320 (+4.0 pp)
📈 Felipe Franco: -290 → -360 (+3.9 pp)
📉 Melissa Gatto: -140 → -120 (-3.6 pp)
Prado is the standout early-week move, with the market crossing all the way through pick’em.
Full card research, matchup data, odds & market movement live on MMA Index for #UFCFightNight Allen vs. Duncan.
ALT MMA Index - UFC Fight Night - Early Week Line Movement
Research and break down every #UFC332 fight on MMA Index.
Free: full-card research hub, fighter history, matchup breakdowns, live odds + market movement — plus build, save, track & share your picks across cards with a free account.
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• Model vs. market for sportsbooks, Kalshi & Polymarket
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Check it all out here: 👇
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Saturday #UFC332 line movement update:
📉 Roberto Soldić has seen the biggest move on the card, dropping from -350 → -200 (-11.1 pp). The market has moved substantially toward Khaos Williams from where the line started.
Other notable market movers:
📈 Ateba Gautier: -170 → -230 (+6.6 pp)
📉 Johnny Walker: -140 → -110 (-5.8 pp)
📉 Esteban Ribovics: -270 → -210 (-5.2 pp)
📈 Anthony Wint: -390 → -550 (+5.0 pp)
#UFC332
ALT MMA Index - UFC 332 - Line Movement
The betting market is expecting finishes at #UFC332.
The three most likely methods on the card according to the market are all KO/TKO:
Jacobe Smith by KO/TKO 69%
Damian Pinas by KO/TKO 59%
Roberto Soldić by KO/TKO 51%
Full card research hub, matchup data, method markets & more live on MMA Index.
#UFC332
ALT MMA Index - UFC 332 - Most Likely Methods
Natalia Silva hasn’t lost a fight since 2017.
She enters Saturday’s UFC 332 title fight on a 14-fight win streak — the longest active streak among women currently in the UFC.
She’s also a perfect 8-0 inside the UFC.
Next up: Wang Cong for the vacant women’s flyweight title.
Full matchup research, fighter history, odds & more live on MMA Index.
#UFC332
ALT MMA Index - UFC 332 - Natalia Silva