NEW TODAY — Reuters/Ipsos, closed Monday Oct 26: • Trump approval: 32%, up 1 from last week's record low of 31% • Generic ballot: Democrats 47, Republicans 36 (registered voters; 11% undecided) • With leaners factored in: Democrats 50, Republicans 41 From this morning's watch: • CBS News/YouGov generic ballot (Oct 21–23, likely voters): Democrats 53, Republicans 45 • Texas Senate — Emerson (Oct 17–19): Talarico 48, Paxton 46; Fox (Oct 21): 49–49 tie • Michigan Senate — Marist (Oct 15–18): El-Sayed 50, Rogers 48 • Alaska Senate — Data for Progress (Oct 8–16): Peltola 51, Sullivan 49 • Pennsylvania House — NYT/Siena (posted Oct 25): Harvie 48–46, Brooks 49–44, Cognetti 51–46, Stelson 48–48 tie — Dems lead or tie in 4 Republican-held seats

"A MASSIVE BOMBSHELL: A federal judge just ruled Trump's firing of prosecutor Maurene Comey was UNLAWFUL. She prosecuted Ghislaine Maxwell. Her lawsuit said no cause was given for her July 2025 firing. Her father is James Comey. A vendetta, not a firing. 8 days. EVERYBODY KNOWS IT."

WILD! "NICKI MINAJ walked up those stairs looking like she didn't wipe well — and then stood up there and told YOU how to vote. Let's check who's talking. NICKI told young voters to 'vote red.' But in her own words, on a 2024 livestream, she said: 'I'm not a citizen of America. Isn't that crazy?' In January she said she was 'finalizing' her citizenship paperwork and flashed a Trump gold card. The White House later told the New York Times the card was a souvenir, not a visa document. She has not publicly confirmed she became a citizen. HER OWN RAP SHEET: arrested in New York in 2003, age 20, for criminal possession of a weapon with intent to use. She posted the mugshot herself in 2021 and wrote that she feared being deported and hid with her aunt. HER HUSBAND'S RAP SHEET: Kenneth Petty — 1995, attempted first-degree rape of a 16-year-old. 2006, first-degree manslaughter. Registered sex offender. 2022, probation and home confinement for failing to register in California. AND HER BROTHER, same kind of charge: Jelani Maraj — convicted in 2017 of predatory sexual assault of a child, sentenced to 25 years to life. IT'S NOT A COINCIDENCE. Everybody in this Trump administration is crime. They don't want people with clean records. They want people who will OBEY — people they can BUY. The criminal record doesn't matter, because they know their supporters will support whoever they support. EVERYBODY KNOWS IT."

“ KEN PAXTON'S NEW AD SAYS YOU'LL FEEL SAFER WITH HIM. LET'S CHECK THE TAPE. BEEF: His ad 'Ablaze' says Talarico will 'lecture Texans about eating beef.' Meanwhile, under REPUBLICAN rule, the U.S. cattle herd is at 86.2 million — the smallest since 1951 — and America imported a RECORD 5.5 BILLION pounds of foreign beef in 2025, 17% of our supply, with 2026 forecast even higher. Ground beef: $6.79 a pound. And if you want a steak instead of burger meat, ribeye was advertised at $19.99 a pound. Texas is cattle country, and they're feeding you imported beef. Who did that? Not Talarico. OIL: He says Talarico will 'shut down our oil fields.' Paxton has taken $3.9 MILLION from the oil and gas industry since 2002. And with Republicans running Texas AND Washington, diesel in Texas is $5.73 a gallon — in Dallas, it's up 79% in one year. Paxton can't fix it, because the people in charge ARE his people. It has nothing to do with Talarico. It has everything to do with the Republicans who already have control. CRIME: He says Talarico would free violent offenders. Now say this name: ADAM HOFFMAN. A Waco attorney charged with continuous sexual abuse of a child — a first-degree felony carrying 25 years to life. Paxton's own office offered him ONE DAY in jail and NO sex offender registry. A judge had to drag it up to 60 days. Hoffman served 29. Paxton even bragged they 'served 60 days' — jail records say 29. And that wasn't the only one — Paxton's office cut light plea deals in THREE more sex abuse cases. The 'tough on crime' candidate let a child predator walk. They don't want a senator. They want a border guard who'll look the other way while the donors loot the state. The Texas House impeached Paxton 121–23 — then Texas voted for a president with 34 FELONIES. So no — it's NOT about crime. It's NOT about beef. It's NOT about oil. KEN PAXTON IS FOR SALE. TEXAS IS NOT. EVERYBODY KNOWS IT."

"BOOM: MUSK JUST BLEW PAST $442 MILLION. We the People — hear this: Elon Musk thinks America is for sale. Your family members — Purple Heart wounded warriors, good police officers, paramedics, rescue teams — he thinks he can buy you ALL. Another $76.8 million into his America PAC in ONE WEEK — $158 million of it routed through the Senate Leadership Fund straight to a Texas super PAC backing Paxton. Largest individual donor of the entire cycle. And Talarico's answer? A new ad: 'Texas is not for sale.' Musk says Talarico 'hates Texas.' So let me ask the question he can't answer: IF TEXAS IS SO RED, WHY DOES HE HAVE TO SPEND MILLIONS AND MILLIONS OF DOLLARS TO TRY TO WIN THE SEAT? A rich kid proving his money can buy anything — Texas doesn't affect him, so it's ego, not Texas. And the kicker: Talarico raised a RECORD $64 million in Q3. Paxton: $18 million. The people are out-raising the billionaire. So here's the message, Democrat or Republican — this is AMERICA, and it is NOT for sale. And to the coward from South Africa who thinks he can buy it: you will FUCK AROUND AND FIND OUT, Mr. Musk. 10 days. EVERYBODY KNOWS IT."

MERRY CHRISTMAS. KEEP VOTING. WE NEED THE TRUTH. 🗳️

"WOW! “BYRON GOT SCHOOLED FLORIDA: Donald Trump is in Fort Myers today rallying for Byron Donalds, and Florida needs to ask itself one question: if your Republican candidate for governor is this strong, why does he need saving, and why is Democrat David Jolly this close? Because this is who Byron Donalds really is when the cameras catch him without a script. What you're about to watch is a classic takedown—Jamie Raskin absolutely manhandling "the GOP Butler" in a committee room, crushing him on constitutional law while Donalds tried to defend Trump and exposed that he didn't understand either one. Watch the moment Donalds gives up: he turns his back, takes a sip of his Mountain Dew, drops his head to the table—and the only words he had left were, "Have you ever been to a Trump hotel?" A complete disgrace. A humiliating moment for him and his family. This is the best they've got, Florida. Watch it again.

MAGA IQ! "THE LIE LEDGER — 2026. Tonight, Donald Trump is in Sioux City, Iowa — a state he won by 13 points — begging voters to save Republicans who are breaking with him in public. His own congresswoman, Ashley Hinson, is on stage in this race while calling for an 'immediate end' to his war. That's not a victory tour. That's a 32-STATE DAMAGE-CONTROL TOUR, in states he carried by double digits, because Marist has 42% of Iowans saying they're WORSE OFF than a year ago. Now count the product he's selling: The Washington Post documented 30,573 false or misleading claims in his first term alone. PolitiFact has now rated 1,161 of his statements — and 78% came back Mostly False, False, or Pants on Fire. Just October 1–2 — Denton, Durant, Mobile — fact-checkers went through 48 rally claims. Flatly FALSE: gas is cheaper than under Biden. Prices are 'coming down rapidly' — CNN's Daniel Dale ran the government's own CPI: groceries UP 3.4%, overall prices UP 4.8% since January 2025. FALSE: Democrats never voted for voter ID. FALSE: Iran's inflation is 'above 300%.' His '$21 TRILLION in investment'? The White House's OWN tracker says $11.2 trillion. He couldn't even stop at doubling it. His 2026 State of the Union: 63 claims checked — 22 false, 27 misleading. Fourteen true. FOURTEEN. And Elon Musk? DOGE claimed mountains of 'savings' — the GAO verified about 4% of what they claimed. He took YOUR Social Security data, tripled his defense contracts to $5.9 billion, and threatened to 'come for' Congress for asking questions. And when the lies about prices don't land, they reach for the oldest one in the book. Senator Tim Scott is out telling crowds that Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed's MOTHER was part of Osama bin Laden's funding apparatus. His mother was a nurse who once worked for a charity — she was never charged with anything. Mike Rogers said El-Sayed was 'bought off by Hamas, Hezbollah, al-Qaeda.' Tuberville called him a 'terrorist.' Trump mocks his name and brags he can call him whatever he wants 'because I'm the president.' That's the whole 2026 Republican message, folks: lie about your grocery bill, lie about the economy, and when the numbers humiliate them, smear a doctor's mother. They have no plan to make your life cheaper. The lie IS the plan. 12 days. EVERYBODY KNOWS IT."

"SHE WAS ONLY 13. Trump. Musk. Epstein. One video. Watch it before they bury it. #NightmareOnEpsteinStreet"

HEY TWEEPS! "Trump and Musk do NOT want you to see this. I just cut a video that hits HARD I need 1,000 replies dropping #NightmareOnEpsteinStreet before I release it. 1, 2... he's coming for you."🔥

"And @elonmusk screenshot saved, timestamped, archived. When the hearings open, your own words get read back to you under oath. Threatening Congress was the confession. The subpoenas are just the paperwork. EVERYBODY KNOWS IT." PL has the receipts. "YOU 🫵🏽 brought the DC out of me, bruh!"

ELON MUSK CROSSED THE LINE — AND THE SUPREME COURT DREW IT. Elon Musk, responding to a report that House Democrats will investigate his DOGE record, his federal contracts, and the Starlink slowdown in Ukraine: "Live by the sword, die by the sword. Those who pick fights with me should understand that I will find out who is really pulling the strings and come for them." That's rich coming from a bureaucratic samurai. Free speech? Read the Supreme Court first. In Counterman v. Colorado (2023), the Court ruled that true threats get no First Amendment protection. In Virginia v. Black, the Court ruled that speech intended to intimidate is not protected. Threats designed to stop people from doing their lawful duty are where the First Amendment ends. Now look at who is talking. Not some random account. A federal contractor holding $5.9 billion in defense contracts. A former government insider whose DOGE crew accessed your Social Security and Treasury data. A man who poured $276 million into this election. A man with the money, the motive, the platform, and your private information — announcing he will "come for" the members of Congress preparing to investigate him. That looks like more than free speech. It looks like intimidation aimed at a constitutional function — and Congress wrote laws for exactly this: 18 U.S.C. § 1505, obstructing congressional inquiries; 18 U.S.C. § 1512, retaliation against officials and witnesses. Veterans, taxpayers, every American who believes in democracy: one unelected billionaire just threatened your Congress for doing oversight. Be angry — and be organized. There is one way he answers for it: Democrats take the House, the Senate, and the presidency. Subpoenas. Hearings. Under oath. No Republican protection. Hey, Elon? You want the swamp drained for real? It will never happen under Republican protection. This is your shot. 12 days. Everybody knows it.