Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz) header
Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz) profile picture

Grandpa. Ex-expat in UK. Former State Dept.

Washington, DC
Joined February 2012
Photo by Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz)Photo by Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz)Photo by Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz)Photo by Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz)Photo by Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz)Photo by Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz)Photo by Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz)Photo by Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz)Photo by Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz)Photo by Mark Fitzpatrick (@MarkTFitz)
Restoring the JCPOA would not resolve the underlying issue of Iran’s past nuclear weapons work. It would, however, prevent Iran from being able to dash for a weapon now. al-monitor.com/originals/202…
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Excellent analysis of why Iran can sustain resumed war longer than the US can.
With the midterms over, attention now turns to whether the US will restart major strikes on Iran, and if so, for how long. The forces in theater could open a campaign on Feb's scale, but the munition stocks likely couldn't sustain it, and US forces would face greater risk. A 🧵.
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Israel’s attacks on Iran changed everything — or did they? @MarkTFitz @IISS_org iranintl.com/en/202511218873
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آژانس بین‌المللی انرژی اتمی: ایران می‌تواند ظرف چند ماه غنی‌سازی اورانیوم را از سر بگیرد. آیا ایران هنوز یک تهدید هسته‌ای است؟ مارک فیتزپاتریک، پژوهشگر ارشد موسسه بین‌المللی مطالعات استراتژیک
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I stopped posting on X, so come follow me on BlueSky: marktfitz.bsky.social
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In dark moments like these, I am reminded of Mike Elleman, a colleague at @IISS_org who passed away way too soon. Mike was the greatest missile expert, and he taught me (a complete amateur in defence matters) a lot about missiles, missile defence and UAVs. Mike was much more than this, a nice man with the biggest heart ever. He would be studying tonight's attacks with "a cool head and a warm heart", able to analyse and explain complex technical matters in simple ways all while remembering the people suffering in the war. We miss you, Mike. For more, @MarkTFitz wrote this moving tribute iiss.org/online-analysis/onl…
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Mark Fitzpatrick retweeted
On S3 E4 of #JapanMemo 'Japan's Approaches to Nuclear Non-Proliferation & Deterrence', Professor @nobu_akiyama rec'd Asia's Latent Nuclear Powers by @MarkTFitz & his own Genshi Ryoku/Kaku Mondai [Atomic Power/Nuclear Issue] in Showa Shi Kogi [Lectures on Show Era History].
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I am moving to Threads. (@fitzokuda). If anyone I am following here wants me to follow them there, please let me know.
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Republican senators demand collective punishment.
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Thank goodness the USG got @sianamazi and four other Amcit hostages out of Iran before the Hamas attack put diplomacy out of reach.
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And anyone who claims the release of frozen Iranian assets abetted the attack is propagandizing.
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The right choice at the right time. #WomenLifeFreedom
#Iran's future will be decided by its people and only its people. Kudos to brave Iranians who carry the torch on the ground, despite efforts by others to hijack their struggle.
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A reminder that the former guy knew zilch about making a deal. "Both Trump and Kim were responsible. But Trump left Hanoi first, and he should not have." foreignpolicy.com/2023/09/21……"North Korean Talks Collapsed but Didn’t Fail, by @jongchoiysu
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Mark Fitzpatrick retweeted
I've tried to keep an open mind about this story but this rebuttal and the others I've read are far far more persuasive the accusations themselves.
As @CrisisGroup's head of MENA, I have a pretty good understanding of what we publish, how we conduct research and how our findings are received, including on the Iran file. This @nytopinion piece by Bret Stephens is shamefully inaccurate: 1/
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Mark Fitzpatrick retweeted
I don’t focus much on Iran in my work but Dina was a colleague when I worked at the IISS in London. The attacks against her are ridiculous. She’s a great analyst. Disagreeing with her conclusions or recommendations is fine. Questioning her integrity or spreading falsehoods isn’t.
I’m dismayed and disappointed by the mischaracterisations, falsehoods and character assassination campaign targeting me and colleagues. I’m also dismayed that subsequent outlets chose to run the story without seeking our views or ignoring them. Here are a few facts - 🧵:
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Exactly. Contradictions and hypocrisy don’t matter when one is engaged in a hit job.
This is a key point. People who distrust everything about Iran's government are now taking the government's internal spin as gospel. They're using that to malign a group of independent researchers, like my colleagues @DEsfandiary & @AliVaez.
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Mark Fitzpatrick retweeted
This is a key point. People who distrust everything about Iran's government are now taking the government's internal spin as gospel. They're using that to malign a group of independent researchers, like my colleagues @DEsfandiary & @AliVaez.
Replying to @DEsfandiary
8. I cannot be held responsible for how officials present this among themselves. We are aware that officials of certain countries spin their meetings with analysts to highlight their influence. This happens in Iran, in the Middle East, and many other countries in the world.
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A must-read for anyone who came across the campaign against @AliVaez and his colleagues and mistakenly thought there was any truth to the smear.
As @CrisisGroup's head of MENA, I have a pretty good understanding of what we publish, how we conduct research and how our findings are received, including on the Iran file. This @nytopinion piece by Bret Stephens is shamefully inaccurate: 1/
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