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- Keldon Johnson over 14.5 pts+rebs
$50 to someone who πππππ¦/Comments! Let me know if you're tailing π₯
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysisβ¬οΈ
Keldon Johnson gets a prime matchup and situation for success tonight against the Kings. We know Sacramento is a terrible team that doesn't play any defense.
Last season SAC ranked 28th in defensive rating and allowed the 8th most paint ppg along with the 6th most transition ppg. This plays well into Keldon's skillset, he is looking to use his size driving to the rim. Last year Johnson scored 65% of his total made FG's in the paint and 21% of his production came in transition.
So far early this year the Kings have remained bad, they rank 27th in defensive rating and allow 124 ppg which is 3rd highest in NBA. SAC also notably give up the for the 3rd most rebounds while playing at the 8th fastest pace. Getting alot of possession against a terrible defense is an ideal spot.
While the spread favors the Spurs by 18.5 pts, this should not affect Keldon much at all coming off the bench. In fact given his rotations, playing the ends of 1st and 3rd qtrs and start of 2nd and 4th qtrs, it's likely he plays those stints regardless.
The key here is in a big Spurs win, that would limit the starters minutes and Keldon may see more time with a higher usage with bench unit. These game scripts are always more favorable for bench players and Keldon has thrived in similar situations.
This year he saw 19 and 20 mins in the 2 losses, but got 26 minutes in the 16 point win. Last year in regular season with 18-28 mins, Keldon was over this line in 73.4% of games and avg 18.5 PR.
In wins that rises to a 76.6% hit rate and still over this line in 18/25 specifically with Wemby, Castle, Harper and Fox all in. In this scenario while also only including wins by 15+ pts to take into account the large spread, Keldon actually performed even better going over this line in 12/15 games (80%). This includes 19 PR vs SAC twice in wins by 17 and 28 pts.
Great spot and matchup here, I like the rebounding aspect since he'll likely spend time guarding lower usage wings like Hunter/Murray or Plowden off the bench.
Widely available on DFS sites and sportsbooks, this was -115 at time of post in premium.
#NBA #Gamblingπ #Playerprops
Ja Morant over 15.5 points β
Covers at the start of the 3rd qtr.
Another hook away from a strong day with Cade 28/28.5 PR with terrible shooting. Ja shoots good, but also catching brutal FG% too often right now.
Keldon Johnson O14.5 pts+rebs β
Ja Morant O15.5 points β
Cade Cunningham O28.5 pts+rebs πͺ
Derrick White O2.5 3-PT made β
Cade hooks us at 28. Just a horrible beat, no other way to put it. Had 22 PR at half of competitive game, monumentally favored to go over. Instead only 4 pts all 2H and a few rebs. Shoots a horrible 7/18 on FG's and missed 2 FT's in a row in 2nd half. Just far below his averages on top of the game getting out of hand. Was subbed out twice in the 4th qtr with coach giving up. Also had 2 missed layups point blank late. 2nd time of his entire CAREER going under this line with 9+ rebs and 18+ FGA.
White shot a terrible 1/7 on 3's too. Just can't seem to escape the significantly below avg shooting every day. 7 attempts in a great matchup at home is fine volume. White even pump faked multiple open 3's in 2nd half due to shooting so poor leading up to that. Also was benched in OT
I understand everyone is frustrated with the results lately, but also want to make people aware that 14 of 19 of our NBA plays involving over pts have shot well below their avg FG%. That type of bad shooting variance is simply not going to last. We are due positive regression and I'm doing everything I can with the reads and getting value, but I can't shoot the ball for them.
Matt retweeted
CASH THE FREE PLAYπ°β
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π¨ π‘ππ ππ₯ππ π£πππ¬ π
- Keldon Johnson over 14.5 pts+rebs
$50 to someone who πππππ¦/Comments! Let me know if you're tailing π₯
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysisβ¬οΈ
Keldon Johnson gets a prime matchup and situation for success tonight against the Kings. We know Sacramento is a terrible team that doesn't play any defense.
Last season SAC ranked 28th in defensive rating and allowed the 8th most paint ppg along with the 6th most transition ppg. This plays well into Keldon's skillset, he is looking to use his size driving to the rim. Last year Johnson scored 65% of his total made FG's in the paint and 21% of his production came in transition.
So far early this year the Kings have remained bad, they rank 27th in defensive rating and allow 124 ppg which is 3rd highest in NBA. SAC also notably give up the for the 3rd most rebounds while playing at the 8th fastest pace. Getting alot of possession against a terrible defense is an ideal spot.
While the spread favors the Spurs by 18.5 pts, this should not affect Keldon much at all coming off the bench. In fact given his rotations, playing the ends of 1st and 3rd qtrs and start of 2nd and 4th qtrs, it's likely he plays those stints regardless.
The key here is in a big Spurs win, that would limit the starters minutes and Keldon may see more time with a higher usage with bench unit. These game scripts are always more favorable for bench players and Keldon has thrived in similar situations.
This year he saw 19 and 20 mins in the 2 losses, but got 26 minutes in the 16 point win. Last year in regular season with 18-28 mins, Keldon was over this line in 73.4% of games and avg 18.5 PR.
In wins that rises to a 76.6% hit rate and still over this line in 18/25 specifically with Wemby, Castle, Harper and Fox all in. In this scenario while also only including wins by 15+ pts to take into account the large spread, Keldon actually performed even better going over this line in 12/15 games (80%). This includes 19 PR vs SAC twice in wins by 17 and 28 pts.
Great spot and matchup here, I like the rebounding aspect since he'll likely spend time guarding lower usage wings like Hunter/Murray or Plowden off the bench.
Widely available on DFS sites and sportsbooks, this was -115 at time of post in premium.
#NBA #Gamblingπ #Playerprops
CASH THE FREE PLAYπ°β
RUN UP THE LIKES/RT's if you tailed! Let me know in comments π€
Thousands of people saw this cash! Make sure to follow with notifications on π
Show the engagement & I'll post more often. Access all plays in the discord
π¨ π‘ππ ππ₯ππ π£πππ¬ π
- Keldon Johnson over 14.5 pts+rebs
$50 to someone who πππππ¦/Comments! Let me know if you're tailing π₯
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysisβ¬οΈ
Keldon Johnson gets a prime matchup and situation for success tonight against the Kings. We know Sacramento is a terrible team that doesn't play any defense.
Last season SAC ranked 28th in defensive rating and allowed the 8th most paint ppg along with the 6th most transition ppg. This plays well into Keldon's skillset, he is looking to use his size driving to the rim. Last year Johnson scored 65% of his total made FG's in the paint and 21% of his production came in transition.
So far early this year the Kings have remained bad, they rank 27th in defensive rating and allow 124 ppg which is 3rd highest in NBA. SAC also notably give up the for the 3rd most rebounds while playing at the 8th fastest pace. Getting alot of possession against a terrible defense is an ideal spot.
While the spread favors the Spurs by 18.5 pts, this should not affect Keldon much at all coming off the bench. In fact given his rotations, playing the ends of 1st and 3rd qtrs and start of 2nd and 4th qtrs, it's likely he plays those stints regardless.
The key here is in a big Spurs win, that would limit the starters minutes and Keldon may see more time with a higher usage with bench unit. These game scripts are always more favorable for bench players and Keldon has thrived in similar situations.
This year he saw 19 and 20 mins in the 2 losses, but got 26 minutes in the 16 point win. Last year in regular season with 18-28 mins, Keldon was over this line in 73.4% of games and avg 18.5 PR.
In wins that rises to a 76.6% hit rate and still over this line in 18/25 specifically with Wemby, Castle, Harper and Fox all in. In this scenario while also only including wins by 15+ pts to take into account the large spread, Keldon actually performed even better going over this line in 12/15 games (80%). This includes 19 PR vs SAC twice in wins by 17 and 28 pts.
Great spot and matchup here, I like the rebounding aspect since he'll likely spend time guarding lower usage wings like Hunter/Murray or Plowden off the bench.
Widely available on DFS sites and sportsbooks, this was -115 at time of post in premium.
#NBA #Gamblingπ #Playerprops
Bang! π΅π°
Keldon Johnson over 14.5 pts+rebs β
Blowout game script goes exactly as expected as Keldon cooks with the starters on the bench.
Even with the worst possible 1st half he still covered βΌ
LIKE this post & I'll drop a FREE NBA play today assuming lines don't shift too much π€
- 50% OFF 1 month ‡οΈ
dubclub.win/r/p/pri-8jd5d/?cβ¦
All plays were posted in the discord β
Have to push through the adversity, the narrow misses and poor shooting will swing back our way
Matt retweeted
π¨ π‘ππ ππ₯ππ π£πππ¬ π
- Keldon Johnson over 14.5 pts+rebs
$50 to someone who πππππ¦/Comments! Let me know if you're tailing π₯
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysisβ¬οΈ
Keldon Johnson gets a prime matchup and situation for success tonight against the Kings. We know Sacramento is a terrible team that doesn't play any defense.
Last season SAC ranked 28th in defensive rating and allowed the 8th most paint ppg along with the 6th most transition ppg. This plays well into Keldon's skillset, he is looking to use his size driving to the rim. Last year Johnson scored 65% of his total made FG's in the paint and 21% of his production came in transition.
So far early this year the Kings have remained bad, they rank 27th in defensive rating and allow 124 ppg which is 3rd highest in NBA. SAC also notably give up the for the 3rd most rebounds while playing at the 8th fastest pace. Getting alot of possession against a terrible defense is an ideal spot.
While the spread favors the Spurs by 18.5 pts, this should not affect Keldon much at all coming off the bench. In fact given his rotations, playing the ends of 1st and 3rd qtrs and start of 2nd and 4th qtrs, it's likely he plays those stints regardless.
The key here is in a big Spurs win, that would limit the starters minutes and Keldon may see more time with a higher usage with bench unit. These game scripts are always more favorable for bench players and Keldon has thrived in similar situations.
This year he saw 19 and 20 mins in the 2 losses, but got 26 minutes in the 16 point win. Last year in regular season with 18-28 mins, Keldon was over this line in 73.4% of games and avg 18.5 PR.
In wins that rises to a 76.6% hit rate and still over this line in 18/25 specifically with Wemby, Castle, Harper and Fox all in. In this scenario while also only including wins by 15+ pts to take into account the large spread, Keldon actually performed even better going over this line in 12/15 games (80%). This includes 19 PR vs SAC twice in wins by 17 and 28 pts.
Great spot and matchup here, I like the rebounding aspect since he'll likely spend time guarding lower usage wings like Hunter/Murray or Plowden off the bench.
Widely available on DFS sites and sportsbooks, this was -115 at time of post in premium.
#NBA #Gamblingπ #Playerprops
Matt retweeted
It takes 1 second to Like, 2 seconds to follow me, 10 seconds to comment on the attached FREE Play post! Show some love if you appreciate my work π€
Thanks to those who are always showing the support!
More engagement = more FREE plays π₯‡οΈ
π¨ π‘ππ ππ₯ππ π£πππ¬ π
- Keldon Johnson over 14.5 pts+rebs
$50 to someone who πππππ¦/Comments! Let me know if you're tailing π₯
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysisβ¬οΈ
Keldon Johnson gets a prime matchup and situation for success tonight against the Kings. We know Sacramento is a terrible team that doesn't play any defense.
Last season SAC ranked 28th in defensive rating and allowed the 8th most paint ppg along with the 6th most transition ppg. This plays well into Keldon's skillset, he is looking to use his size driving to the rim. Last year Johnson scored 65% of his total made FG's in the paint and 21% of his production came in transition.
So far early this year the Kings have remained bad, they rank 27th in defensive rating and allow 124 ppg which is 3rd highest in NBA. SAC also notably give up the for the 3rd most rebounds while playing at the 8th fastest pace. Getting alot of possession against a terrible defense is an ideal spot.
While the spread favors the Spurs by 18.5 pts, this should not affect Keldon much at all coming off the bench. In fact given his rotations, playing the ends of 1st and 3rd qtrs and start of 2nd and 4th qtrs, it's likely he plays those stints regardless.
The key here is in a big Spurs win, that would limit the starters minutes and Keldon may see more time with a higher usage with bench unit. These game scripts are always more favorable for bench players and Keldon has thrived in similar situations.
This year he saw 19 and 20 mins in the 2 losses, but got 26 minutes in the 16 point win. Last year in regular season with 18-28 mins, Keldon was over this line in 73.4% of games and avg 18.5 PR.
In wins that rises to a 76.6% hit rate and still over this line in 18/25 specifically with Wemby, Castle, Harper and Fox all in. In this scenario while also only including wins by 15+ pts to take into account the large spread, Keldon actually performed even better going over this line in 12/15 games (80%). This includes 19 PR vs SAC twice in wins by 17 and 28 pts.
Great spot and matchup here, I like the rebounding aspect since he'll likely spend time guarding lower usage wings like Hunter/Murray or Plowden off the bench.
Widely available on DFS sites and sportsbooks, this was -115 at time of post in premium.
#NBA #Gamblingπ #Playerprops
It takes 1 second to Like, 2 seconds to follow me, 10 seconds to comment on the attached FREE Play post! Show some love if you appreciate my work π€
Thanks to those who are always showing the support!
More engagement = more FREE plays π₯‡οΈ
π¨ π‘ππ ππ₯ππ π£πππ¬ π
- Keldon Johnson over 14.5 pts+rebs
$50 to someone who πππππ¦/Comments! Let me know if you're tailing π₯
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysisβ¬οΈ
Keldon Johnson gets a prime matchup and situation for success tonight against the Kings. We know Sacramento is a terrible team that doesn't play any defense.
Last season SAC ranked 28th in defensive rating and allowed the 8th most paint ppg along with the 6th most transition ppg. This plays well into Keldon's skillset, he is looking to use his size driving to the rim. Last year Johnson scored 65% of his total made FG's in the paint and 21% of his production came in transition.
So far early this year the Kings have remained bad, they rank 27th in defensive rating and allow 124 ppg which is 3rd highest in NBA. SAC also notably give up the for the 3rd most rebounds while playing at the 8th fastest pace. Getting alot of possession against a terrible defense is an ideal spot.
While the spread favors the Spurs by 18.5 pts, this should not affect Keldon much at all coming off the bench. In fact given his rotations, playing the ends of 1st and 3rd qtrs and start of 2nd and 4th qtrs, it's likely he plays those stints regardless.
The key here is in a big Spurs win, that would limit the starters minutes and Keldon may see more time with a higher usage with bench unit. These game scripts are always more favorable for bench players and Keldon has thrived in similar situations.
This year he saw 19 and 20 mins in the 2 losses, but got 26 minutes in the 16 point win. Last year in regular season with 18-28 mins, Keldon was over this line in 73.4% of games and avg 18.5 PR.
In wins that rises to a 76.6% hit rate and still over this line in 18/25 specifically with Wemby, Castle, Harper and Fox all in. In this scenario while also only including wins by 15+ pts to take into account the large spread, Keldon actually performed even better going over this line in 12/15 games (80%). This includes 19 PR vs SAC twice in wins by 17 and 28 pts.
Great spot and matchup here, I like the rebounding aspect since he'll likely spend time guarding lower usage wings like Hunter/Murray or Plowden off the bench.
Widely available on DFS sites and sportsbooks, this was -115 at time of post in premium.
#NBA #Gamblingπ #Playerprops
LIKE this post & I'll drop a FREE NBA play today assuming lines don't shift too much π€
- 50% OFF 1 month ‡οΈ
dubclub.win/r/p/pri-8jd5d/?cβ¦
All plays were posted in the discord β
Have to push through the adversity, the narrow misses and poor shooting will swing back our way
π¨ NBA FREE PLAY posted!
Run up the LIKES/RT'S on the attached post and let me know if you're tailing.
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π¨ π‘ππ ππ₯ππ π£πππ¬ π
- Keldon Johnson over 14.5 pts+rebs
$50 to someone who πππππ¦/Comments! Let me know if you're tailing π₯
Posted hours early in Discord. Analysisβ¬οΈ
Keldon Johnson gets a prime matchup and situation for success tonight against the Kings. We know Sacramento is a terrible team that doesn't play any defense.
Last season SAC ranked 28th in defensive rating and allowed the 8th most paint ppg along with the 6th most transition ppg. This plays well into Keldon's skillset, he is looking to use his size driving to the rim. Last year Johnson scored 65% of his total made FG's in the paint and 21% of his production came in transition.
So far early this year the Kings have remained bad, they rank 27th in defensive rating and allow 124 ppg which is 3rd highest in NBA. SAC also notably give up the for the 3rd most rebounds while playing at the 8th fastest pace. Getting alot of possession against a terrible defense is an ideal spot.
While the spread favors the Spurs by 18.5 pts, this should not affect Keldon much at all coming off the bench. In fact given his rotations, playing the ends of 1st and 3rd qtrs and start of 2nd and 4th qtrs, it's likely he plays those stints regardless.
The key here is in a big Spurs win, that would limit the starters minutes and Keldon may see more time with a higher usage with bench unit. These game scripts are always more favorable for bench players and Keldon has thrived in similar situations.
This year he saw 19 and 20 mins in the 2 losses, but got 26 minutes in the 16 point win. Last year in regular season with 18-28 mins, Keldon was over this line in 73.4% of games and avg 18.5 PR.
In wins that rises to a 76.6% hit rate and still over this line in 18/25 specifically with Wemby, Castle, Harper and Fox all in. In this scenario while also only including wins by 15+ pts to take into account the large spread, Keldon actually performed even better going over this line in 12/15 games (80%). This includes 19 PR vs SAC twice in wins by 17 and 28 pts.
Great spot and matchup here, I like the rebounding aspect since he'll likely spend time guarding lower usage wings like Hunter/Murray or Plowden off the bench.
Widely available on DFS sites and sportsbooks, this was -115 at time of post in premium.
#NBA #Gamblingπ #Playerprops
π NBA SEASON DEAL, $100 OFF ‡οΈ
dubclub.win/r/p/pri-g2xcj/?cβ¦
π°Last year just NBA slips: +130.81U
Prior 3 years of NBA reg szn months (some mixed sports slips)
π°+189.5U, 2024-25
π°+245.87U, 2023-24
π°+239.8U, 2023-23
Any Likes, RT's, comments are greatly appreciated and help the algorithm push my content and page to more people!
Preparing the FREE Play write up now!
Keep those notifications on π
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I've hit these at an above 70% clip for more than 3 years
LIKE this post & I'll drop a FREE NBA play today assuming lines don't shift too much π€
- 50% OFF 1 month ‡οΈ
dubclub.win/r/p/pri-8jd5d/?cβ¦
All plays were posted in the discord β
Have to push through the adversity, the narrow misses and poor shooting will swing back our way
All of the Free Premium winners have been messaged for free access/extension π€
Always going to try to give back in a variety of ways, especially during rough stretches. Now let's start the new week out strong today in discord.
As promised, for every 25 LIKES on this post, someone will get FREE Premium
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Keeping my word since we were unable to close the weekend with a profit.
Foul trouble/poor shooting in NBA cost us from having a nice day overall. Instead 2-2 across both NBA and NFL.
Happy Monday, Should I drop a FREE play today for this big NBA slate π
All plays have been posted in discord.
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π NBA SEASON DEAL, $100 OFF ‡οΈ
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Feeling strong about our spits and values for tonight
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π NBA SEASON DEAL, $100 OFF ‡οΈ
dubclub.win/r/p/pri-g2xcj/?cβ¦
π°Last year just NBA slips: +130.81U
Prior 3 years of NBA reg szn months (some mixed sports slips)
π°+189.5U, 2024-25
π°+245.87U, 2023-24
π°+239.8U, 2023-23
I can't wait to put together some of the best results in the industry for NBA once again this season π€
Every single play is tracked and recapped every day and comes with an in-depth write up showing you why everything I post has objective value. Very few to none go as deep as I do into every play on top of film analysis as well as actually knowing the sport (schemes, individual matchups etc.)
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As promised, for every 25 LIKES on this post, someone will get FREE Premium
To enter:
- LIKE this post and be following me
@Mattplayerprops
Keeping my word since we were unable to close the weekend with a profit.
Foul trouble/poor shooting in NBA cost us from having a nice day overall. Instead 2-2 across both NBA and NFL.
If tomorrow isn't profitable, will be giving away a bunch of FREE PREMIUM extensions.
We have NFL with plays posted earlier, hope to get back on track with that considering we've gone +14.69U the last 2 NFL Sunday's.
I'll also be diving into some NBA research and hope to have some action there and potentially a FREE Play on here π€
BANG π°
Jalen Brunson over 25.5 points β
One of the best reads you can make with the absurd usage he had. Glad for JB to finally come through with 28 pts despite horrific shooting stretches and missing 3 FT's
