Pinned Tweet
I wrote a book about how to actually get real value out of AI.
It's for CEOs and solopreneurs and skeptics and enthusiasts alike.
It's the no-nonsense, bullshit-free guide that a lot of people need, but were afraid to ask for.
You can pre-order it now.
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
In a recent NYT debate, Paul Kedrosky claimed that 80% of Anthropic revenues come from 8 companies. He claimed Meta alone makes up 10%.
As Azeem Azhar pointed out, this concentration was declining over time and we'd have an answer in the S-1.
The S-1 tells us:
"No single customer represented more than 10% of our revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2026. Approximately 79% of our revenue came from customers outside of our top five customers for the three months ended September 30, 2026, up from approximately 64% for the three months ended March 31, 2026."
So that resolves it. Concentration is below the levels Kedrosky warned of, and falling.
nytimes.com/2026/10/16/opini…
sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…
My initial S-1 thoughts:
As I expected, Anthropic is still firmly unprofitable. But, to their credit, they've significantly reduced compute costs as a % of revenue, leading to much narrower losses. On first look, there is a plausible and imminent path to profitability. This is impressive.
However, the meat of the document begins at page 161, under "liquidity and capital resources." There, we learn where the true compute costs have been hiding: future compute purchase agreements.
As of June 30, Anthropic has signed roughly $587 billion in compute leases and minimum purchase commitments that haven't begun. It has since signed $245 billion more, resulting in more than $800B in future compute costs. None of these costs have made their way onto the income statement yet. But they will, and when they do, the profitability picture will look completely different.
Anthropic acknowledges how precarious these agreements are. They point out that their compute providers (on whom they also rely for financial support) also sell services that "compete with ours." As a result, these providers/competitors may eventually force them into onerous agreements. This is something I've expressed concerns about for a while, and it's nice to see Anthropic openly recognize it.
That's why Anthropic admitted their most significant strategic decision: They're about to initiate "substantial capital expenditures." So far, they've spent zero. Why the change? Because they know they can no longer rely on leasing compute, "the magnitude and timing" of which are "inherently uncertain." So, they're going to build their own compute, which will, in their words, "change the cash flow profile of our business." I.e. make it severely negative.
It's possible that this is why they want to go public now. Since these costs have not yet "come online," they can be left as footnotes at the bottom of the document. But very soon, that won't be possible.
In sum, Anthropic's income statement is not telling you the full picture. To the company's credit, they spared us the accounting gymnastics of stripping out training costs in their non-GAAP adjustments. That would have been offensive. Still, the most important numbers aren't getting the requisite attention.
I encourage you to start at page 161 for a more complete understanding of what's going on.
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
There is something really concerning (and disappointing) going on in the US right now.
A dangerous and preventable situation.
Let me explain.
nextstrain.org/avian-flu/h5n…
1/
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
"The Defector" - a 5,500-word espionage tale in today's WSJ that I can guarantee is worth your time.
I spent months speaking to one of the deadliest saboteurs in recent military history, a Russian officer who helped Kyiv kill hundreds of his fellow troops wsj.com/world/russian-defect…
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
This post radicalized me into hosting a dinner party.
New newsletter: THE DEATH OF THE AMERICAN HOST
The share of Americans who say they host friends or family at their home at least monthly has declined by 70 percent in the last 50 years.
derekthompson.org/p/the-deat…
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
A devastating finding. washingtonpost.com/climate-e…
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
Moderna and Merck’s personalized mRNA cancer vaccine reduced melanoma recurrence by 42%. We already have a vaccine that prevents cancer (HPV). Now we’re going to have vaccines individually targeted to treat your cancer. This is the same technology that our government cut NIH support by $500 million. statnews.com/2026/10/22/esmo… via @statnews
Trump Consistently Touts the Economy. The Internet Isn’t Buying It.
WSJ analysis of 6,000+ TikTok videos:
wsj.com/politics/elections/t…
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
My deep dive on the "A.I.-driven" Alpha School, revealing their internal learning and enrollment data for the first time, just as the network expands into public education.
There is a big gap between the marketing and reality.
nytimes.com/2026/10/23/us/al…
New: The three researchers OpenAI fired last month spent the summer fighting to keep AI's chain-of-thought process visible.
Then, OpenAI asked to see their Signal chats. A week later, they were let go.
More below from @keachhagey, @berber_jin1, and me.
wsj.com/tech/ai/the-signal-c…
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
Readers challenged Christopher @Mims to try an affordable EV on a route with less-than-ideal charging options, so he devised a nearly 1,000-mile torture test for a 2027 Chevy Bolt. Here’s what happened. 🔗 on.wsj.com/4yG5fbx
I went to Phoenix to spend time with the Taiwanese community. TSMC will invest $265 billion and send thousands of engineers and their families, which marvel at their new lives in the Sunbelt
My first feature as a contributing writer to the New York Times:
nytimes.com/2026/10/23/opini…
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
His name is Ondřej Surý and yesterday he kinda saved the internet. I called him up to talk about it! theatlantic.com/technology/2…
Readers challenged Christopher @Mims to try an affordable EV on a route with less-than-ideal charging options, so he devised a nearly 1,000-mile torture test for a 2027 Chevy Bolt. Here’s what happened. on.wsj.com/4i2dNo1
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
There are reports this morning that @SpaceX’s Starshield has been restored for Ukrainian use. That is not the case.
As one staff officer from a key, large unit, told me just now:
“We fly over 180 (km/h), fly for a few minutes, lose connection, drop to 140-150, lose connection, speed up again but the connection is still crashing.”
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
Last month, OpenAI called in the three outspoken safety researchers and asked them to unlock their personal phones. It was conducting a leak investigation into a story in The Information about Astra’s use of opaque architectures, and the company’s plans to continue down that path. A week later, at 2 p.m., they were all fired.
Our story, w/ @ZeffMax and @berber_jin1 , looks at the battle over how much AI companies should share with third-party monitors like METR and Redwood to ensure AI safety wsj.com/tech/ai/the-signal-c… via @WSJ
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
Quest Diagnostics has been hacked. Patient data was exposed. They serve roughly half of U.S. hospitals and physicians. Investigation ongoing.
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
New: Meta is creating a new stock class to help fund its AI spending spree
wsj.com/articles/metaplatfor…
Christopher Mims 🤌 retweeted
you're just going about your day and you now get to read stuff like "Trump says Sundar Pichai talked him out of renaming the Atlantic Ocean" and you just have to nod and move on with your day.
“Oceans are different, sir.” lmao
theverge.com/policy/1016751/…






























