We are living in the Golden Ages --- Per Aspera, Ad Astra

Joined March 2024
Pinned Tweet
Aerospace Empire
26
293
14
7,323
162,686
Nantucket nationalism
1
109
1,940
live a little more
12
127
1,919
fall never disappoints
2
5
120
1,727
You v the guy she tells you not to worry about
1
35
1,345
used Grok Bot for an initial read: How it makes money Two ways: pay-as-you-go pricing, where customers pay per token (small chunks of text) they use, and subscriptions. A growing number of enterprises sign multi-year contracts with minimum spend Revenue: $41M (2023) → $386M (2024) → $4.59B (2025) First half of 2026: $16.29B, up from $1.16B a year earlier, about 14x The company says it expects its growth rate "to decline over time" Where the money goes H1 2026 costs were $16.98B: compute $8.95B, sales & marketing $3.17B, staff $3.15B, other $1.71B Compute alone was about 55% of revenue The operating loss fell from $2.14B in H1 2025 to $693M in H1 2026 Cash from operations flipped from –$1.51B to +$3.93B So why is the net loss $80.75B? $72.39B of it is a "change in fair value of convertible notes, derivative liabilities, and SAFEs" In plain terms, early investors put money in through instruments that turn into stock later. As Anthropic's value rose, the accounting value of those future shares rose too, and that increase is booked as a loss. No cash goes out the door How the IPO works Class A common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market, ticker "ANT" Price range, share count and offering size are blank in this draft. Those usually come in a later amendment Who controls it, and why Anthropic is a Delaware public benefit corporation, so by law it must weigh a public mission alongside shareholder returns. The mission: "the responsible development and maintenance of advanced AI for the long-term benefit of humanity" The Long-Term Benefit Trust, described as "financially disinterested," holds Class T stock, which elects directors who "constitute a majority" of the board The co-founders' Founder LLC holds one share of Class F, "a special class of our common stock" Employees get Class E stock, which votes only on limited matters and carries no economic rights Anthropic will be a "controlled company" under Nasdaq rules What it means for buyers: Class A holders get the economics, but they don't control the board Compute dependence Claude runs on AWS Trainium, Google TPUs, NVIDIA GPUs and AMD GPUs Compute commitments total "more than $[blank]" in this draft, "substantially all" of it compute and infrastructure Many are take-or-pay: Anthropic owes the money "regardless of actual utilization" Biggest risks, in plain terms Falling behind: success depends on building "the most advanced and capable AI models" Big-customer dependence: losing "one or more of our largest customers" could hurt results Copyright: it agreed to a $1.5B settlement of the Bartz authors' class action and still faces suits from music publishers Fixed compute bills even if demand slows On an operating basis, Anthropic is near breakeven and already producing cash, with revenue up about 14x year over year. The giant net loss is mostly accounting.
Anthropic has filed an S-1 registration statement with the SEC related to its proposed IPO. Read more: anthropic.com/news/s1-sec Legal disclaimer: A registration statement relating to these securities has been filed with the SEC but has not yet become effective. These securities may not be sold, nor may offers to buy be accepted, prior to the time the registration statement becomes effective. This post does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy these securities, nor shall there be any sale of these securities in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction.
2
1
1
14
1,788
blessed to see another week
3
19
1
471
7,282
the sea is supreme
4
61
1,231
22,802
relaxed weekends
1
15
371
6,125
here are some painting i like
8
138
2
2,110
29,305
wealth is a lot more than just money
2
8
229
3,553
Banff is worth the visit
7
31
1
486
10,089
imagine posting up here with the absolute boys
2
8
202
3,020