@NBAFirstBasket

#NBAtwitter Data Analysis and NBA First Basket Plays - Up 100 units over last 4 seasons.

 Indy
Joined January 2021
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  • Following776
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2.2KMedia
Thanks for following along this season- I've enjoyed the interaction with all of you. Posted my fewest plays in a long time, but am proud of the result acheived this year. Hopefully you found the data provided useful to you.
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Game and Player data for Tuesday. Thru 1 week of the season, free plays have risked 6.8 units with a profit of 2.9 units for a 42% ROI. Jumpers listed in green have the most likely chance to win the tip tonight. Might be back with a play later today.
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No matter how likely Wemby is to score first, I can't bet him at his current odds (+240 to +270). This implies roughly a 40% chance to score first.
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PG with a first basket!
NBA First Basket
@NBAFirstBasketOct 26
Game data and a play for Monday. Will add Player data this afternoon. BOS and MIA have the biggest tip-off advantage tonight. I like BOS to score first. Tatum scored 1st team basket in both games this yr. 0.5 units each. B365- Tatum +600 FD - George +500
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Player data for Monday Dropped Tatum/PG as plays earlier today. Adding 1 more. FD - Adebayo +550 risk 0.5 units (not adding another player here) DAL is 2nd worst team in league allowing C to score first basket in 33% of games. Quickpickbot link below
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quickpick.pikkit.com/betslip…

QuickPickBot by Pikkit

Pikkit | Sports Betting Tracker, Odds, Insights & Analysis

quickpick.pikkit.com
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Game data and a play for Monday. Will add Player data this afternoon. BOS and MIA have the biggest tip-off advantage tonight. I like BOS to score first. Tatum scored 1st team basket in both games this yr. 0.5 units each. B365- Tatum +600 FD - George +500
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17,552
Damn- hate seeing injuries like this.
Hoop Central
@TheHoopCentralOct 26
Jalen Williams has suffered a serious ankle injury, and they are bringing out the stretcher Sending prayers. 🙏
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Pacers win the tip. Siakam misses a 3 but Zubac makes a running layup for a first basket!!
NBA First Basket
@NBAFirstBasketOct 25
Pacers-Nets play I think Zubac wins the tip. Risking 0.5 units each DK - Siakam +620 FD - Zubac +650
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Pacers-Nets play I think Zubac wins the tip. Risking 0.5 units each DK - Siakam +620 FD - Zubac +650
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Game and Player data for Sunday. Might be back with a play early this evening. Nothing stands out to me at the moment. A couple of backup centers starting took away the few I thought there was an edge.
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Nba.com is the source of truth for all first baskets. First basket bets include free throws. If you bet 1st FG, Watson hit it.
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Interesting. Usually they get it right. I was watching the game so didn’t look until comments popped up. All good.
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Jarrett Allen gets fouled and makes a free throw for a first basket!!!
NBA First Basket
@NBAFirstBasketOct 24
Playing Cavs first basket tonight for 0.5 units each Bet365 - Mobley +550 FD - Allen +470 Nets gave up first basket to C or F position LY in 73% of games. I calculate probabilites of 28% for Allen and 19% for Mobley. Good luck if you tail!
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Playing Cavs first basket tonight for 0.5 units each Bet365 - Mobley +550 FD - Allen +470 Nets gave up first basket to C or F position LY in 73% of games. I calculate probabilites of 28% for Allen and 19% for Mobley. Good luck if you tail!
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Game data for Saturday. Last day of fall break for me then will get back to posting player data. The Heat, Cavs, 76ers and Spurs have the best chance to win the opening-tip today. Those are the games I'd focus if making any plays.
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Bam had a first basket attempt and misses
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Rolling with the Heat tonight. 0.5 units each DK Giannis + 389 FD Bam Adebayo +550
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Game data for Friday. First game tips at 4pm ET. 5 teams highlighted in green are most likely to win the opening tip-off. Will be back with a play later today.
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Wild 76ers come back. Fun to watch and be at.
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Randomly in Philly for golf trip. Decided to take in a 76ers game. Allen when healthy should win the tip. No official play from me, but Mobley and Maxey are who I’d play.
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