Chet retweeted
Many years ago managing partner loops me into call with him and the Associate below me to go over cash flow forecast and debt amendment (we were blowing thru covenants) while I was about six cocktails deep after skiing in Breckenridge. Was a rough one...tbf was on a defined vacation but didn't matter .
Chet retweeted
Today we’re launching markets on Business Sector KPI’s.
Kalshi originally launched KPI markets to provide investors with direct exposure to the underlying events that move stocks.
If you had a thesis on Tesla’s Q4 car deliveries, instead of just buying or shorting the stock as a proxy, these markets enabled you to trade directly on the number of deliveries.
But what if your thesis isn't about a single company, but rather a broader, sector-wide trend?
If you are bullish on the adoption of robotics, delivery apps, or content streaming, you could buy a basket (ETF) of individual stocks in each sector, but in doing so, you become exposed to the external variables that influence stock prices.
Our new Sector KPI markets enable users to trade on aggregated performance.
For example, if you have a view on the mobile adoption of AI, you can now trade on the combined monthly downloads for Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, and Grok.
We have KPI markets for aggregated credit card spend, point of sale data, and foot traffic, with more to come.
These markets offer a new way to express an opinion and, of course, hedge risk.
Chet retweeted
Wall Street spent decades building ways for big corporations to hedge risk.
Prediction markets bring that power to small businesses.
From restaurants to farmers to tourist towns, suddenly you can insure against events no insurance company would touch.
I find it poetic that longevity requires giving up life's pleasures, one by one, until there's nothing left
Sometimes I’ll drop in on a random car show and the most chad old men are there flexing the coolest cars you’ve never seen
My dad is a psychopath. In the McDonalds drive through, the lady asked him if he could pull the car forward to wait in a parking spot because the food isn’t ready. He said “no.”
?? lmao
Only 10 oysters deep and suddenly I’m confident I would have prevented 9/11 if I was on the plane. It really is just like chasing inspiration with a club. Hemingway was right.
This is not performative. I feel a certain way about oysters… A way that can only be described through experience. Any other stupid questions?
Farming was considered the most respectable profession in ancient Rome (owning land, self reliance). Actors were considered unworthy of respect (seek approval from the crowd).
In 21st century America, it's the other way around.
Finance in general is increasingly becoming oversaturated. If you are in college I recommend doing something else. Ideally something nobody is talking about.
> French govt spending is 57% of GDP
Yeah it’s over lmao
One of the Partner’s sons is working at the firm now and he spends his entire day sitting in his cubicle applying for other jobs.
Nepo hire final boss





















