Macro analyst @WealthGroup - Join me here ↓
Joined December 2021
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I prepared a new market overview with a focus on crypto, stock markets and current macro developments.
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Funny how markets are possibly pricing in democrats taking over the majority in the Congress like it matters. Markets always find reasons to go up because they are designed that way, regardless of who wins the US midterms.
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I think bitcoin:native is holding up relatively well, not only considering the scale of the Binance hack, but also the turmoil in equities, where several large-cap stocks have missed earnings expectations and suffered double-digit declines.
Pretty wild how BTC and BTC/SPX still follow the March 2023 fractal precisely. The FUD source back then was different, but it is always something that brings the market towards big areas.
$BTC finally getting into the 50W/200D moving averages as discussed a few weeks ago after the 3D bear div formed. I think this is a bullish retest which should print a higher low. Anything from here down to 72Kish should be for accumulation with an invalidation below 69K-67K.
$BTC finally getting into the 50W/200D moving averages as discussed a few weeks ago after the 3D bear div formed. I think this is a bullish retest which should print a higher low. Anything from here down to 72Kish should be for accumulation with an invalidation below 69K-67K.
I am still locally cautious with BTC as it has yet to reset or invalidate the 3D bearish divergence it printed below yearly open recently. I remain optimistic on the macro outlook though. I think if BTC goes for a higher low scenario at some point, the first big area of interest should be high 70Ks, where we have the 50W moving averages which were recently flipped.m
I don't think BTC is in a distribution phase here. It rather looks like re-accumulation before higher. We may or may not tap lower towards the 200D/50W moving averages, but I think ultimately it will trade higher. Invalidation would be a weekly close below 67K.
Three years as a macro analyst in @WealthGroup. Thank you all for being part of my journey and trusting my analysis. Your support means a lot. Here’s to more years together! 💚
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I prepared a new market overview with a focus on stock markets which are increasingly becoming more interesting. I also discuss my macro outlook on BTC. Join me here for full analysis here:
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