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No blinders. Just data-driven player props across the NBA, WNBA & NFL that beat the books 💪

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Joined January 2025
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Peaky Props retweeted
We got an efficient night out of the rookie, he made all 4 of his shots to give us a sweat free 1st half cash🔥 ❤️Like if you Tailed!
Trust The Rookie👶 Meleek Thomas o8.5 Points (-103 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - With a 100% hit rate this season, this line does feel like a bit of a trap but I'm going to bite on the rookie. Over this line in 8/8 games this season averaging 13 PPG. - You may think it is because of high efficiency but he's actually getting decent volume/ opportunity. 20.9% usage rate to go along with 10.4 FGA per game. - Matchup against the Knicks who he scored 9 against 2 games ago on a healthy 10 FGA. 54% of his points come from C&S opportunities in which the Knicks are allowing the 3rd highest frequency over the L10 games. - Knicks on a B2B and the Cavs don't have Merill and potentially no Tyson. Thomas was one of the lone bright spots against the Hornets, would like to think he's carved out close to 25 minutes here.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Peaky's Picks 11/11🪽 ❤️Like if Tailing Any! - Franz Wagner o23.5 Points (-118) - Meleek Thomas o8.5 Points (-103) - Cameron Boozer o16.5 Points (-113) - Day'Ron Sharpe o7.5 Rebounds (-115) - Walker Kessler o24.5 PR (-113)
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Peaky Props retweeted
He's A Wagon🐐 Walker Kessler o24.5 PR (-113 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - With the Bucks on a Back-to-Back don't see how this one doesn't end in a blowout for the Lakers. However, Kessler has been involved in 4 blowouts this season and minutes have been solid 30, 26, 31, and 32. - Over this line in 7/11 games this season averaging 27.3 PR when he gets 10%+ usage. Matchup against the Bucks is ideal for Kessler, 6th most points in the restricted area while allowing the 2nd most rebounds and most O-Rebs. Perfect opportunity to get some putbacks. - They've just been dominated by opposing bigs this season and haven't shown any signs of improvement. Recently we seen: KAT (37), Queta (22 & 21), Poeltl (30), Allen (36), Mobley (32) etc. - Admittedly a concern is that this is also a great matchup for Luka and Reaves but hoping they let the big boy get his in this one as well.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Board Man Gets Paid💪 Day'Ron Sharpe o7.5 Rebounds (-115 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Backing Day'Ron here after a blowout loss against the Mavericks. 4.5 spread here so think the Nets can keep this one competitive. - Day'Ron is over this line in just 4/10 games but has seen great opportunity at 16.3 rebound chances per. With 21+ minutes he is over this line in 4/7 averaging 8.1 on 17.6 chances. Two misses came in tough center rebounding matchups. - Matchup against the Pelicans is favorable. They've been trending down and allow the 6th most to opposing centers. We've seen: Bassey (10), Lopez (7), Gobert (11), Bamba (10), Edey (9), Okongwu (10) etc. - Baring any foul trouble or blowout would like to think Sharpe plays 27-30 minutes in this one.
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Peaky Props retweeted
He's The ROTY🏆 Cameron Boozer o16.5 Points (-113 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Home shooting splits are kind of ugly for Boozer but hoping for some positive regression here. I do think he gets the best matchup in this spot. - Boozer is over this line in 5/10 games this season averaging 16.2 PPG. Against teams not in the top 10 for defensive rating and not in the top 5 vs C&S he's over in 5/7 averaging 19.1 PPG. - Tough matchup for Jerome as the Nuggets are the 2nd best Pull Up defense in the league. On the other hand they are weak vs outside scorers giving up the most spot up PPG and the 4th most C&S FGM over the L10 games. - Like rolling with Boozer in this as not only are they weak to outside scoring but also inside. 9th most paint points allowed and the 5th most in the restricted area. 30th in PPG allowed vs opposing forwards.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Trust The Rookie👶 Meleek Thomas o8.5 Points (-103 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - With a 100% hit rate this season, this line does feel like a bit of a trap but I'm going to bite on the rookie. Over this line in 8/8 games this season averaging 13 PPG. - You may think it is because of high efficiency but he's actually getting decent volume/ opportunity. 20.9% usage rate to go along with 10.4 FGA per game. - Matchup against the Knicks who he scored 9 against 2 games ago on a healthy 10 FGA. 54% of his points come from C&S opportunities in which the Knicks are allowing the 3rd highest frequency over the L10 games. - Knicks on a B2B and the Cavs don't have Merill and potentially no Tyson. Thomas was one of the lone bright spots against the Hornets, would like to think he's carved out close to 25 minutes here.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Put The Ball In The Basket🧺 Franz Wagner o23.5 Points (-118 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Back to back 30+ point performances for Franz, finally found his scoring grove and like to see him continue that in this spot. - Over this line in just 4/8 games since Paulo went down but the volume has been there averaging 18.5 FGA + 6 FTA. Now gets arguable his best scoring matchup of the bunch against the Jazz. - Over the L10 games the Jazz are allowing the most PPG to opposing PnR Ball Handlers and the 2nd highest frequency of shots within 10 FT. This accounts for both Franz's highest areas of production. They are also 23rd vs opposing forwards points allowed.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Peaky's Recap 11/10: 3-2📈 ❤️Like if you Tailed Any! ✅- Anthony Black o9.5 RA (12) +.97u ✅- Paul George o4.5 Rebounds (5) +.87u ✅- Darryn Peterson o17.5 Points (15) +.83u ❌- Deni Avdija u13.5 RA (14) -1u ❌- Brook Lopez o17.5 PR (12) -1u Daily P&L: +0.67 Units📈 Another profitable day, lets keep stacking.
Peaky's Picks 11.10🥃 ❤️Like if Tailing Any! - Anthony Black o9.5 RA (-103) - Paul George o4.5 Rebounds (-115) - Darryn Peterson o17.5 Points (-120) - Deni Avdija u13.5 RA (-125) - Brook Lopez o17.5 PR (-119)
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Peaky Props retweeted
✅ Another 3rd quarter cash! We caught a nice number with Markkanen getting rules out as well 📈 ❤️Like if you Tailed!
Put The Ball In The Basket🧺 Darryn Peterson o17.5 Points (-120 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Backing the rookie in this spot, matchup is a bit middling but think their could be decent opportunity. George was already ruled out and Markkanen is questionable, if the later is to miss Peterson should have the greenest of lights. - Without Jaren Jackson Jr., Peterson has managed to clear this line in just 3/6 games averaging 17 PPG. Has had to compete for usage but had his best game last time out vs Minnesota and took 21 shots in Markkanen's absence. - Matchup against Miami, they're good vs PnR Ball Handlers but poor vs Pull Up Shooters. They're allowing the 4th most points overall and the most to opposing guards. Should be relatively blowout proof.
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Peaky Props retweeted
✅ Paul George gets his revenge. After 4 rebounds in the 1st half gets it done nice and early in the 3rd 🔥 ❤️ Like if you Tailed!
Revenge Game Alert🚨 Paul George o4.5 Rebounds (-115 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Just an angle we've already taken multiple times this year, rebounds vs the 76ers & Embiid. Recently Philadelphia have been trending up in the rebounds department but still think this is a good matchup. - George is over this line in 5/7 games this year, both misses came against the Bucks who allow the 11th least rebounds to forwards. Matchup against Philly who allow the 3rd most and have seen numerous forwards go over: Watson (9), Wilson (7), Thompson (17) etc. - Rebounds are a hustle stat so the cherry on top is we get the revenge narrative with the game in Philadelphia. When he was traded he expressed the desire to prove the doubters wrong, no better place to do that than in front of them very critics.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Peaky's Picks 11.10🥃 ❤️Like if Tailing Any! - Anthony Black o9.5 RA (-103) - Paul George o4.5 Rebounds (-115) - Darryn Peterson o17.5 Points (-120) - Deni Avdija u13.5 RA (-125) - Brook Lopez o17.5 PR (-119)
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Peaky Props retweeted
Splash Mountain🌋 Brook Lopez o17.5 PR (-119 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Jackson will return for this one but fully expecting Lopez to keep his starting job and minutes. Should be good for 23-28 minutes here as long as he doesn't get himself into foul trouble. - With 20+ minutes this year he is over this line in 6/8 games averaging 20.9 PR per game. He is averaging 28.8 PR per36 minutes which equates to 20 PR per25. - Matchup against Phoenix who are not only on the 2nd leg of a B2B but also get destroyed by opposing bigs usually. 30th vs C P&R in which we seen: Wembanyama (51), WCJ (40), Clingan (35), Bassey (27), Hartenstein (28) etc.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Fade Israel✡️ Deni Avdija u13.5 RA (-125 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Overall I just think this is a tough matchup. Deni is under this line in 5/9 games this year averaging 12.8 RA on just 23.4 RA chances. - With Ja Morant on the floor he was averaging 15.4 RA Per36 minutes but with him OFF the floor has dropped slightly to 13.9 Per36. 3/4 overs came in friendly matchups vs Lakers and Suns. In games with Morant he averaged 25.3 RA chances vs 23 RA chances without him. - Matchup against OKC is tough. They allow the 4th least RA to opposing G-F and play at one of the slower paces in the league. 12.5 would be a .75 unit play.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Put The Ball In The Basket🧺 Darryn Peterson o17.5 Points (-120 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Backing the rookie in this spot, matchup is a bit middling but think their could be decent opportunity. George was already ruled out and Markkanen is questionable, if the later is to miss Peterson should have the greenest of lights. - Without Jaren Jackson Jr., Peterson has managed to clear this line in just 3/6 games averaging 17 PPG. Has had to compete for usage but had his best game last time out vs Minnesota and took 21 shots in Markkanen's absence. - Matchup against Miami, they're good vs PnR Ball Handlers but poor vs Pull Up Shooters. They're allowing the 4th most points overall and the most to opposing guards. Should be relatively blowout proof.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Revenge Game Alert🚨 Paul George o4.5 Rebounds (-115 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Just an angle we've already taken multiple times this year, rebounds vs the 76ers & Embiid. Recently Philadelphia have been trending up in the rebounds department but still think this is a good matchup. - George is over this line in 5/7 games this year, both misses came against the Bucks who allow the 11th least rebounds to forwards. Matchup against Philly who allow the 3rd most and have seen numerous forwards go over: Watson (9), Wilson (7), Thompson (17) etc. - Rebounds are a hustle stat so the cherry on top is we get the revenge narrative with the game in Philadelphia. When he was traded he expressed the desire to prove the doubters wrong, no better place to do that than in front of them very critics.
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Peaky Props retweeted
He Will Dominate Tonight😈 Anthony Black o9.5 RA (-103 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - We're getting both a juiced 4.5 rebounds and a 4.5 assists line so like going the RA route for close to even money. Over this line in 4/5 games this year with 25 minutes. - With 25+ minutes this year he is averaging 12.4 RA on a very healthy 21.4 RA chances. His only miss came against the Knicks who allow the 3rd least RA to opposing guards in which Suggs was also active. - Matchup against the Kings tonight who are 29th in RA allowed to opposing guards. They've allowed numerous of guards achieve 10+ RA with Mitchell being the latest 2 nights ago. Also play at one of the faster paces so should be opportunity.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Peaky's Recap 11/09: 4-1📈 ❤️Like if you Tailed Any! ✅- Walker Kessler o12.5 Points (21) +.84u ✅- Devin Booker o23.5 Points (32) +.83u ✅- Ivica Zubac o17.5 PR (19) +.83u ✅- James Cook o79.5 Rushing Yards (102+) +.82u ❌- Ausar Thompson o11.5 RA (9) -1u Daily P&L: +2.32 Units📈 Good day today, slight foul trouble for Ausar effected his minutes slightly but not sure it would've hit regardless. Feeling kind of burned out so might step away from posting for a while.
Peaky's Picks 11.09🥃 ❤️Like if Tailing Any! - Walker Kessler o12.5 Points (-119) - Ausar Thompson o11.5 RA (+100) - Devin Booker o23.5 Points (-120) - Ivica Zubac o17.5 PR (-120) - James Cook o79.5 Rushing Yards (-122)
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Peaky Props retweeted
✅Kessler continues to be a wagon for us! Easy first half cash here🔥 ❤️Like if you Tailed!
Put The Ball In The Basket🧺 Walker Kessler o12.5 Points (-119 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - For the same reasons we backed Sharpe in this matchup I am looking towards Kessler. Lakers on a B2B and probably get Luka back, but this is just such a good rim funnel matchup. - Over the L10 games the Hawks are allowing the highest frequency of shots within 10 FT, most restricted area FGM, 3rd most FGM from shots within 10 FT, and the 4th most points to the roll-man. - This is perfect for Kessler as he gets a ridiculous 98% of his points from within 10 FT of the basket. In favorable center scoring matchups he's over this line in 4/5 games averaging 15.4 PPG.
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Peaky Props retweeted
Peaky's Picks 11.09🥃 ❤️Like if Tailing Any! - Walker Kessler o12.5 Points (-119) - Ausar Thompson o11.5 RA (+100) - Devin Booker o23.5 Points (-120) - Ivica Zubac o17.5 PR (-120) - James Cook o79.5 Rushing Yards (-122)
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Peaky Props retweeted
Let Him Run🏃 James Cook o79.5 Rushing Yards (-122 | 1 Unit) ❤️Like if you want another Play! - Backing Cook on the ground in this one. Vikings defense is tough and they don't face a lot of plays but have been prone as of late to some huge rushing games against them. - The way to attack them is on the ground, 25th in yards/carry. Just seen Gibbs put up 153, Taylor 95, Gordon 100 etc. They've really struggled tackling opposing RBs ranking 31st in YACO/Carry. - Vikings want to run the ball and Buffalo is pretty stout run d. Way to beat them is through the air but they will be starting Carson Wentz, think we could get a relatively friendly script despite Buffalo being on the road.
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