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The Picks Office
Joined February 2019
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11,068 picks on my public record. +725.7 units with an +5.6% ROI.
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Warriors -7 (-110) ✅
Golden State wins 120-100. Curry hit six threes, and the Warriors pulled away in the third quarter. Thank you, Steph.
nitter.gq/1101169058525917184/st…
Miami has to chase Golden State's shooters the night after overtime in Los Angeles. The Warriors have been off since Monday.
Bam Adebayo has linked fatigue to Miami's defensive communication. Against an offense with 129 made threes through eight games, missed assignments can turn into a bigger lead.
The Heat allowed 41% from three in their first seven games. That perimeter matchup, with the rest gap, is why I favor Warriors -7.
Stephen Curry is projected to play. Golden State also beat the Clippers 124-112 without Curry and Draymond Green on Sunday.
Yaxel Lendeborg scored 37 and De'Anthony Melton had 21 in that win. Brandon Williams added 17 off the bench.
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bet365's NJ Prop Protect can keep an SGP alive while changing what a winning ticket pays.
On a qualifying straight prop, an injury ruling returns the stake in Bonus Bets if the outcome is still undecided. On a parlay, SGP or SGP+, bet365 removes the injured selection, recalculates the ticket and lets the remaining legs run. Any subsequent return is paid in Bonus Bets.
So getting the other legs right still doesn't produce a cash payout from that recalculated ticket. Those Bonus Bets can't be withdrawn, must be used within seven days of credit and don't return the Bonus Bet stake when they win. Winnings from using them go into the withdrawable balance.
Coverage applies to qualifying pregame/live Player Props and depends on the league's cutoff. The team or league must officially announce the injury and that the player won't return. A selection that goes on to win, or had already lost before the injury ruling, isn't covered. Neither are cashed-out bets, preseason games or look-ahead markets.
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The NBA told its sportsbook partners to remove first-basket bets for 2026-27.
BetMGM still has a first-basket odds article dated Nov. 4. That looks contradictory until you separate a published odds page from a bet you can actually place.
The release also says authorized prediction-market operator deals will carry restrictions aligned with its latest sports-betting rules. It doesn't publish the same prop-by-prop list.
The older claim that the NBA has no prediction-market agreements is out of date.
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Stop paying for betting splits. Today's board is right here.
NHL ML
Ducks +167: 11% Handle | 29% Bets
Oilers -187: 89% Handle | 71% Bets
Predators +180: 68% Handle | 29% Bets
Avalanche -202: 32% Handle | 71% Bets
JMU has led at halftime in 3 straight games, but lost its last 2 in OT. Southern Miss has won 2 straight.
James Madison:
- Covered the 1st-half spread in 7 of its last 9 games.
- Braeden Wisloski had 39+ receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 road games.
Southern Miss:
- Covered the 1st-half spread in 15 of its last 20 home games.
- Mario Sanders had 64+ receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games.
- Steven Robinson ran for 80+ yards in each of his last 3 games.
James Madison or Southern Miss: who covers?
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Illinois went 19-for-51 from three in its 120-45 opener. It also grabbed 22 offensive rebounds and scored 31 second-chance points against FDU.
Against Penn, that rebounding gives Illinois a way to keep scoring if fewer threes fall.
Penn returns TJ Power and Augustus Gerhart, both 6-foot-9. They'll have to cover that shooting threat and still rebound.
Penn opponents shot 32.2% from three last season but collected 331 offensive rebounds in 30 games.
Illinois lists Jake Davis out with a shoulder injury, replacement TBD. He grabbed two offensive boards in six minutes against FDU. One led to his assist on a Stefan Vaaks three.
Vaaks scored 20 of Illinois' 63 bench points.
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