Political Data Statistician Inc

Republicans got decimated Tuesday but there is a silver lining. This will lead to disruption for the Consultants Class. Political consultants “fail upwards” and it’s disgusting. But AI changes that. We sent AI agents to gather the top-paid consultants and their records for Florida and Texas. In Texas, the top 15 consultants were paid 297 MILLION DOLLARS. Their record? 49 wins, 65 losses. A 43% win rate! This changes now. I will be holding some accountable and going to their donors. Your money deserves better @elonmusk

Looks like the @ErikaDonalds profile has been updated…. Congratulations to the First-Lady designate of Florida! Byron and Erika will be a powerhouse team.

lol this must be the math that made @jamesfishback a failed investor and got him sued. $27,289 of the 6M Luna raised = .45% Less than 1% 😂 Maybe I’ll ask Greenlight Capital to pay me $28,000 to turn in Fishback’s location/ bank accounts. Can @itsjacobdane or @DanielHassanFL ask Jim Fishback to unblock me, I’m missing all the fun 😭

The consultant class on the Right is a problem. The consultant business cliques are a problem. The candidates are a problem. The Republicans use of digital and data is a problem. The donors continually paying these losers is a problem. The party must pivot & modernize.

Congratulations! APL has a big future.

Called it for APL in public 3 hours before any mainstream media or large political account. I had people asking us at the event “what are you crazy, she’s down by 500 votes” Nope. AI sees the paths hours before.

Thanks for the mention @politico. I provided some comments on the election results Tuesday night in Florida and what it means for 2028 races.

The next First Family of Florida 🙌

The map put safe districts into new voter segments and districts that the candidates didn’t know, in a midterm. It made Dems spend presidential money to hold the news seats & others Rs near those targeted districts didn’t raise to plan to fight millions, hurting them too (see Luna). It also energized the hell out of Dems and gave them the “ahh democracy” argument (60% in exit polls) The map hurt Republican because it the voter and fundraising math not calculated properly. This is why not rushing legislation is so important.

The Florida re-districting was rushed for political reasons. It happens. But for the people who rushed it to try and take credit for Anna Paulina Luna’s win, when they are part of the reason it was much harder. No. I call out BS.

APL needs to play a big role in reinventing the Republican identity in Congress and winning it back! These are issues voters cared about this election cycle.

The usual suspects in Florida will be mad at this post but it needs to be said. Byron Donalds performed the best on the Republican ticket. It's important to understand so we learn and protect Florida in 2028. It's now a target. Dems are energized. @ByronDonalds, a Trump endorsed, African American in Florida, sitting member of an unpopular Congress, and non-incumbent candidate defeated David Jolly, a white, semi normal, former Republican by 1.4%. The rest of the ticket, 3 sitting incumbents, hand picked by the 8 year sitting Governor, only beat 2 ANNOUNCED SOCIALISTS by less than 3%, 2%, and 1 %. We must understand why this happened. (This is no disrespect to those winners, they're great leaders I support, this is purely campaign analysis) Byron Donalds saved the ticket by bringing new voters in that likely swung or padded these races. We must learn from what happened last night. Seeing certain politicians take a victory lap after we just swung 17% from 2022 Gubernarial campaign and 12% from the 2024 Presidential is unacceptable. Oh and by the way, to a few on X who called Covid transplants "carpet baggers" who moved here and screamed they'd vote Blue and the "FLORIDA IS CLOSED" crew...... No it was actually the most "principled" institutional Republicans who have lived here for 20 years that voted for David Jolly. WOW. It's just math and we must learn from it to protect that Florida we barely just saved. 😅

If you are in any of the counties impacted by flooding on the East coast of Florida, below is a guide to voting changes. If you are a candidate in those area be sure to monitor. Spread the word! (Nothing to fear here Republicans, this is risk management)

Wow big reporting in @politico today as David Jolly has given his policy plans. Kim Leonard from Politico asked how he would fund one of his key programs: a 30% raise for public school teachers. His full answer is below. TLDR: - He will issue billions in bonds. - Try to pass a Constitutional amendment. - When that fails, he will RAISE taxes on things like Tourism. - He will spend the money up front, before finding the budget for it. This plan is the cousin to what JB Pritzker recently passed in Illinois. Jolly, David’s plan for Florida seems to be to follow the Illinois playbook.