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Macro & Technical Markets : High-conviction analysis, scenario planning, edge through data + positioning. Not investment advice.

Salt Lake City, UT
Joined May 2022
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Introducing the new Polycarp Research Platform 📊 Find the best setups in the market with live dashboards of risk and opportunities, seasonal paths and technicals, and that isn't even the warm up. 👇 The trial is totally free, let me know what you think and hope you enjoy, cheers 🍿 (direct link in the comments)
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This is massive, so many large trades and all near the close!
$QQQ - That's one hell of a close right there. Two of the five largest trades since inception landed.
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Polycarp Market Research retweeted
$QQQ - That's one hell of a close right there. Two of the five largest trades since inception landed.
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$AAPL Daily. A rare Monday evening earnings report for Apple coming up. At $5 trillion market cap, relative strength has clearly kept market afloat until now. Bear RSI divergence
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Gold is 25% below its record while miners have fallen 18–48%. This four-page report examines what a recovery to $5,040 gold could mean for producer margins, compares past gold rallies, and ranks miners by operating leverage, risk and balance-sheet strength $GDX $GLD Full report on site now
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MAG 7 current PE vs Five Year Average $AMZN $GOOG $AAPL
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Polycarp Market Research retweeted
$VIX TOP OI CHANGES
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$GLD almost to the gap fill from September 2025
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Stealth bear market: over 60% of S&P 500 names are now down 20%+ from highs. 4 of the Magnificent 7 are in bear territory too, with the group shedding about $4T in market cap from the peak.
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$GLD - Largest trade since August as those same lows are being tested. volumeleaders.com/register
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This market continues to trap both longs and shorts. Tricky
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$GOOG has gap fills at 303 and 287, both levels are potential support levels. RSI should open tomorrow at oversold levels along with being outside the bollingers, worse opportunities out there as we head in stronger seasonality
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