I trade $NQ using statistical models, probabilistic frameworks, and custom tools built based on my market perspective. Creator of https://xitter.cf/t.co/fGgQW2fYLP
Joined November 2016
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Chris™ retweeted
On nqstats.com you will see two sections in the menu;
Stat Library:
Collection of concepts, each one starting as an individual hypothesis. The statistical data is the edge, you provide the execution.
Frameworks:
Structured approaches to solving problems and organizing analysis. The lens the market is viewed through.
The Stat Library gives you validated, individual truths about price behavior; Frameworks tell you how to read those truths together and act on them.
Chris™ retweeted
Posting for the sake of documentation of my journey. Recently came across @AC_Trades and @ProbableChris. Their depiction of how to engage the markets relies heavily on statistical data. This has changed my outlook completely and I'm going down this rabbit hole of questioning ICT
Chris™ retweeted
We will be live trading tomorrow with a special guest! A good friend of mine and quite honestly one of my favorite people I have met on this app @ProbableChris
We love riffing off each other and we both trade with stats, come join us tomorrow 🤟 link in replies
Chris™ retweeted
The NQ Stats website has added a "Coaching" tab. This is where you can inquire about coaching related to personal process improvement or specific NQ Stats content via deep dives. Learn more at nqstats.com/coaching.html
Chris™ retweeted
youtu.be/pxs2MuqvH3w
New vid for the new site on "Price Distributions". "Price Distributions" is a statistical framework I use to tell what regime we are in, what my bias should be (trend vs mean reversion), and when to time my entries. It uses percent net change from open to close of various time windows to calculate samples and derive data from said sample.
Chris™ retweeted
I want to thank you @ProbableChris here also!
I had a great month with you and my trading process improved massively! Thanks for all your help & advice throughout the month.
I will share my progress here soon. For now, I keep following the defined process!
Chris™ retweeted
NQ Stats website has received a redesign, with additional metrics and data around the existing stats/concepts. Check it out at nqstats.com/ and leave some feedback in the comments!
Chris™ retweeted
Are you currently refining your process, seeking profitability? I put together "The Day Traders Blueprint" as a way to help reset people back to the fundamentals, the things that matter.
Its a 5 part series designed to equip traders with the essential foundations for consistent success. It’s built on 18yrs of personal experience in the markets, and it’s free at the following link.
youtube.com/playlist?list=PL…
Chris™ retweeted
ALN Session stats gave a pattern 4 today going into 8am, so expectancy wise, the London low of 25645 would be the target....HOWEVER.....At the time of the New Your range opening at 8am ET, price was at a daily -1.0 distribution.
Asking price to go lower down to that London low would be asking price to make an outlier day move as a normal distribution would be expected to reside inside +/- 1.0. Without a anticipated new catalyst, there would not be a reason to anticipate an outlier move.
So while the expectancy given the stat was down, real-time price did not align. Realtime price was already a 133% of its 60 day average range and extended near a key reversion point. For this reason, avoiding the ALN Session based setup was the optimal choice.
Chris™ retweeted
youtu.be/dIIE3ezP1z8
This video is using the 9/9/2025 session to showcase a prime example of when two separate stats overlap for added scalability.
Chris™ retweeted
youtu.be/lhkMb_k7TWk
This video is using the 8/29/2025 session to showcase a prime example of when all data points line up for the IB Breaks stats and provides some context specific to price movement when expecting the continuation to occur.
Chris™ retweeted
youtu.be/TLlVm9E2ck4
This video is using the 8/28/2025 session to showcase a prime example of when all data points line up for the ALN Session stats and provides some context specific to price movement when expecting the continuation to occur.
Chris™ retweeted
youtu.be/c6rKQ7uIUKI
This video is using the 8/27/2025 session to showcase a prime example of when all data points line up for the Noon Curve and provides some context specific to price movement when expecting the continuation to occur. For more information visit
Chris™ retweeted
Yesterdays (6/25) detailed "Noon Curve" review. See quoted post for the trade that was taken and posted using this data.
Learn more at nqstats.com/noon-curve
$NQ | 6/25/2025
Trade #2
+3R
This short is based on "Noon Curve" data. Check the link below to learn more, but expectation of a new low post 12pm was the bias. Waited for a pullback into the AM range and entry criteria to be met, risking the swing high of the entry leg. Went break even at the internal low marked. Price tried to rally just before the new PM low so I closed half the position. Second half hit target as a new PM low was made. Noon Curve validated, net +3R on this trade.
nqstats.com/noon-curve
Chris™ retweeted
For those familiar with the "Noon Curve" and "IB Breaks" stats/data, here is a confluence based stat putting the two together....
Over a 10yr sample between 6/19/2015 to 6/19/2025, roughly 2,500 trading days, when the IB broke before 12pm ET (noon), the direction of the break matched the direction Noon Curve broke roughly 63% of the time.
Meaning there is a correlation between what side IB breaks and what side Noon Curve will break. This logically makes when you think of trending markets, but its nice to have the numbers....
Chris™ retweeted
Starting to see people create and sell Trading View indicators based on the content, stats and concepts I have shared for free. If you are someone who has created indicators and/or tools and are sharing them for free, please post them in this thread so others can avoid unnecessarily paying for something.
Chris™ retweeted
youtu.be/2ZaUzugtCw4
Quick video going over a specific discussion point from a 1-on-1 Q&A I did today with someone.
