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Analysis π
Donβt let the 3-3 record fool you. Two of those losses came in a home-and-home against a Rockets team that opened 5-0 and looks like a top 3-4 team in the league. The third was a back-to-back spot vs Miami. Atlanta answered by erasing a 15-point hole against Cleveland with a 43-point third quarter. This team can score, putting up 120+ a night, top 5 in the league.
Atlantaβs weakness is real. Okongwu is an undersized 5, and when they see an elite big like Sengun, they get punished. He dropped 29/9/9 on them Monday. New Orleans has nothing close to that tonight. Yves Missi is out with a knee bone bruise, which leaves the Pels frontcourt thin and lets Okongwu play free. Heβs coming off 29 & 12 with 4 threes.
Then thereβs the Pelicans vibes. Herb Jones, an All-Defensive guy and easily their best defender, has been coming off the bench and sitting in crunch time. He went from 28 minutes a night to under 18 to start the year, while the Pels give up 25 fewer points per 100 with him on the floor. That tells you everything about where this teamβs head is at. It feels like a roster full of guys waiting to get moved.
Their one win? Against the 0-5 Kings, who turned it over 25 times. Not exactly a statement.
The defense is leaking too. Opponents are scoring over 121 a night with a 56.6% eFG, bottom 5 in the league, and they were bleeding 36 points per 4th quarter in their first three losses. Jordan Poole is also out.
The Pelicans are an early season fade until they make moves and hand the keys to the young guys. Until then, Iβm laying the short number with the better, more connected team.
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