Week 8 Matchup Map: the Panthers have given up the most rush yards to RBs, plus every other defense vs every position 馃張
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馃弨NBA POTD馃弨
馃搱Ausar Thompson over 3.5 assists. Books lean over at this number (-111 with the juice removed). NYK allows the most assists to small forwards this season (8.67 a game, league average 4.59). 2 for 2 this season. Median of 5 over his last 10.
馃弨 We simulated the Trail Blazers @ Lakers game 5,000 times: it keeps landing close, and the typical one is Lakers by 4
馃幆 First basket: Thybulle from three (+1200 on Hard Rock Bet)
馃敟 Reaves 24 pts (Over 23.5)
馃挭 Reaves 6 reb (Over 4.5)
馃敟 Avdija 23 pts (Over 22.5)
馃挭 Avdija 11 reb (Over 6.5)
馃敟 Lillard 22 pts (Over 19.5)
馃憣 Lillard 6 threes (Over 3.5)
馃毃 Kessler scores with 22 seconds left to seal it, Lakers 119-115 after 18 lead changes and 9 ties
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MNF TD Cheat Sheet (Week 7), led by Javonte Williams and Dallas Goedert: every anytime TD price with the matchup behind it, to pick your TD bets 馃張
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Perfect Props (Mon, Oct 26), led by Aaron Wiggins and Jalen Smith: props players have hit every game this season, still priced at the books, to build parlays from 馃弨
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馃弨 We simulated the Grizzlies @ Jazz game 5,000 times: the most typical game, start to finish
馃幆 First basket: Grant from three
馃挭 Jerome 4 reb (Over 3.5)
馃敟 Markkanen 24 pts (Over 22.5)
馃憣 Markkanen 5 threes (Over 2.5)
馃挭 George 5 reb (Over 3.5)
馃 Boozer 10 ast (Over 4.5)
馃挭 Boozer 13 reb (Over 8.5)
馃弫 Final: Jazz 123-115, after 12 lead changes and 9 ties
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馃張 We simulated the MNF Cowboys @ Eagles game 5,000 times: the most typical one ends Cowboys 26-19
馃幆 First TD: Lamb (+700 on FanDuel)
馃檶 Lamb 101 rec yds, 2 TDs (Over 80.5)
馃檶 Lamb 11 rec (Over 7.5)
馃檶 Pickens 7 rec (Over 4.5)
馃檶 Cooper 60 rec yds (Over 39.5)
馃檶 Cooper 9 rec (Over 3.5)
馃檶 Lemon 47 rec yds (Over 38.5)
馃弫 Final: Cowboys 26-19 (12 flags, 0 turnovers)
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馃弨 We simulated the Mavericks @ Heat game 5,000 times: the most typical one ends Heat 125-114
馃幆 First basket: Irving (+900 on DraftKings)
馃 Antetokounmpo 6 ast (Over 5.5)
馃挭 Irving 5 reb (Over 3.5)
馃敟 Adebayo 21 pts (Over 18.5)
馃挭 Adebayo 16 reb (Over 9.5)
馃敟 Washington 18 pts (Over 14.5)
馃憣 Washington 2 threes (Over 1.5)
馃弫 Final: Heat 125-114, after 3 lead changes and 2 ties
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MNF DvP Cheat Sheet, DAL @ PHI: how both defenses rank vs every position, to find your best prop matchups, send it to your group for tonight 馃摬
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SNF DvP Cheat Sheet, KC @ SEA: how both defenses rank vs every position, to find your best prop matchups, send it to your group for tonight 馃摬
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馃張NFL POTD馃張
馃搱Jacoby Brissett over 6.5 rush yards. Books have this about even; the rest of the evidence leans over. DEN allows the 6th-most rushing yards to QBs this season (24 a game, league average 17.2). 4 for 6 this season. 2 for 2 vs DEN.
馃張 Coin-flip alert for SNF Chiefs @ Seahawks: the most typical of our 5,000 sims ends Seahawks 21-20
馃幆 First TD: Walker (+500 on FanDuel)
馃挩 Mahomes 27 rush yds, 2 TDs (Over 17.5)
馃挩 Walker 90 rush yds, 1 TD (Over 80.5)
馃檶 Walker 31 rec yds (Over 21.5)
馃檶 Worthy 72 rec yds (Over 49.5)
馃檶 Worthy 6 rec (Over 4.5)
馃檶 Wilson 4 rec (Over 1.5)
馃毃 Smith-Njigba scores the go-ahead TD with 1:48 left, Seahawks 21-20 (13 flags, 2 turnovers)
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馃弨 Coin-flip alert for Raptors @ Timberwolves: the most typical of our 5,000 sims ends Raptors 118-117
馃幆 First basket: Leonard (+620 on DraftKings)
馃敟 Edwards 30 pts (Over 27.5)
馃憣 Edwards 5 threes (Over 3.5)
馃敟 Leonard 30 pts (Over 24.5)
馃憣 Leonard 4 threes (Over 2.5)
馃 Barnes 9 ast (Over 5.5)
馃敟 Barrett 20 pts (Over 18.5)
馃毃 Quickley bucket with 18 seconds left wins it, Raptors 118-117 after 10 lead changes and 7 ties
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