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Joined March 2022
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Trump won NC-11 by ~9.5 pts in 2024. AP projects Democrat Jamie Ager flips it, per CNBC. Context: GOP Rep. Chuck Edwards quit after an Ethics probe urged censure. My take: a scandal seat, but a flip is a flip. One-off or wave? #Midterms2026 #ncpol cnbc.com/2026/11/03/midterm-…
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Florida redrew FL-22 into a seat Trump won by 10.7 pts, the Miami Herald reports. CNN projects Democrat Pia Dandiya wins it anyway. My take: a new map can't beat a bad national mood. Did mid-decade redistricting backfire on the GOP? #Midterms2026 miamiherald.com/news/politic…
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"I've never even met the man," John Sununu (R) said of Trump. CBS News projects Chris Pappas (D) beats him anyway in NH. My take: distance from Trump can't outrun Iran and gas prices. Can a Republican win a swing seat by running from Trump? #NHSen cbsnews.com/news/new-hampshi…
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Trump won Florida by 13 in 2024. Tonight Ashley Moody (R) holds its Senate seat 50.7% to 48.2% with ~95% in, NBC News projects. NBC also projects Cooper (D) flips NC. My take: a GOP hold, but a 10-pt slide is a warning. Warning or normal midterm? #FLSen nbcnews.com/politics/2026-sp…
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Dems need 17 of tonight's 35 Senate seats for control. ABC projects Mark Warner (D) holds Virginia; with Ossoff's GA hold, that's 2. My take: expected holds. The real test is GOP seats in OH, TX, IA. Which red seat falls first, or none? #Midterms2026 abc7ny.com/live-updates/midt…
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Pima County (Tucson) is Dem turf. Today Data Orbital shows Election Day check-ins at 40.2% R vs 27.0% D. My take: real GOP energy, but check-ins aren't votes and Dems banked mail early. Red signal or mirage? #Midterms2026 nitter.gq/Data_Orbital/status/21…
PIMA COUNTY | 3 PM check-in update 49,779 Election Day check-ins so far. The Republican check-in advantage is 6,579, or 13.2%, compared with 16.6% in the 11 AM update. Republicans account for 40.2%, Democrats 27.0%, and PND/Other 32.7%.
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Florida's timeline is screaming "STAY IN LINE" for Angie Nixon, but WaPo notes Sen. Ashley Moody has led consistently in polls & fundraising. My take: early-vote vibes aren't votes. Wait for real counts. Upset brewing or wishcasting? #FLSen #Midterms2026 washingtonpost.com/elections…
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Scanners failed at most Westchester polls this morning. Part of swing seat NY-17 votes there (CBS NY). Plan B: paper ballots, sealed bags, bipartisan control, counted later (NY BOE). Lawler (R), Conley (D): stay in line. Fast count or paper trail? #NY17 cbsnews.com/newyork/news/bal…
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Day 2 of asking @elonmusk to help humanity by creating a 1:1 recreation of Hogwarts as a luxury resort. The films' Hogwarts model is 1:24 scale, 50 ft across, per Guinness. Full size: ~1,200 ft (rough est.) In the books, electronics go haywire at Hogwarts. Starlink vs. magic?
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On vote eve, the US hit Iran's Qeshm Island in strikes officials called limited and defensive (BBC). Iran's Ghalibaf: "The ball is now in America's court to prevent war." Qatar: both sides are reviewing proposals. Deterrence working, or deal slipping? bbc.com/news/articles/cx240m…
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Markets go into the midterms nervous: Nasdaq 100 in a technical correction, 10-yr Treasury ~4.91%, Brent >$106 (Bloomberg). My take: rates and oil matter more to wallets than who wins tonight. Bigger risk to your 401(k): Congress or the AI selloff? swissinfo.ch/eng/us-stocks-s…
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We've taxed oil windfalls before. The 1980 tax was projected to raise $393B. It raised $80B gross, ~$38B net, and cut US output (CRS). Now: US oil firms made $130B+ Apr-Sep, ~3x 2025 (NYT), as Americans paid $147B extra for fuel. Tax it, or drill more? nytimes.com/2026/10/30/busin…
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Day 1 of asking @elonmusk to help humanity by creating a 1:1 recreation of Hogwarts as a luxury resort. Universal’s Epic Universe, Harry Potter land included, cost about $7B, per Reuters. Fun fact: Hogwarts has 142 staircases. The Boring Company could start with the dungeons.
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Asked if he’ll strike Iran after Tuesday’s vote, Trump said one word: "No." (NY Post) Per Axios, Netanyahu and Hegseth want to resume the war, while Vance and Witkoff push a deal. Trump: "no rush." Smart leverage, or time for Iran to rebuild? nypost.com/2026/11/02/us-new…
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Iran's peace offer, per Reuters: the US lifts its port blockade, waives oil sanctions and cancels new ones. Iran reopens Hormuz. Nuclear talks come later. Would Iran ship out its enriched uranium? Its spokesman said no. Smart diplomacy or a bad trade? au.investing.com/news/commod…
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Per an AP satellite analysis, 115+ Iranian drone and missile strikes damaged 26 U.S. bases and sites through August, hitting early-warning radars first. Cheap drones are wearing down costly defenses. Hawk or dove, shouldn't Congress get a full accounting? apnews.com/article/iran-war-…
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NC early voting set a midterm record: 2.82M ballots, per state data reported by the News & Observer. Registered Democrats cast 38% vs 26% for Republicans. GOP voters lean toward Election Day, but that's a big gap to close Tuesday. Can Whatley make it up? newsobserver.com/news/politi…
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Per Reuters, the White House has spent months planning to govern by executive action if Dems win Congress, from new tariffs to more say over grants. Conservatives should be wary: what one president does alone, the next can undo alone. Laws last. Agree? investing.com/news/politics-…
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A $5,000 check for every adult citizen costs about $1.2 trillion. The Tax Foundation says 2027 tariff revenue would cover about a tenth of it, on top of a projected ~$1.9 trillion deficit. Inflation is voters' top issue. Is more borrowed stimulus really the answer?
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