One Week Out: 2026 Michigan Senate Race
🔵Abdul El-Sayed: 48.1%
🔴Mike Rogers: 45.6%
🔵Net: El-Sayed + 2.5
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 27, 2026
One Week Out: 2026 South Carolina Senate Race
🔴Darline Graham-Nordone: 48.0%
🔵Annie Andrews: 45.3%
🔴Net: Graham-Nordone + 2.7
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 27, 2026
One Week Out: 2026 Ohio Senate Special Election
🔵Sherrod Brown: 48.2%
🔴Jon Husted: 44.9%
🔵Net: Brown + 3.3
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 27, 2026
One Week Out: 2026 Texas Senate Race
🔵James Talarico: 48.5%
🔴Ken Paxton: 46.7%
🔵Net: Talarico + 1.8
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 27, 2026
2026 Texas Senate Race: Talarico Leads Paxton
🔵James Talarico: 48.3%
🔴Ken Paxton: 46.8%
🔵Net: Talarico +1.5
RealClearPolitics Polling Average | October 22, 2026
Democrats lead in 6/8 RealClearPolitics Senate Toss-Up States
🔵Minnesota: Flanagan +3.2
🔵Ohio: Brown +2.4
🔵Texas: Talarico +2.2
🔵Michigan: El-Sayed +2.0
🔵Maine: Jackson +1.6
🔵Alaska: Peltola +1.2
🔴Iowa: Hinson +0.1
🔴Kansas: Marshall +0.3
October 21, 2026
TODAY at 2 PM ET: @SeanTrende hosts a live Zoom briefing for Poll Vault paid subscribers on the 2026 House map.
He’ll cover how past midterm waves played out, what that means for 2026, and new polling in several House races, with Q&A at the end.
pollvault.substack.com/p/pai…
















