Living my dream talking DFS & betting @RotoGrinders & @ScoresOdds | NBA, NFL, PGA, MLB | Eternal optimist | Proud dad of 3 kiddos | Outkicked my coverage
Utah
Joined August 2009
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Derek Farnsworth retweeted
Who is your favorite golfer to spend up for in cash games?
@RG_Notorious: Blades Brown
@headchopper: Tom Kim
@justinbailey32: Ben Griffin
@hondizzle: Blades Brown
PGA DFS Expert Survey ➡️ rotogrinders.com/articles/pg…
Derek Farnsworth retweeted
@DFS_Almanac is joined by @RG_Notorious and @Kirkdiese LIVE at 5:40pm ET to talk favorite picks and break down DFS plays for today's NBA slate!
youtube.com/watch?v=g8EKBDrK…
VidantaWorld Mexico Open preview
Expert PGA DFS Strategies for the VindantaWorld Mexico Open! nitter.gq/i/broadcasts/1jGXgBWjM…
20,000 sims for the VidantaWorld Mexico Open.
Best bets in the model:
- Ben James outright
- Jackson Suber outright / top 10 / top 20
- Blades Brown outright / top 10 / top 20
- Emiliano Grillo top 10
- Rico Hoey top 10
- Kevin Yu top 20
- Keita Nakajima top 20
Full model probabilities vs. market odds 👇
Week 7 Tourney Takes
NFL DFS Tournament Strategy for Week 7 on DraftKings & FanDuel nitter.gq/i/broadcasts/1dKrPrDlX…
With my boys @DFS_Almanac and @Kirkdiese breaking down tonight's NBA DFS slate:
Derek Farnsworth retweeted
Get an early look at tonight's NBA DFS slate 🏀
@RG_Notorious breaks down the odds, salaries, implied team totals and matchups to know on DraftKings and FanDuel ⬇️
rotogrinders.com/articles/nb…
Butterfield Bermuda Championship for those few who celebrate
Expert PGA DFS Strategies for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship! nitter.gq/i/broadcasts/1rGmqpMqA…
NBA is back baby! Join @DFS_Almanac, @headchopper, and me as we break down the first slate of the season.
Week 6, let's gooooo
NFL DFS Tournament Strategy for Week 6 on DraftKings & FanDuel nitter.gq/i/broadcasts/1dGYlarmP…
The NFL First Look is better than ever, and it's FREE all season long.
One table for your whole NFL DFS research process:
• NEW Top 5 Report: top team totals, best QB/RB/WR/TE matchups, buy-low regression candidates (xFPPG vs. FPPG), and D/ST pressure spots
• Odds & Schedule: spreads, game totals, implied team totals, kickoff times and Main/Showdown slates
• Team Totals matchup chart: opponent EPA, DvP and schedule-adjusted DvP for every position
• Pace: plays per game, neutral pace, PROE and projected plays for each team and game
• QB: CPOE, aDOT, deep %, pressure %, EPA/DB, XFPPG
• RB: snap %, target share, route %, RYOE, inside-5 share, XFPPG
• WR/TE: target share, air yards, YPRR, aDOT, deep targets, 1READ %, slot/wide rates, XFPPG
• DraftKings and FanDuel salaries
• D/ST: pressure and blitz rates, opposing O-line pressure allowed, turnovers, points allowed
• Color-coded heat maps so edges jump off the screen
• Search, team and slate filters, plus column toggles
Week 6 link: rotogrinders.com/articles/nf…
Week 5 Tournament Takes with @Kirkdiese @beermakersfan
NFL DFS Tournament Strategy for Week 5 on DraftKings & FanDuel nitter.gq/i/broadcasts/1XxygwROQ…
Baycurrent Classic preview
Expert PGA DFS Strategies for the Baycurrent Classic! nitter.gq/i/broadcasts/1AKEmvdzg…
I ran 20,000 simulations for the Baycurrent Classic.
Best betting values:
- Collin Morikawa (outright / top 10 / top 20)
- Matt Wallace (outright / top 10 / top 20)
- Ben Kohles (top 10 / top 20)
- Davis Thompson (top 10 / top 20)
- Christiaan Bezuidenhout (top 20)
Here are the full model probabilities vs. market odds, sorted by my model's win probability:
We are live talking Week 4
NFL DFS Tournament Strategy for Week 4 on DraftKings & FanDuel nitter.gq/i/broadcasts/1XxygwpPN…
Let’s go TK!
Tom Kim shoots a final round 64 to win the individual gold medal at the Asian Games.
The victory secures him an exemption from service in the South Korean military. nitter.gq/josh_mills_/status/210…
Bank of Utah Championship aka Noto's Backyard Classic:
Expert PGA DFS Strategies for the Bank of Utah Championship! nitter.gq/i/broadcasts/1nJOLQOMv…
