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My book, NET GAINS, is out today! It's about why the "data revolution" in the world's most popular game trails far behind sports like basketball and baseball, how that's changing, and how far it might all eventually go. Buy it wherever you buy your books: abramsbooks.com/product/net-…
Everyone who looks at physical data: they lost because they didn't run far enough!
One of the leading providers of that physical data: "there’s no direct link between running more and winning"
Much of the noise during Michael Carrick’s tenure as Manchester United manager has been around running numbers, and on the surface they are poor: 19th for total distance, 17th for high-speed running distance and 19th for average max speed. But there’s no direct link between running more and winning. Style of play and game state shape those numbers as much as effort.
What is harder to ignore is the drop since Carrick’s spell last season. Per 90, distance covered is level, but sprints are down 6.5% and accelerations 11.5%.
The bigger issue may be athleticism. Weighted by minutes, United rank 20th of 20 for our Athleticism Score. The score is relative to position, comparing each player with others in the same role on a 0 to 100 scale, so this isn’t just defenders being slower than wingers. There is a sharp drop-off in the squad, with plenty of technical quality but limited athletes through the spine, and that likely dictated how United played.
After criticism from fans and players, United did press higher, rising from 15th last season to 4th this season for pressures in the final third, but it didn’t translate into results.
On the ball, the underlying numbers are decent. United rank 1st for line-breaking passes, 3rd for passes and crosses into a dangerous position and 4th for shots from a clear chance.
The problem has come at the end of moves. United have taken the most shots, but 48.9% came when a better option was available, the highest rate in the league. Their shots on target % has fallen from 1st last season to 19th.
Many things can be true at once. Physical output doesn’t decide games on its own, but it has dropped, and the squad lacks athletes in key areas. The next manager inherits a side that creates plenty, but needs better decisions in the final third and more athleticism through the spine.
#MUFC
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Please read my tactical analysis of the USMNT's 4-1 loss to Belgium:
David Moyes says #mufc must improve in a number of areas, including passing, creating chances and defending.
Non-penalty goals at the last two World Cups:
-Cristiano Ronaldo: 2
-Gonçalo Ramos: 4
Minutes played at the last two World Cups:
-Cristiano Ronaldo: 732
-Gonçalo Ramos: 187
If you're into reading the things I've written, I'm planning on sending out links through my not-dead-yet newsletter ...
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Ryan O'Hanlon retweeted
Our SUF4 condensation paper is finally out! cell.com/cell-reports/fullte… Thank you to everyone who has scientifically, mentally, and emotionally supported my co-authors and me over the years. Below is a summary of the work-- we hope you enjoy our findings!
Asking for a friend: where in Lisbon would be a good spot to watch the Benfica and Sporting games today?
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I'm not checking this site too much anymore, but I've started to put links to everything I write in this Google doc. If you're into that kind of thing: docs.google.com/document/d/1…
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I don't know if links still work here or whatever, but my book, NET GAINS, is currently 50% off if you buy it from my publisher. Get if for someone you love, someone you hate, or even someone toward whom you harbor no feelings, good or ill! abramsbooks.com/product/net-…
Ryan O'Hanlon retweeted
Issue #2 of my newsletter, Good Moves — a newsletter about chess and what it can teach us about performance in other things, too! — is now out. Inside: how do we decide what to do when we don't know what to do? And will I lose to another child? Find out! makegoodmoves.substack.com/p…
Really impressive five-minute stretch from NBC's broadcast team: bemoaned United letting Scott McTominay go, made fun of a model that said Chelsea's chances of finishing top four changed after the team played soccer games, and dismissed xG as more complicated than nuclear fusion?
I wrote about the end of ETH: espn.com/soccer/insider/stor…
Baffled by my TV's characterization of the Liverpool-Arsenal game as one-sided. Even on shots. One side has two more touches in the penalty area. The other has slightly more final-third possession.
Ryan O'Hanlon retweeted
And as stated before, I'd be quite open to working within a club or consultancy when it comes to scouting for recruitment in football. I'd like to think that I'd be an asset given my portfolio of written/video work in the public sphere since the mid 2010s nitter.gq/MoeSquare/status/18378…

















