Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
Instead of getting a little sticker after you voted, you should get a QR code that you could somehow enter into your TV and it would no longer display political ads.
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
"Russia, frankly, has been fine on Ukraine. They haven't been doing much."
- President Trump, earlier today
A horrific Russian strike in the Kharkiv region. A “shahed” struck people directly – in a park near an ordinary café. Pure atrocity. Six people were killed, including children. A little girl was killed in a stroller – her name was Angelina, she was just over a year old, born in August 2025… Her mother’s name was Inna. She died in the hospital… Another girl who was killed was 11 years old. My condolences to their families and loved ones. Another 14 people were injured, including six more children.
I am grateful to everyone who supports Ukraine under these circumstances and helps us shoot down “shaheds,” shoot down missiles, and stop Russian assaults. These are horrific photos, but behind them are shattered lives and the truth about this war. Lives must be protected. Ukraine needs air defense. You can't think about making money with Russia as long as it continues its asinine war. We ask that sanctions on Russia stay in place as long as the killings continue. We ask America to be strong, and we ask it to apply the Lindsey Graham law. We ask Europe to continue its support. We ask that everything possible be done to bring peace and guarantee security. Ukraine wants peace. It is Russia that has insisted on continuing the killing all this time. The world has enough strength to stop the war. That strength must finally be used – against the murderers.
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
“The American president cannot understand why Zelensky and his people do not simply accept their situation and lie down under Russia’s tank treads.”
Humiliating and dangerous: Trump has now finally just made America an ally of the Kremlin and is aiding Putin in his war against an American friend and partner. Shameful betrayal of a US friend, and pathetic submission to a US enemy.
theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/1…
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
The most absurd number in CPI? According to the US Government, the cost of health insurance has declined 36% over the last 4 years...
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
$IONQ - Couldn’t have said it better.
i've spent some time reading what fellow $IONQ shareholders are saying about the latest $2 billion offering. i understand the frustration. some of you have been invested in this company for years. you've watched the technology improve, the acquisitions accelerate and the ambitions grow. now you're looking at another financing that could significantly increase the share count, and you're asking a reasonable question: what are we getting in return?
i've seen shareholders asking why ionq needs another $2 billion when its cash burn appears manageable. others are questioning whether acquiring SkyWater has changed the company's capital requirements. some want to understand how this financing fits with management's earlier comments about its financial position. others want answers about Superion specifications, customer deliveries and how much additional dilution shareholders should expect. i don't think these concerns should be dismissed as impatience. you can believe in ionq's future and still demand financial discipline from management.
i've read the offering documents, and the first thing i want to understand is why ionq needs another $2 billion right now. the company expects approximately $1.99 billion in net proceeds. it's a serious amount of money. what does this additional capital allow ionq to accomplish that it couldn't accomplish with the resources it already has? which products, customer deliveries or manufacturing milestones will move forward because of this financing? there may be excellent answers, but shareholders deserve to hear them. management should explain what changed and why raising this money makes sense today. there's a meaningful difference between needing capital to execute an existing plan and choosing to raise capital because a new opportunity makes doing so attractive.
then there's the financing itself. ionq is offering 20.5 million common shares, 29.5 million pre-funded warrants and 100 million additional warrants exercisable at $69.46 over seven years. the $40 offering price covers a share, or its pre-funded equivalent, together with two of those additional warrants. participating investors aren't simply paying $40 for a common share. they're also receiving valuable rights to purchase additional shares in the future. what alternatives did management consider? could ionq have raised the money without issuing so many warrants? shareholders deserve to understand why this was the best available deal for the company and its existing owners.
according to the prospectus, ionq had approximately 408.9 million common shares outstanding before the offering. the filing projects approximately 429.4 million after the offering closes, before warrant exercises, or 558.9 million if all the warrants issued in this offering are exercised. these are projected figures, not shares that have already been issued. the offering is expected to settle on october 16. the final figure also doesn't include every other outstanding equity award or potential future issuance. if all 100 million new warrants exercisable at $69.46 are eventually exercised for cash at their initial strike price, ionq could receive approximately $6.95 billion in additional capital. but that money isn't guaranteed, and exercising those warrants would mean issuing another 100 million shares.
shareholders deserve a clear picture of the entire capital structure, including outstanding warrants, equity compensation and potential future issuances. show us how the share count and the company's cash position change under different scenarios. dilution doesn't automatically destroy value. the money raised can create substantial value if management deploys it successfully. but building a larger company isn't necessarily the same thing as making each existing share more valuable.
which brings me to where the money is going. the prospectus describes working capital, general corporate purposes and potential strategic acquisitions and partnerships. i understand why management wants flexibility. i don't expect ionq to disclose confidential negotiations or provide competitors with its internal spending plans. but $2 billion deserves a more concrete explanation. shareholders should have some sense of how management intends to balance investment in quantum computing, manufacturing, existing businesses and future acquisitions. and they should know what progress to look for. if the financing accelerates Superion, explain what gets accelerated. if it expands manufacturing capacity, explain what that capacity will accomplish. if it supports enterprise security, explain what commercial progress shareholders should expect. then come back every quarter and tell us what happened. what did we spend? what did we accomplish? what took longer than expected?
i'm particularly interested in the questions shareholders are asking about Superion. they want specifications, delivery timelines and a better understanding of the work that remains. i understand that engineering schedules can change, and i'd rather have a credible timeline with clearly explained risks than a precise date management can't responsibly support. but there's a difference between demonstrating a technology, having a system ready for delivery and having a system accepted by a paying customer. management should explain where Superion stands along that path and whether this financing changes the timetable.
the SkyWater acquisition deserves a closer look, too. owning a semiconductor foundry could be a tremendous advantage for ionq. it could give the company greater control over manufacturing, accelerate engineering feedback and improve the economics of producing quantum systems. but semiconductor manufacturing requires capital. equipment, facilities, maintenance, production capacity and working capital all have to be financed. what does ionq expect SkyWater to require over the next three years, and what will shareholders get for that investment? i'd also like to understand how the economics of owning the foundry compare with obtaining those manufacturing capabilities through outside suppliers. i'm not arguing that buying SkyWater was a mistake. i'm asking management to demonstrate the economic advantage of owning it.
there's another detail in the prospectus worth acknowledging. when ionq acquired SkyWater, it inherited two material weaknesses in financial reporting controls that SkyWater had previously identified. one involved revenue accounting and access to its manufacturing systems. the other involved account reconciliations at its Fab 25 facility. ionq says it has implemented corrective measures, including new IT controls and integrating Fab 25's accounting processes into its own systems. but the company hasn't yet concluded that the weaknesses are fully remediated. the filing also says they haven't resulted in a material misstatement of ionq's financial statements.
this doesn't establish that the acquisition is failing. but it illustrates something important about buying businesses. somebody has to integrate the financial systems, retain the engineers, make the sales organizations work together, preserve customer relationships and decide which products receive investment. all of that requires management attention. the acquisition announcement was the beginning of the story. the real test is whether owning SkyWater leads to better manufacturing economics, faster development cycles and products delivered to customers sooner.
and that brings me to the acquisition strategy. ionq has completed its acquisition of SkyWater and agreed to acquire Elisity. the prospectus also says the company continues to evaluate additional acquisitions. i understand the strategy. buying manufacturing capabilities, engineering talent, established customer relationships and commercial distribution can be faster than building everything internally. but every acquisition competes with the opportunity to invest more money in the businesses ionq already owns.
suppose additional investment in SkyWater could shorten manufacturing cycles and reduce production costs. what would another acquisition have to accomplish to justify taking priority? suppose Elisity could grow substantially faster with additional salespeople, engineering resources and distribution. why wouldn't ionq fund that opportunity first? these are hypothetical examples, but the decision is real. i'd like to know how de masi evaluates competing uses of capital, what returns he expects and what would make him walk away from an acquisition. the ability to say no to a deal is just as important as the ability to close one.
the real test of an acquisition begins after the announcement. show us the customers won because two businesses came together. show us the products delivered faster, the revenue growth and the cost benefits. if owning these companies together creates more value than they could create separately, shareholders should eventually be able to see that in the operating results. and if an acquisition isn't producing the expected results, management should explain what it's doing about it.
there's one more issue that deserves a serious answer. after this $2 billion, what would cause ionq to need additional financing? and what would have to happen for the company to fund more of its growth through the cash generated by its own businesses? i'm not expecting a company at this stage of development to become profitable overnight. but shareholders should understand the path. how much capital does management believe it needs to execute its current strategy, and what assumptions support that estimate? those assumptions matter, particularly if commercialization takes longer or acquisitions require more investment than expected.
i also want to understand where management draws the line. there has to be a point where issuing more equity becomes too expensive, where an acquisition costs more than it's worth and where investing in the businesses ionq already owns becomes the better decision. access to capital is valuable. knowing when not to use it is valuable, too.
i've seen people characterize concerns about dilution as impatience or a failure to understand the long-term opportunity. i don't think that's fair. you can believe quantum computing will become an enormous industry and still question the terms of a financing. you can support de masi's acquisition strategy and still want to know whether those acquisitions are producing returns. you can be excited about Superion and still ask when customers will receive their systems and how much it will cost them to use the technology. and you can believe ionq will become a much larger company while still caring deeply about how much of that company each existing share will represent. those questions are part of being an owner.
i don't want ionq to abandon its ambition. i want the company to succeed. i want the technology to work, the products to reach customers and the businesses ionq has acquired to become more valuable because they're part of ionq. but i also want management to explain the financial decisions required to make that happen.
de masi has demonstrated that he can raise money and buy companies. now i want to know whether he can make each share of ionq worth more because of those decisions.
if i were sitting across from him today, i'd ask two questions. what changed that made raising another $2 billion the right decision now? and what are the three most important things you're going to accomplish with that money that you couldn't accomplish without it? i'd want answers specific enough that shareholders could revisit them a year from now and judge the results.
i'm still interested in what ionq can become. that's precisely why i care about how management finances that ambition. the company has asked shareholders to believe in a very big future. it's reasonable for those shareholders to want to understand how much of that future they'll still own when it arrives. d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.ne…
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
While Musk lashes out at India's government to force Starlink into its market, he is using Starlink in Ukraine as leverage, disrupting military missions. India is right to resist: dependence on US-controlled networks invites political pressure and will destroy domestic programs
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
I’m starting to get the impression that the administrator of the computer simulation we’re living in got absolutely blasted on some magic mushrooms he bought from a shady guy in a sketchy alley, and decided to have some fun by cranking the stupidity slider so far up that his servers’ cooling fans started screaming under the load.
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
A tragic day for Elon Musk. Thousands of his most loyal reply guys went offline at once. 💔
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
According to Cloudflare Data Explorer the amount of russian bot traffic has dropped to 49% after Ukraine struck a yandex data center. Could this disrupt the midterm elections in the US?
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
This isn’t apocalyptic. It’s just math.
10-year treasury at 6%. $40 trillion in debt.
Do the math. That’s $2.4 trillion in annual interest payments.
Larger than the entire Social Security disbursement.
You cannot sustain that.
Here’s the solution: just going back to the Clinton tax rates and making a few adjustments, you could save $10 to $12 trillion in deficit spending over the next decade and get this thing under control.
No Republican is going to do that. Trump isn’t going to do that.
And when Trump leaves office, he will be personally responsible for 42% of all the national debt in American history.
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
10 years ago today
GOP Sen. Mike Lee: “If anyone spoke to my wife, or my daughter, or my mother, or any of my five sisters, the way Mr. Trump has spoken to women, I wouldn’t hire that person, wouldn’t want to be associated with that person, and I certainly don’t think I’d be comfortable hiring that person to be the leader of the free world.”
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
OTD in 1938 Nazi Germany started occupying the Sudetenland to "protect German speakers". The west tried to appease Hitler by giving him bits of someone else's country without asking the owners. It didn't work & led to a terrible war.
Imagine it happening today....
Humans are the minority user of AI
Agents burn nearly 5x the tokens people do, up 14x since February
More charts in State of Markets II: a16z.news/p/state-of-markets…
Introducing our State of Markets pt 2, along with a companion podcast where we unpack the data and discuss what comes next.
Tech is the everything cycle.
Supply: putting the buildout in context, just passed railroads as % of GDP. The wisdom of Elon is real: the factory (or the datacenter!) is the product.
Demand: diffusion is so, so early. Median AI vendor spending in the top 1% of companies is 8x that of the top 10%. Only about 30% of S&P 500 companies report a quantified AI impact, which means there’s a substantial opportunity in connecting models to a company's data and workflows. Diffusion into companies is one of the main themes of the next 5 years.
We’re entering the agent work period. Only a few million users today, but applicable to billions of internet users with massive surplus created. META/GOOG monetize US users at $200+ per year today. Agent opportunity is much higher.
Mega-trends the next 5 years: Consumer agents, Robotics, Autonomy, AI x bio, Personal health, Diffusion into enterprise, New era of American Dynamism.
Much more in our SoM report here - a16z.news/p/state-of-markets…
@a16z @sarahdingwang @aleximm @santiago__rdz
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
$IONQ BofA initiated coverage of IonQ with a Buy rating and $60 price target
The firm says IonQ is the largest public pure-play quantum company by revenue. IonQ has used acquisitions to accelerate its quantum-compute roadmap and expand into quantum networking, security, sensing, space and foundry services, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BofA likes IonQ's semiconductor-enabled path to scaling qubit count, broad customer engagement and exposure across quantum computing, communications and sensing.
BofA initiated coverage of IonQ $IONQ with a Buy rating and $60 price target
The firm says IonQ is the largest public pure-play quantum company by revenue. IonQ has used acquisitions to accelerate its quantum-compute roadmap and expand into quantum networking, security, sensing, space and foundry services, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BofA likes IonQ's semiconductor-enabled path to scaling qubit count, broad customer engagement and exposure across quantum computing, communications and sensing.
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
$IONQ, one of the most closely watched publicly traded quantum-computing companies, took a hit in January 2025 after Nvidia $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang questioned how quickly useful quantum machines would arrive.
Huang said a reasonable estimate for very useful quantum computers was 15 to 30 years. IonQ shares fell 9.4% that day.
Less than two years later, Nvidia is preparing to put an IonQ quantum processor inside its own research center.
Nvidia once rattled IonQ stock. Now it plans to install IonQ tech
Read more: thestreet.com/investing/ionq…
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
Getting my $NVDA / $IONQ timeline straight here:
• In March 2025, Nvidia announces NVIDIA Accelerated Quantum Research Center (NVAQC) and names three quantum collaborators: Quantinuum, Quantum Machines, and QuEra. In addition to Harvard and MIT. Zero mention of IonQ.
• In October 2025, Nvidia announces NVQLink, architecture to interconnect GPUs↔QPUs. IonQ is just one of 17 partnering companies (Nvidia clearly choosing their usual "we lift all ships" approach) as opposed to choosing favorites
• Nearly a year (today) IonQ announces that their next-gen 256-qubit chip has been selected as NVAQC’s *first* on-premise QPU, connected to GB200 GPUs via NVQLink - with install planned for 2027
So... the 3 original research-lab collaborating companies were all passed over? In addition to the other dozen+ QPU developers in partnership via NVQLink?
The only QPU expected to be in deployment, 2 years after the center is announced, is from IonQ - and none of the three original partners? What does this tell us about IonQ's next generation chip? 🤔
Nvidia as a company executes second to none: they are not making these decisions without due diligence on levels far deeper than I could understand.
That being said I would love to see actual specs on the chip. I figured they are too early stage to have meaningful benchmarks? Regardless, I take today’s news to be a strong signal. I would find it hard not to.
Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
$IonQ This Nvidia news matters in a way that goes beyond the partnership itself. Let me explain - many of you will remember this.
In January 2025, at Nvidia's analyst day during CES, Jensen Huang said that 15 years for very useful quantum computers would be "on the early side," 30 "on the late side," and 20 was a number most people would believe. The next day, January 8, quantum stocks collapsed: IonQ fell 39% and Rigetti 45%. Two months later, at GTC's Quantum Day, he admitted his first reaction had been that he didn't even know these companies were public.
My read then, and now, is that Huang was paying attention to his own shareholders. Nvidia was weeks away from earnings, with questions swirling around its next-generation chip, and quantum was a competing story for the future of compute. I was fortunate: I sold as much of my position as I could and bought back lower. Many investors weren't so lucky. I haven't owned a share of NVDA since, and I never will.
Today's announcement tells the opposite story. IonQ's Superion 256 will be the first quantum computer installed on-premise at Nvidia's Accelerated Quantum Research Center, wired directly to an Nvidia GB200 NVL72 through NVQLink and run on CUDA-Q. This has been in the works for months, which tells me Nvidia has been thinking of quantum fora long time, and carefully choosing the right partner to protect its own market leadership. Nvidia's own quantum lead now says every supercomputer will become a quantum supercomputer.
In January 2025, quantum was a story that threatened Nvidia, so it was dismissed. In 2026, it's an architecture Nvidia can't afford to be left out of, so it's being absorbed. To protect Nvidia, Jensen needs quantum.
That's the take I am really focused on. Naturally there’s the potential this massive platform represents - but it’s Jensen’s hidden reversal and the message to the $Nvda shareholders that quantum is real, hybrid platforms are the critical future, and the best partner is @IonQ_Inc.








































