The bigger the Arab parties, the harder it would be for either side to reach the magic number of 61. And no one foresaw this dramatic, historic, unprecedented surge in Arab turnout. A reminder: since the start of the year, not a single one of our polls with Mano Geva has had either camp at 61, certainly not Netanyahu’s, but not Eisenkot’s either. What we know: Arab voters turned out at an extraordinary, almost crazy rate. For most of the day, Arab turnout was actually higher than Jewish turnout. For anyone who knows the numbers, that’s hard to believe. The usual gap of 20 points has closed, and may even reverse. What we don’t know is the one remaining riddle. Turnout is approaching 80 percent, and Arab voters account for roughly half the increase. So who brought more voters to the polls? There are exactly three candidates: Opposition voters Likud, Otzma Yehudit and Smotrich voters The Haredim We know the Haredim turned out less today. We don’t yet know whether Likud or the change bloc turned out more, or who will reap the rewards.