RonMan (@RonManX) header
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Fiat skeptic | Small business owner | Outdoors | Travel | Bitcoin I'm more interested in how things work than the narrative

United States
Joined January 2011
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RonMan retweeted
This morning my wife made a quick run to Whole Foods. We hadn’t made a list, and she’ll be out of town most of the week, so she asked what I needed. Naturally, I asked Grok Bot to scan my past Whole Foods shopping lists and tell me what I normally buy. Amazon says that violates its Conditions of Use. Fine. Shut down my account then. I understand Amazon wants to protect its ecosystem and margins, but this is where commerce is headed. My AI agent should be able to look at what I’ve bought before, figure out what I’m likely to need, compare options, and eventually place the order for me. If Amazon won’t allow that, somebody else will. Who is building the shopping platform designed for AI agents instead of fighting them?
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RonMan retweeted
What's New in Grok Bot 00:00 🎃 00:13 Pages in Grok Bot 01:09 Vault 02:05 1Password 02:21 Apple integrations 03:21 Bot makes videos 03:47 New bot characters 04:13 X Spaces 04:31 Font fun 04:54 Design polish 05:11 Rapid fire
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JUST IN: 🇺🇸 US national debt reaches new all-time high of $40.5 trillion.
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RonMan retweeted
Bitcoin is ~50% below its $126K ATH and only ~9% off the recent ~$58K low. When was BTC last ~9% off a major cycle bottom? January 2023. BTC was ~$17K. What happened next? 3 months: $28K (+65%) 6 months: $30K (+75%) 9 months: $28K (+60%) 12 months: $46K (+168%) 18 months: $58K (+237%) Apply those same returns to today’s ~$63K: 3 months → ~$104K 6 months → ~$111K 9 months → ~$101K 12 months → ~$169K 18 months → ~$213K Obviously cycles don’t repeat perfectly and this isn’t a prediction. But here’s what I find interesting: Last cycle BTC fell ~77% before bottoming. This time we’re ~50% below the ATH and, if ~$58K was the bottom, the drawdown was only ~54%. Everyone wants to know whether Bitcoin is dead or the cycle is broken. Maybe the more interesting question is: What if we’re simply much earlier in the recovery than it feels?
Yes you missed the bottom But let’s be real, you weren’t gonna size in at the bottom anyway The good news? It’s only $5k off the bottom I mean come on guys…
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RonMan retweeted
🚨New Listing! 🚨 Total 69 Doodles listed. All hand drawn on paper. 42 doodles already gone!🥳 Mint 0.04 eth Link below👇
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RonMan retweeted
The money in the bank isn’t really yours until they let you have it. I learned that 12 years ago trying to buy my teenager a used car with cash. It took an appointment and explanations to three different bank employees just to withdraw my own money. That’s not financial freedom. Bitcoin is freedom money.
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Since the advent of Bitcoin in 2008, the crypto asset market has grown from a niche curiosity into a multi-trillion-dollar asset class to which investors actively seek exposure. Unfortunately, our rules and regulations have not kept pace. To that end, today’s proposal would provide a clear regulatory framework for the custody of crypto assets, giving investment advisers and funds a compliant pathway where none existed before—and replacing the grey of uncertainty created by custody rules crafted for a bygone era.
TODAY 🚨: The Commission proposed new rules and amendments to provide a tailored framework for the custody of crypto assets for registered investment advisers and regulated funds, i.e. registered investment companies and business development companies.
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Okay who do I have to ask for a favor to see a launch from here 🤣
Saw a really cool video on Instagram of the Starship launch from the SpaceX garden!!
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RonMan retweeted
Replying to @GrantCardone
$15 trillion sits ideal in bank accounts while the banks collect the spread and pay pennies. Defi and Agentic AI change the game for them. No longer will money sit idle in a bank account.
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RonMan retweeted
Gm Artlovers☕️ The NFT market is changing fast. NFTs + tokens, new chains, new mechanics… especially on RH Chain. Meanwhile, it feels like there’s almost no attention left for 1/1 art. 1/1 hand-painted artwork. Canvas, paint, emotion...... and a physical piece that actually exists. Trends change. Art stays. 🎨 0.60 ETH Link below
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RonMan retweeted
Why isn't financial education taught every year in school? It is by far the most important topic to cover.
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RonMan retweeted
Taxpayers paid senators for months of CLARITY Act negotiations, meetings and speeches. After all that, they couldn’t even get it past a procedural vote. Imagine submitting that performance review at your job. 😂
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Why AI Will Save The World By Marc Andreessen The era of Artificial Intelligence is here, and boy are people freaking out. Fortunately, I am here to bring the good news: AI will not destroy the world, and in fact may save it. 🧵
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This is the greatest spectator sport of all time.
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Strategy now has more Total Reserve Capital than every financial services company in the S&P 500 except Berkshire Hathaway. $MSTR
Our ambition is to hold the most capital. bitcoin:native
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Regret the tone of my post on data centers yesterday. What I should have said: There were reasonable concerns about data centers 18ish months ago: water, taxes, jobs, electricity prices, the environment and what they would do to small towns. Well-structured data center projects have largely addressed these concerns today and we should be celebrating this. On balance, data centers are awesome for America in every way. On water: U.S. data centers use a fraction of what golf courses use. A lot of the numbers from 18 months ago were off by over 1000x. Newer data centers use closed-loop systems or recycled water. Should be required by every town approving a data center project. On taxes: looking only at sales-tax exemptions, as Ronan Farrow did, is the wrong way to evaluate this. Data centers pay significant property taxes. Loudoun County, which is the wealthiest county in America, now collects on the order of $1 billion a year from data centers. In Quincy, WA, data centers are more than half the property-tax roll. Over time, property taxes can go to zero while government spending increases in these towns. On jobs: this has been unambiguously awesome for blue collar Americans. Demand for electricians, plumbers, welders, HVAC techs, and contractors has gone vertical, and it is not a one-time construction job. These buildings get upgraded and expanded over time. That is why the building trades are fighting for them, and why some unions are now treating opposition to data centers as a reason not to endorse politicians. On power: the original fear was that households would pay for the incremental electricity demand in the form of higher prices. That is why the ratepayer-protection deals and the new large-load tariffs exist. The right structure is: the data center brings or pays for new generation and signs a contract long enough that existing customers are protected. Where that is happening, utilities are cutting or freezing residential rates and saying so on the record. Where it is not, people are right to object. Electricity prices are going down *today* in a number of large states because of data centers. 
On the environment: data centers overwhelming use natural gas today, which is the cleanest power source outside of nuclear, solar and wind. And the companies that are building the data centers are committed to carbon neutrality such that an equivalent amount of solar will likely be built. Maybe more importantly, the data centers need batteries to function effectively and these batteries can also sell energy back into the grid (which recently prevented blackouts in Texas). Over time, data centers will run on solar plus batteries. On the towns: Poverty in Quincy, WA fell from 29% to 6%. Data center taxes paid for a new high school, a hospital, a library, police and fire stations. This is happening in many left for dead former mill and farm towns that had no other bidder for the land. Data centers are actually reindustrializing parts of America and creating the kind of working-class jobs both parties have spent decades claiming to support. That should not be a partisan issue. Data centers can and should be awesome for America and they increasingly, overwhelmingly are. Supporting the outsourcing of data centers to China will likely age just as well as support for the outsourcing of high quality, blue collar manufacturing jobs to China has aged. When the facts change, I change my mind. I hope that reasonable people who had good faith reasons to oppose data centers at least consider updating their beliefs given the change in the facts over the last 18 months. This really matters for America. I will say I also think the idea of making data centers beautiful is a good one that has yet to be implemented. Data centers should be just as beautiful as Grand Central Station. We can learn a lot from the railroad buildout. Neoclassical revival ftw. Might write up open-weight AI tomorrow as this is equally essential to America.
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bitcoin:native stats: buying on any random day when price is 30% below the previous high (which is true for today) returned +116.5% (median return) within 1 year in 78% of the time. that median return became +288% within 2 years in 90% of the historical examples.
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My most shocking loss ever I remember like it was yesterday The start of U.S. bombing of Iraq Chronology I was long Crude - about 30,000 barrels Price broke out of a channel on Jan 14, 1991 Slight down day on Jan 15 Firm close on Jan 16 to close at 30.29 At about dinner we were watching TV when the U.S. began its bombing campaign of Iraq Price on the curb (dealer to dealer) in London had climbed about $3 to $33 or so when I confidently went to bed in MN CLASSIC BUY THE RUMOR, SELL THE NEWS Market opened down $11 from London curb. Did I wait for a rally to lessen the damage. NEVER I exited at the market. My policy is to never speculate with a loss
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