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NFL Props Research Tool
Joined October 2026
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This is @SimSheetHQ.
Every day I post:
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Connor Hellebuyck's Devils debut: 16 saves on 17 shots in a 5-1 win in Dallas.
The market got there early. Dallas opened -142 at DraftKings and finished at -118, per ESPN, with New Jersey going from +120 to -102. It still undersold him.
One start is one start. How fast does New Jersey's price move from here?
Philly outshot Columbus 31-15 and still lost 4-3 in OT (per ESPN).
Drysdale's tying goal in the final seconds did flip the 5.5 total at DraftKings from Under to Over. CBJ backers at -120 can thank Talbot's 28 saves for the rest.
David Hamilton's throwing error handed Tampa the lead in the 4th. He got it back himself in the 5th with a 391-foot homer, per ESPN. World Series Game 4 is tied 2-2.
Four runs are already in against a 7.5 total. Dustin May lasted 3 innings and Griffin Jax is at 74 pitches, so the bullpens will decide the over.
Still happy with your letter?
Delaware-WKU's total got bet down from 58.5 to 55.5 at DraftKings before kickoff (per ESPN). It's 35-21 Delaware late in the 3rd, so that number's already cleared with a quarter-plus to go.
The side moved the wrong way too: WKU went from +1.5 to -2.5 pregame.
🚨 BETTING IMPACT: Colts at Jaguars
Indy traded Quenton Nelson to Seattle and DeForest Buckner to San Francisco today, per ESPN. Jacksonville opened -4.5 at DraftKings, sat at -7.5 in our Monday snapshot and is -9.5 now, per ESPN. Total: 49.5 to 46.5.
Laying 9.5 in a division game, or is Indy in sell mode?
ALT NFL line move: Colts at Jaguars, JAX spread -4.5 to -9.5, total 49.5 to 46.5 (DraftKings via ESPN). Since Monday the Colts traded Quenton Nelson and DeForest Buckner (ESPN).
The market's upset pick: Oregon has gone from -270 to -175 on the moneyline vs Northwestern at DraftKings (per ESPN), and the total is down from 50.5 to 47.5.
The catalyst: Dan Lanning says QB Dante Moore isn't expected back this season.
Air Force opened -4 vs UConn at DraftKings. It's -1.5 now (per ESPN), the ML has gone from -175 to -115, and the total's down from 56.5 to 51.5.
Medders ran for 267 yards over the last two games. Take him out and that option attack looks a lot different.
📈 LINE WATCH: Panthers at Jets (8 PM ET)
The total opened 5.5 at DraftKings and it's 6.5 now, per ESPN. The goalie news is the reason: Akira Schmid starts for Florida and Clay Stevenson for Winnipeg.
Florida is -125 on the moneyline, from -130 at the open. Winnipeg has lost five straight.
Over 6.5 or under?
The #NHLJets look to snap a five-game losing streak tonight against the Florida Panthers.
Clay Stevenson starts for WPG.
Changes
IN: Bauer, Lambert
OUT: Niederreiter, Fleury
Washington opened +2.5 vs Philadelphia for Sunday night. It's now Washington -5.5 at DraftKings, per ESPN, an 8-point swing.
The catalyst: Jalen Hurts is on IR, and Lane Johnson is out. The total has dropped from 46.5 to 40.5.
Too much of an adjustment, or not enough?
New Pod!
“unCovering Birds” sorts through rubble of #Eagles loss, largely because of the D.
Should Howie Roseman embrace the tank ahead of deadline? Who’s worth keeping? Positives from the offense.
@ByDavidMurphy joins.
📻 go.audacy.com/HAsrlyOAA7b
📺 youtu.be/uJhAJngTNaw
The Brewers can close out the World Series tonight in Tampa. You get one bet for Game 4 (DraftKings via ESPN):
A) Brewers ML -118
B) Rays ML +106
C) Over 7.5 +102
D) Under 7.5 -122
Dustin May vs. Griffin Jax at 8 PM ET, and the total's already up from 7. Which letter?
📈 LINE WATCH: Mississippi State at Texas (Sat.)
Texas opened -18.5 at DraftKings and is -20.5 now, per ESPN. Total: 52.5 to 50.5.
The catalyst: Kamario Taylor is out for the season (toe surgery), per Pete Thamel. He had 1,460 yards, 17 TD, 4 INT in six games.
Enough points?
Green Bay opened -7 vs Carolina for Thursday and it's down to -3.5 at DraftKings, per ESPN.
What's changed on the Packers' side: Zaire Franklin out, Sean Rhyan expected to miss about a month, Jacob Monk on IR, Micah Parsons still out.
Short week, thin roster. Where's your number?
📈 LINE WATCH: Devils at Stars, 8 PM ET
Dallas opened -142 at DraftKings and is -115 now, per ESPN. New Jersey: +120 to -105.
The catalyst is Connor Hellebuyck making his Devils debut tonight, per coach Sheldon Keefe. The total hasn't moved off 5.5.
How much is one goalie worth on a moneyline?
📈 LINE WATCH: World Series Game 4
Brewers opened -111 at DraftKings and are -123 now, per ESPN. Rays: -109 to +102.
Milwaukee got shorter even with a bullpen game behind Dustin May. Griffin Jax starts for Tampa, first outing since Oct. 15.
Total 7. Sweep tonight or Game 5?
The Colts sent Quenton Nelson to Seattle and DeForest Buckner to San Francisco today. At 2-5, they're 9.5-point dogs at Jacksonville Sunday (DraftKings via ESPN).
The Jets own Indy's 2027 first, so every sale helps New York too. How low can that spread go if they keep selling?
From @SportsCenter: The two trades (so far) today show that the #Colts are open for business.
Dallas up 6 at the half laying 4.5, and 34 points are already in on a 43.5 total. Saquon has 50 yards on just 6 carries while Pierce has 7. If Philly wants back in this without Hurts, the second-half fix starts with that carry split.
Monday Night Football: Cowboys lead Eagles 20-14 at halftime. nbcsports.com/nfl/profootbal…
Live: the Eagles backfield is tilting to Dameon Pierce.
Pierce: 7 carries, 36 yds, TD
Saquon Barkley: 6 carries, 50 yds, TD
Pierce has the last 4 Eagles carries. Correction: Barkley did run twice early in the 2nd (we said he hadn't).
DAL 17, PHI 14. Rest plan or real split?
Game-Day Sheet: Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles, 8:15 PM ET 👇
Spread: DAL -4.5, after Philly opened -3
Total: 43.5, down from 48.5 at open and another half point since this afternoon (DraftKings via ESPN)
The flip is mostly Jalen Hurts on IR, with Tanner McKee starting.
Eagles: Saquon Barkley is active. DeVonta Smith, Dontayvion Wicks and Nolan Smith are out (per Jeff McLane). Landon Dickerson is back and rookie TE Eli Stowers debuts.
Cowboys inactives include KaVontae Turpin, Emari Demercado and Dee Winters (per Todd Archer).
Five points off the total already. Too far, or not far enough?
ALT Game-Day Sheet card for Cowboys at Eagles on Monday Night Football: spread opened PHI -3, now DAL -4.5; total opened 48.5, now 43.5. DraftKings via ESPN.
👀 PROP WATCH: Dak just hit George Pickens for a 21-yard TD. Cowboys 17, Eagles 14 with 5:37 left in the 2nd.
Dak: 8/13, 96 yds, 2 TD
Saquon: 6 carries, 50 yds, 1 TD, but no carries since the 1st quarter
31 points before halftime against a 43.5 total (DraftKings via ESPN). The over is already in play.
Should Philly be feeding Saquon more?
Lamb's TD tonight was his 5th, tied for third among WRs. He's seen 5 of Dak's 9 targets so far while Pickens is 0 for 1. Philly keeps putting DeJean on him and Dallas keeps going there anyway. At what number does his yardage Over become a pass for you?
