A big problem with conventional experimentation or A/B testing is that the treatment effect can vary over time and it can depend on the entire history of the treatment. Usual comparisons miss this point.
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How to get the most out of Bayesian Data Analysis
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My exchange with Yann LeCun about killer robots
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Real political reporters use data journalism techniques to catch fakers at “Wedgewood Polls”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
Survey Statistics: textbooks adding non-probability sampling chapters
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
CmdStanR 1.0 release candidate is now available!
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
“In the belly of the whale: Portraits from a fractured Israel”
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“If you decide to write about this paper in your blog, please don’t mention my name. It is important to me to remain anonymous. . . . exposure might harm me or my students.”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
“Death and Taxes: Taking Causal Inference into the Real World”
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“I write to seek your help and advice regarding a published article that my group and I believe is invalid and should be corrected or retracted.”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
Why do we like wind chimes?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
Seeking to interview social scientists experimenting with LLM simulations of opinions or behavior
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How surprising is it that LeBron averaged 27 points, 7 rebounds, and 7 assists in his career but never had one game where he had 27 points, 7 rebounds, and 7 assists?
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Frustration when authors dodge criticism
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
Why do almost all the cell phone numbers have no 0’s or 1’s?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
OK, here’s a new scam. But I can’t figure out how it’s supposed to work.
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
Survey Statistics: favorite textbooks ?
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JAMA rules of engagement on causal language
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Columbia University says, “We believe in difficult conversations at Columbia—in a broad embrace of freedom of expression. It’s in our DNA.”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
