Award-raking muckrakers and researchers from Ukraine and Russia with long-standing ties to the US and MENA. Protecting identities to preserve independence.
Ukraine, US, Russia
Joined March 2014
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Ukrainians need to win moderately to deserve more weapons, but they can't win too much because the weapons deliveries will slow down. They also need to start losing if they hope to get weapons urgently, but they can't lose too much because then sending weapons is pointless.
Putin played Trump like a fiddle today. Rejected Trump's ceasefire fantasy despite Trump's warm embrace, then 'agreed' to pause energy attacks only to bomb Sloviansk/Kramatorsk into blackouts hours later. Turns out 'The Art of the Deal' was ghostwritten by Putin.
Team Trump cut off Ukraine from U.S. intelligence just as Ukrainian forces began liberating territory in Donetsk. The scarier question: Is the U.S. now feeding intel to Russia instead? It wouldn’t be the first time that Ukrainian operations were sabotaged at a critical moment.
By cutting military aid to Ukraine, Trump has cut the leash that kept Ukraine from launching far more aggressive strikes inside Russia. He gave up leverage over Russia immediately, and now he's surrendered his leverage over Ukraine as well. 1/7
Obama's foreign policy allowed Putin to invade Ukraine without consequences and led to the full-scale invasion in 2022. By denying Ukraine weapons, Trump is repeating Obama's playbook and trying to Make Appeasement Great Again. 6/7
Old Europe is desperate to avoid going all in to help Ukraine defeat Russia because it is expensive and the governments of countries like France and Italy don't actually believe that Russia would ever invade them. The summits and "ceasefire" plans are simply a smokescreen. 1/4
Team Trump has so far failed to threaten or humiliate Europe into decisive action because years of Russia's aggression have not been able to do so. Old Europe isn't interested in victory; it wants a return to the status quo no matter how much Ukrainian blood or land it costs. 3/4
The US provides military aid based on strategic interests, despite any personal grudges or perceived "etiquette violations." If Trump cuts all aid to Ukraine, it won't be because of Zelensky's candid remarks — it will be because that was always the plan.
European career politicians grovel before Trump, swallowing humiliation in a futile bid to keep outsourcing their security to the US. Unlike them, Zelensky is forced to fight against decades of US foreign policy that, both openly and in the shadows, has shielded the aggressor.
Extorting Ukraine for its natural resources that dwarf any aid that the US has ever provided or could ever provide by threatening to turn off Starlink access is an expected and cruel development, which Ukraine has been preparing for. 1/9
Undoubtedly, Starlink is superior to most of the available alternatives, but without it, Ukraine will continue to defend itself, just like it did when it had neither Starlink, nor any American/Western weapons at all and when its enemy was far less demoralized than it is now. 8/9