@TickerTracker_

Prediction market data discovery tools for researchers, reporters, and analysts.

Joined June 2026
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  • Following11
  • Followers455
33Media
TickerTracker retweeted
Dustin Gouker
@DustinGouker11h
Fascinating data from @Eric_Ramsey @TickerTracker_: Combos with 20 or more legs at Kalshi went from 3.5% of the total in July to 17% in September, and the average combo contract went from 8 legs to 13 over that span. About 10% of all combos traded in September settled Yes, a hit rate that falls to 2.7% for combos with 10+ legs and 1.5% for those with 20 or more. Across the combos with 100 or more legs, two have settled Yes and 5,272 settled No. More in this morning’s Event Horizon.
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The three NBA tipoff games on Tuesday night produced a combined $114 million in trading volume on Kalshi -- about as much as three typical NFL games. OKC/SAS > PHI/NYK by a smidge.
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🏆 Centipede Combo of the Week(™) on Kalshi - 320 legs - $0.16 to win $106 (~+65000) - 26 misses (5 voids; 13 still open)
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Saturday was another record day of volume for Kalshi and its first above $4 billion -- almost 20x bigger than the same Saturday last year.
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TickerTracker retweeted
Primo Data
@primo_dataOct 14
Polymarket US crypto volume doing well since 15-min up/down launch < 30d ago 📈
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🏆 Centipede Combo of the Week(™) on Kalshi - 453 legs - $47 to win $1,462 (~+3000) - 27 misses (7 voids; 28 still open) - Lost before the 1 p.m. games kicked off
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Biggest combos of the weekend, by number of legs:
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More than $10 billion was traded across tracked prediction market platforms this weekend -- up 11% from last weekend to a new two-day record.
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Kalshi came close to $8 billion by itself, with back-to-back volume records on Saturday and Sunday for the fourth time this season.
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Kalshi Data Shows LIV Players Are Popular; LIV Golf Is Not

Article · @TickerTracker_
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Sydney Sweeney and a 21+ pledge: Novig’s fearless path to $2 billion (via @nextpredictio) nextpredict.io/market-news/i…

Sydney Sweeney and a 21+ pledge: Novig's fearless path to $2bn

NEXTPredict attends Novig's launch party in New York to get a sense of how the company is feeling post-Sweeney. The answer? Pretty delighted.

nextpredict.io
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Kalshi recorded a record $3.7 billion in Sunday volume and more than $7.1 billion for the weekend. Sports + combos made up 91% of volume on both days.
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Football trading Saturday + Sunday combined: - Straight markets: $897 million (13% of total) - Football combos: $3.1 billion (44%) - Total: $4.0 billion (56%) Football legs made up 63% of all combos for the weekend. Soccer was #2 at 14%. About 8% of combo contracts had more than 20 legs.
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And the Centipede Combo of the Week award goes to...
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TickerTracker retweeted
Dustin Gouker
@DustinGoukerOct 5
I do a weekly podcast about prediction markets at The Event Horizon, and I am terrible at sharing clips from. This week, talked PM volume with @Eric_Ramsey of @TickerTracker_. Available on Spotify and Apple Podcasts
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Sunday on Kalshi: Another volume record at $3.04 billion, just a few bucks ahead of Saturday. It is the sixth time Kalshi has bested its own single-day record in September. Rams/Broncos moves to #2 on the list of NFL regular-season games, behind only Colts/Chiefs in Week 2.
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Kalshi set another single-day volume record yesterday, its second straight Saturday above $3 billion. Sports + Combos were >90% of the total.
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TickerTracker retweeted
Leo Adberg
@LeoAdbergSep 21
Replying to @TickerTracker_
Nah, Kalshi has a fee accumulator to prevent rounding-up from costing you more than 1c per market. So it's maybe losing $26.13/day not $432/day. Likely just someone farming volume for a higher rate limit tier if I had to guess!
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The Mamdani Metronome & Allegations of Widespread Wash Trading on Kalshi

Article · @TickerTracker_
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Update: After trading every 2 seconds for the past 54 days, it looks like the Mamdani Metronome might be dead. Its last trade was at 3:34pm Eastern.
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