MBA & Market Research Society qualified analyst. Market & competitive insight for industry 'challengers' & MSBs / SMEs. @CheshireNix Performance Analyst.
Shropshire, UK
Joined December 2015
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Tom Fletcher βοΈπ retweeted
A 20-year study found the average expert predicted the future about as well as a dart-throwing chimpanzee. Superforecasting by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner shows what the few people who actually can predict do differently. Tetlock tracked 284 experts making about 28,000 predictions. The famous ones did worse than the unknown ones. Then the US intelligence community ran a forecasting tournament, and Tetlock entered with thousands of ordinary volunteers. The best of them beat professional analysts who had access to classified information. What set them apart wasnβt IQ or credentials. They broke big questions into small ones. They thought in percentages instead of yes or no. They changed their minds often, in small steps. And they kept score. Everyone makes predictions every day about money, jobs and people. This is the best book there is on making better ones.
π Retrospectively following this, so while I'm not under pressure to keep up with a book club, I am instead under pressure because my wife has added it to the Netflix watch list. π€¦ββοΈ
We are live streaming our book club discussion on East of Eden right now!
Jump in:
xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1XxygwQOjβ¦
Not for me.
I think I've resolved to only read anything from mid-C20 onwards. Not sure if it's something around a change in psyche post 2x world wars, great depression, etc, but I just cannot recognise anything from classics of prior centuries.
Maybe I'm just a philistine.
βοΈ
OFFICIAL: Josh Wander, who tried to buy @Everton, sat on the board of multiple football clubs and was elected on to the @EFC_Football, is a convicted fraudster. He will be sentenced in March after pleading guilty to defrauding lenders of more than $500m.
justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/fouβ¦
Tom Fletcher βοΈπ retweeted
βThe game model is the coach. The framework is the club.β
A key point for any club, no matter the level, made by Chris Loxston, Technical Director at San Diego Wave , in this article about the importance and benefits of a clear club identity/framework.
hudl.com/blog/san-diego-waveβ¦
Tom Fletcher βοΈπ retweeted
European nights at Villa Park π€©
That tifo... π₯
πΊ Stream now on TNT Sports & HBO Max
π£π΅ The south west balcony at Villa Park, Champions League is back, Villa vs. Fenerbahce.
Some of the teams we've seen at VP in recent years: PSG, Bayern, Ajax, Celtic, now these.
Oh, and Mason Greenwood is a rat. π
Something that I think is drastically undervalued is the rarity of reliable, dependable people.
I see this, constantly, in all walks of life.
What's worse, is that those who are reliable & dependable don't get any reward for it; quite the opposite, they get shat on.
ALT When reliability becomes a penalty https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/when-reliability-becomes-penalty-peter-worthington-eyre-92jdc?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_android&utm_campaign=share_via
π For the first time, I've subscribed to a Substack; and, for the first time, am reading this while trying to keep up with the book club, in order to deepen my understanding and reflections.
"If you dare to try to be a positively good man...you're going to be seen as an idiot."
This is a significant one... our next book club read has been decided:
Dostoevsky's "The Idiot".
This is a tremendously powerful novel and one of Dostoevsky's great works. An excellent one for us to tackle together.
We'll be reading it over the next 6-7 weeks, and discussing it in three parts:
β’ Session 1 (Sep 23) β Part 1
β’ Session 2 (Oct 7) β Part 2 + Part 3, ch. 1-6
β’ Session 3 (Oct 21) β Part 3, ch. 7-conclusion
Along the way, we'll send out reading guides for the parts in question. You can read along with us for free and tune into the live broadcasts.
If you'd like to join our inner circle and participate in the discussions directly, join us with a paid membership. You'll get:
β’ Live book club discussions (biweekly)
β’ Access to our community chat
β’ Essays to guide you through the great books
β’ All past recordings, essays, and podcasts
β’ Ability to vote on what we read next
theculturist.io/welcome
Welcome!
Tom Fletcher βοΈπ retweeted
π€·ββοΈ 2nd in the league twice in three years, guess it's a compliment.
Any chance of some commission?
(And there's more to come).
"Create an image of what the world would look like if I were in charge, based on my tweets."
Down a rabbit hole with this trend - mine looks like hell & makes me question my existence!
Why the fuck is there a giant Boston Matrix in the sky?! And who's taking all those midrange?
Everyone on the bench when someone jacks up a terrible shot and I go "nope"...just before it swishes.
And...
Everyone on the bench when the opponent's 40% FT shooter goes 2-2, but the scout said FOUL.
I read in themes; and this, I fear, is the start of my mid-life crisis theme!
My understanding is that it may speak to my life's overstory, my affliction: always try to do the right thing, get nothing in return, no breaks.
Hence I wonder if, indeed, I am The Idiot.
Tom Fletcher βοΈπ retweeted
not a single human being on this entire planet wants a permanent Netflix sticker on their copy of East of Eden.
Tom Fletcher βοΈπ retweeted
AI can forecast the future. Should we let it?
as.ft.com/r/caebbf38-4be9-49β¦
Tom Fletcher βοΈπ retweeted
Full time!
Now all focus turns to next Sundayβs season opener against the Bristol Flyers!
Mark your calendars and get your tickets today!
#thenixway
