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This is Michael's brain, unfiltered. Rules, sayings, and lessons on markets pulled straight from decades of trend following. Everything else is at @Covel.

Joined August 2025
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The idea still holds: buy strength, trust price over opinion, cut losses before they cut you. Price is the only signal that isn't rigged. Old interview but still true. Yet still ignored by most. #trendfollowing #tradingstrategy #traders
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If you've spent 30 years building your wealth, why risk it all on a forecast? Hope isn't downside protection. A plan for getting out when you're wrong is.
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Wall Street has a prediction for everything. AI. Interest rates. Bitcoin. The next recession. Ask a simpler question. What will you do when the prediction is wrong?
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The next market crash won't announce itself. Neither will the next extraordinary opportunity. Downside defense. Absolute alpha. Something new is coming this Black Friday. Be positioned before it arrives. trendfollowing.com/blackfrid…
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Michael and Steve discuss AI tools, price action trading, trend following strategies, and why risk management matters more than market predictions. Full conversation in Ep. 1410 of Trend Following Radio.
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The best time to build the habit was a year ago, and the second best time is today.
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It is not the man who has too little, but the man who craves more, that is poor.
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New decade but same excuses. The strategy never needed either to work.
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The day it feels least worth it is the most important day to do it anyway.
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Japan’s widowmaker trade proved that timing matters. Trend following rewards patience, not predictions.
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The market tells you exactly when you're wrong and most people ignore it.
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He averaged down 3x and called it a long-term investment.
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Reputation takes years to build and one moment to lose.
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Boredom is a feature of a well-run trading system, not a flaw.
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Read six books on discipline, still hit snooze four times this morning.
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Bad position sizing ends good trades early, not the trend.
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Success is not final. Failure is not fatal. It is the courage to continue that counts.
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Complexity is the enemy of execution. The most durable trend following systems ever built ran on rules anyone could understand. The edge was never in the sophistication. It was in following those rules when doing so was uncomfortable.
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Nobody out-researches the people who move the market. Don't try. Full conversation with Mark Rzepczynski in Ep. 1110 of Trend Following Radio.
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The trade that looked too obvious to take is usually the one that ran without you.
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Asking social media for trading advice is a very creative way to make the wrong decision with full confidence :)
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