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Atlanta Falcons +6.5 β
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π NBA WEDNESDAY POTD 11/4 π
Ausar Thompson Over 5.5 Rebounds π
AUSAR THOMPSON HAS BEEN DOMINATING THE GLASS, AND PHILADELPHIA IS ONE OF THE WORST REBOUNDING TEAMS IN THE NBA. Ausar has cleared 5.5 rebounds in 5 of his first 6 games (83%), including 4 STRAIGHT (100%), averaging 7.2 REBOUNDS in just 26.5 MINUTES per game βΌοΈ The 76ers rank 23RD in team rebounding (41.6 RPG) while allowing opponents to grab 48.4 REBOUNDS PER GAME, outrebounding Philadelphia by an average of 6.8 boards. Jalen Duren is still out, creating more opportunities for Ausar to contribute on the glass π
Ausar this season, over in 5/6 (83%):
vs CHA: 6 REB | 26 MIN β
vs BKN: 8 REB | 26 MIN β
vs CHA: 9 REB | 29 MIN β
vs NYK: 6 REB | 25 MIN β
vs MIA: 3 REB | 19 MIN β
vs BOS: 11 REB | 33 MIN β
THE UNDERLYING REBOUNDING OPPORTUNITIES ARE STRONG. Ausar is averaging 11.3 REBOUND CHANCES per game, converting approximately 63% of those opportunities into actual rebounds. He's collected 35 DEFENSIVE REBOUNDS and 8 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS through his first 6 appearances, averaging 5.8 defensive boards per game. His defensive rebounding percentage has also increased from 15.6% last season to 22.5% this year, demonstrating his increased involvement on the glass βΌοΈπ
PHILADELPHIA HAS BEEN STRUGGLING TO SECURE REBOUNDS. The 76ers are averaging just 41.6 team rebounds while surrendering 48.4 per game to opponents. Their positional matchup data also shows opposing SFs averaging approximately 7.4 REBOUNDS per game. Philadelphia is getting outrebounded by nearly 7 boards per game, creating a favorable rebounding environment for an athletic wing like Ausar who regularly contributes on both ends of the floor π
I'M NUKING AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS β’οΈπ
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π NBA WEDNESDAY POTD 11/4 π₯
Jrue Holiday Over 8.5 Rebounds + Assists π
NO JA MORANT GIVES JRUE HOLIDAY MORE USAGE. Holiday just exploded for 8 REBOUNDS and 10 ASSISTS against Denver, finishing with 18 RA in 31 MINUTES off the bench βΌοΈ He's cleared 8.5 RA in 3 of his last 5 games (60%), averaging 10.2 RA, and 7 of his last 10 appearances including playoffs (70%). Now he faces a Phoenix defense ranked DEAD LAST (30TH) in defensive rating (124.5), allowing 122.8 POINTS PER GAME. Holiday is averaging 9.3 RA this season despite playing just 25.7 MPG, with his most recent performance showing the upside when his minutes increase π
Holiday's last 5 games, over in 3/5 (60%):
vs DEN: 8 REB + 10 AST = 18 RA β
vs UTA: 4 REB + 3 AST = 7 RA β
vs MEM: 6 REB + 4 AST = 10 RA β
vs LAL: 4 REB + 3 AST = 7 RA β
vs SAC: 1 REB + 8 AST = 9 RA β
THE UNDERLYING OPPORTUNITIES PROVIDE MULTIPLE PATHS. Holiday is averaging approximately 8.0 REBOUND CHANCES per game, including 5.2 defensive and 2.8 offensive opportunities. He's also averaging 5.2 POTENTIAL ASSISTS, 37.2 PASSES MADE and 43.4 TOUCHES per game. His rebounding involvement has been consistent, grabbing 4+ boards in 5 of his 6 games (83%), while his 10-assist performance against Denver demonstrated his playmaking upside when given an expanded role ππ
THE INJURY SITUATION IS IMPORTANT. Ja Morant remains OUT with a hamstring injury, while Shaedon Sharpe is sidelined with a meniscus tear. Holiday has averaged 6.0 ASSISTS in his 4 road games this season, compared to just 2.5 at home, and has recorded 8+ assists twice. Scoot Henderson is available, so Holiday won't have the backcourt to himself, but Portland continues using him as an experienced secondary facilitator alongside its younger guards βΌοΈ
PHOENIX HAS STRUGGLED DEFENSIVELY ALL SEASON. The Suns rank 30TH in defensive rating (124.5), surrendering 122.8 PPG while sitting at 1-4. They also rank 29TH in total team rebounding at just 39.6 boards per game. Their positional matchup data shows opposing PG rotations averaging 5.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game, although Phoenix has been relatively effective at limiting PG assists specifically. Holiday's individual rebounding opportunities and ability to contribute in both categories are important here π
I'M NUKING JRUE HOLIDAY OVER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
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π NBA WEDNESDAY POTD 11/4 π₯
Jrue Holiday Over 8.5 Rebounds + Assists π
NO JA MORANT GIVES JRUE HOLIDAY MORE USAGE. Holiday just exploded for 8 REBOUNDS and 10 ASSISTS against Denver, finishing with 18 RA in 31 MINUTES off the bench βΌοΈ He's cleared 8.5 RA in 3 of his last 5 games (60%), averaging 10.2 RA, and 7 of his last 10 appearances including playoffs (70%). Now he faces a Phoenix defense ranked DEAD LAST (30TH) in defensive rating (124.5), allowing 122.8 POINTS PER GAME. Holiday is averaging 9.3 RA this season despite playing just 25.7 MPG, with his most recent performance showing the upside when his minutes increase π
Holiday's last 5 games, over in 3/5 (60%):
vs DEN: 8 REB + 10 AST = 18 RA β
vs UTA: 4 REB + 3 AST = 7 RA β
vs MEM: 6 REB + 4 AST = 10 RA β
vs LAL: 4 REB + 3 AST = 7 RA β
vs SAC: 1 REB + 8 AST = 9 RA β
THE UNDERLYING OPPORTUNITIES PROVIDE MULTIPLE PATHS. Holiday is averaging approximately 8.0 REBOUND CHANCES per game, including 5.2 defensive and 2.8 offensive opportunities. He's also averaging 5.2 POTENTIAL ASSISTS, 37.2 PASSES MADE and 43.4 TOUCHES per game. His rebounding involvement has been consistent, grabbing 4+ boards in 5 of his 6 games (83%), while his 10-assist performance against Denver demonstrated his playmaking upside when given an expanded role ππ
THE INJURY SITUATION IS IMPORTANT. Ja Morant remains OUT with a hamstring injury, while Shaedon Sharpe is sidelined with a meniscus tear. Holiday has averaged 6.0 ASSISTS in his 4 road games this season, compared to just 2.5 at home, and has recorded 8+ assists twice. Scoot Henderson is available, so Holiday won't have the backcourt to himself, but Portland continues using him as an experienced secondary facilitator alongside its younger guards βΌοΈ
PHOENIX HAS STRUGGLED DEFENSIVELY ALL SEASON. The Suns rank 30TH in defensive rating (124.5), surrendering 122.8 PPG while sitting at 1-4. They also rank 29TH in total team rebounding at just 39.6 boards per game. Their positional matchup data shows opposing PG rotations averaging 5.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game, although Phoenix has been relatively effective at limiting PG assists specifically. Holiday's individual rebounding opportunities and ability to contribute in both categories are important here π
I'M NUKING JRUE HOLIDAY OVER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
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π NBA WEDNESDAY POTD 11/4 π
Ausar Thompson Over 5.5 Rebounds π
AUSAR THOMPSON HAS BEEN DOMINATING THE GLASS, AND PHILADELPHIA IS ONE OF THE WORST REBOUNDING TEAMS IN THE NBA. Ausar has cleared 5.5 rebounds in 5 of his first 6 games (83%), including 4 STRAIGHT (100%), averaging 7.2 REBOUNDS in just 26.5 MINUTES per game βΌοΈ The 76ers rank 23RD in team rebounding (41.6 RPG) while allowing opponents to grab 48.4 REBOUNDS PER GAME, outrebounding Philadelphia by an average of 6.8 boards. Jalen Duren is still out, creating more opportunities for Ausar to contribute on the glass π
Ausar this season, over in 5/6 (83%):
vs CHA: 6 REB | 26 MIN β
vs BKN: 8 REB | 26 MIN β
vs CHA: 9 REB | 29 MIN β
vs NYK: 6 REB | 25 MIN β
vs MIA: 3 REB | 19 MIN β
vs BOS: 11 REB | 33 MIN β
THE UNDERLYING REBOUNDING OPPORTUNITIES ARE STRONG. Ausar is averaging 11.3 REBOUND CHANCES per game, converting approximately 63% of those opportunities into actual rebounds. He's collected 35 DEFENSIVE REBOUNDS and 8 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS through his first 6 appearances, averaging 5.8 defensive boards per game. His defensive rebounding percentage has also increased from 15.6% last season to 22.5% this year, demonstrating his increased involvement on the glass βΌοΈπ
PHILADELPHIA HAS BEEN STRUGGLING TO SECURE REBOUNDS. The 76ers are averaging just 41.6 team rebounds while surrendering 48.4 per game to opponents. Their positional matchup data also shows opposing SFs averaging approximately 7.4 REBOUNDS per game. Philadelphia is getting outrebounded by nearly 7 boards per game, creating a favorable rebounding environment for an athletic wing like Ausar who regularly contributes on both ends of the floor π
I'M NUKING AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS β’οΈπ
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TurtleBets π’ retweeted
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β’οΈ NBA WEDNESDAY NUKEEEE 11/4 β’οΈ
Cam Spencer Over 12.5 Points + Assists π
SCOTTY PIPPEN JR. IS OUT AGAIN, AND CAM SPENCER HAS BEEN STEPPING UP AS MEMPHIS' SECONDARY PLAYMAKER. Spencer has cleared 12.5 PA in his LAST 5 GAMES (100%), averaging 17.2 PA βΌοΈ In the 2 games WITHOUT Pippen this season, Spencer has cleared this line in BOTH (100%), averaging 21.5 PA and 10.0 ASSISTS in just 22.1 MINUTES. Now he faces an Indiana defense allowing 24.6 POINTS and 6.5 ASSISTS per game to opposing SG rotations, ranking 6TH-WORST in assists allowed to the position. Spencer has also recorded 20+ PA in BACK-TO-BACK games despite playing fewer than 26 minutes π
Spencer's last 5 games, over in 5/5 (100%):
vs NOP: 13 PTS + 7 AST = 20 PA β
vs SAC: 10 PTS + 13 AST = 23 PA β
vs POR: 8 PTS + 8 AST = 16 PA β
vs UTA: 8 PTS + 5 AST = 13 PA β
vs SAC: 13 PTS + 1 AST = 14 PA β
THE ABSENCE SPLIT IS HUGE. Spencer has averaged 10.0 ASSISTS and 11.5 POINTS across his 2 games without Pippen, compared to just 3.4 APG and 8.6 PPG across his first 5 appearances. Against Sacramento, he stepped into the starting lineup with Ty Jerome ALSO OUT and exploded for 13 ASSISTS with ZERO TURNOVERS in 25 minutes. Even with Jerome returning against New Orleans, Spencer still recorded 13 points and 7 assists in ONLY 19 MINUTES, showing he can generate significant production off the bench βΌοΈ
THE UNDERLYING PLAYMAKING OPPORTUNITIES ARE STRONG. Spencer is averaging approximately 9.9 POTENTIAL ASSISTS per game this season, ranking among Memphis' top facilitators. In an earlier six-game tracking sample, he also averaged 41.5 PASSES MADE and 13.0 ASSIST POINTS CREATED per game. His 5.3 actual assists per game rank 3RD on Memphis, and he's distributed a MASSIVE 28 ASSISTS over his last 3 appearances, averaging 9.3 APG ππ
INDIANA'S BACKCOURT MATCHUP PROVIDES OPPORTUNITIES. The Pacers are allowing 115.6 POINTS per game, ranking 21ST in the NBA, while opposing SG rotations are averaging 24.6 POINTS and 6.5 ASSISTS against them. Memphis is also averaging 27.4 TEAM ASSISTS and 16.3 MADE THREES per game. Spencer's perimeter shooting makes him a threat to score while his passing creates additional opportunities through Memphis' offense βΌοΈ
SPENCER'S SCORING PROVIDES ANOTHER AVENUE. He's shooting 51.1% from the field and a MASSIVE 56.0% from three this season, averaging 2.0 MADE THREES per game. He's scored 8+ POINTS in 6 STRAIGHT appearances, including 13 against New Orleans on 4/7 shooting. He's also averaged 22.1 minutes across his last 3 games compared to just 16.8 minutes over his first 4, with Pippen's absence opening up more backcourt opportunities π
I'M NUKING CAM SPENCER OVER 12.5 POINTS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
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TurtleBets π’ retweeted
π NBA WEDNESDAY BANGER 11/4 π
Julius Randle Over 10.5 Rebounds + Assists π
JULIUS RANDLE HAS CLEARED THIS LINE IN EVERY SINGLE GAME THIS SEASON. Randle is over 10.5 RA in ALL 7 GAMES (100%), averaging 12.6 RA in 34.3 MINUTES per game βΌοΈ Now he gets a Charlotte team he ALREADY torched for 15 RA in their season opener, recording 8 rebounds and 7 assists in 38 minutes. Randle is coming off a SEASON-HIGH 11 REBOUNDS against New York and has become one of Brooklyn's most consistent rebounders and secondary playmakers π
Randle's first 7 games this season, over in 7/7 (100%):
vs NYK: 11 REB + 2 AST = 13 RA β
vs IND: 5 REB + 6 AST = 11 RA β
vs DET: 8 REB + 3 AST = 11 RA β
vs BOS: 9 REB + 4 AST = 13 RA β
vs IND: 7 REB + 7 AST = 14 RA β
vs CLE: 6 REB + 5 AST = 11 RA β
vs CHA: 8 REB + 7 AST = 15 RA β
THE UNDERLYING OPPORTUNITIES ARE STRONG. Randle is averaging 14.1 REBOUND CHANCES and 10.8 POTENTIAL ASSISTS per game this season, giving him substantial opportunities in BOTH categories. He's converting approximately 54.5% of his rebound chances into actual boards while averaging 43.1 PASSES MADE per game. His 10.8 potential assists have translated into 4.9 actual assists per game, showing how involved he remains as one of Brooklyn's primary facilitators βΌοΈπ
THE H2H HISTORY ALSO SUPPORTS THIS LINE. Randle has cleared 10.5 RA in his last 3 matchups against Charlotte (100%):
8 REB + 7 AST = 15 RA β
8 REB + 4 AST = 12 RA β
7 REB + 4 AST = 11 RA β
CHARLOTTE'S FRONTCOURT MATCHUP IS FAVORABLE FOR POWER FORWARDS. The Hornets are allowing opposing PFs to average 11.3 REBOUNDS and 4.3 ASSISTS per game, combining for 15.6 RA. They rank 8TH-WORST in rebounds allowed to the position, while Grant Williams is also OUT with a hamstring injury. Randle collected 8 defensive rebounds and distributed 7 assists in their first meeting, accounting for 15 RA despite Brooklyn losing 110-103 π
I'M LOCKING IN JULIUS RANDLE OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
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π NBA WEDNESDAY BANGER 11/4 π
Julius Randle Over 10.5 Rebounds + Assists π
JULIUS RANDLE HAS CLEARED THIS LINE IN EVERY SINGLE GAME THIS SEASON. Randle is over 10.5 RA in ALL 7 GAMES (100%), averaging 12.6 RA in 34.3 MINUTES per game βΌοΈ Now he gets a Charlotte team he ALREADY torched for 15 RA in their season opener, recording 8 rebounds and 7 assists in 38 minutes. Randle is coming off a SEASON-HIGH 11 REBOUNDS against New York and has become one of Brooklyn's most consistent rebounders and secondary playmakers π
Randle's first 7 games this season, over in 7/7 (100%):
vs NYK: 11 REB + 2 AST = 13 RA β
vs IND: 5 REB + 6 AST = 11 RA β
vs DET: 8 REB + 3 AST = 11 RA β
vs BOS: 9 REB + 4 AST = 13 RA β
vs IND: 7 REB + 7 AST = 14 RA β
vs CLE: 6 REB + 5 AST = 11 RA β
vs CHA: 8 REB + 7 AST = 15 RA β
THE UNDERLYING OPPORTUNITIES ARE STRONG. Randle is averaging 14.1 REBOUND CHANCES and 10.8 POTENTIAL ASSISTS per game this season, giving him substantial opportunities in BOTH categories. He's converting approximately 54.5% of his rebound chances into actual boards while averaging 43.1 PASSES MADE per game. His 10.8 potential assists have translated into 4.9 actual assists per game, showing how involved he remains as one of Brooklyn's primary facilitators βΌοΈπ
THE H2H HISTORY ALSO SUPPORTS THIS LINE. Randle has cleared 10.5 RA in his last 3 matchups against Charlotte (100%):
8 REB + 7 AST = 15 RA β
8 REB + 4 AST = 12 RA β
7 REB + 4 AST = 11 RA β
CHARLOTTE'S FRONTCOURT MATCHUP IS FAVORABLE FOR POWER FORWARDS. The Hornets are allowing opposing PFs to average 11.3 REBOUNDS and 4.3 ASSISTS per game, combining for 15.6 RA. They rank 8TH-WORST in rebounds allowed to the position, while Grant Williams is also OUT with a hamstring injury. Randle collected 8 defensive rebounds and distributed 7 assists in their first meeting, accounting for 15 RA despite Brooklyn losing 110-103 π
I'M LOCKING IN JULIUS RANDLE OVER 10.5 REBOUNDS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
#TurtleBets π’ #BrooklynTogether #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
β’οΈ NBA WEDNESDAY NUKEEEE 11/4 β’οΈ
Cam Spencer Over 12.5 Points + Assists π
SCOTTY PIPPEN JR. IS OUT AGAIN, AND CAM SPENCER HAS BEEN STEPPING UP AS MEMPHIS' SECONDARY PLAYMAKER. Spencer has cleared 12.5 PA in his LAST 5 GAMES (100%), averaging 17.2 PA βΌοΈ In the 2 games WITHOUT Pippen this season, Spencer has cleared this line in BOTH (100%), averaging 21.5 PA and 10.0 ASSISTS in just 22.1 MINUTES. Now he faces an Indiana defense allowing 24.6 POINTS and 6.5 ASSISTS per game to opposing SG rotations, ranking 6TH-WORST in assists allowed to the position. Spencer has also recorded 20+ PA in BACK-TO-BACK games despite playing fewer than 26 minutes π
Spencer's last 5 games, over in 5/5 (100%):
vs NOP: 13 PTS + 7 AST = 20 PA β
vs SAC: 10 PTS + 13 AST = 23 PA β
vs POR: 8 PTS + 8 AST = 16 PA β
vs UTA: 8 PTS + 5 AST = 13 PA β
vs SAC: 13 PTS + 1 AST = 14 PA β
THE ABSENCE SPLIT IS HUGE. Spencer has averaged 10.0 ASSISTS and 11.5 POINTS across his 2 games without Pippen, compared to just 3.4 APG and 8.6 PPG across his first 5 appearances. Against Sacramento, he stepped into the starting lineup with Ty Jerome ALSO OUT and exploded for 13 ASSISTS with ZERO TURNOVERS in 25 minutes. Even with Jerome returning against New Orleans, Spencer still recorded 13 points and 7 assists in ONLY 19 MINUTES, showing he can generate significant production off the bench βΌοΈ
THE UNDERLYING PLAYMAKING OPPORTUNITIES ARE STRONG. Spencer is averaging approximately 9.9 POTENTIAL ASSISTS per game this season, ranking among Memphis' top facilitators. In an earlier six-game tracking sample, he also averaged 41.5 PASSES MADE and 13.0 ASSIST POINTS CREATED per game. His 5.3 actual assists per game rank 3RD on Memphis, and he's distributed a MASSIVE 28 ASSISTS over his last 3 appearances, averaging 9.3 APG ππ
INDIANA'S BACKCOURT MATCHUP PROVIDES OPPORTUNITIES. The Pacers are allowing 115.6 POINTS per game, ranking 21ST in the NBA, while opposing SG rotations are averaging 24.6 POINTS and 6.5 ASSISTS against them. Memphis is also averaging 27.4 TEAM ASSISTS and 16.3 MADE THREES per game. Spencer's perimeter shooting makes him a threat to score while his passing creates additional opportunities through Memphis' offense βΌοΈ
SPENCER'S SCORING PROVIDES ANOTHER AVENUE. He's shooting 51.1% from the field and a MASSIVE 56.0% from three this season, averaging 2.0 MADE THREES per game. He's scored 8+ POINTS in 6 STRAIGHT appearances, including 13 against New Orleans on 4/7 shooting. He's also averaged 22.1 minutes across his last 3 games compared to just 16.8 minutes over his first 4, with Pippen's absence opening up more backcourt opportunities π
I'M NUKING CAM SPENCER OVER 12.5 POINTS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
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TurtleBets π’ retweeted
π NBA WEDNESDAY POTD 11/4 π―
Ayo Dosunmu Over 8.5 Rebounds + Assists π
ANTHONY EDWARDS AND DONTE DIVINCENZO ARE BOTH OUT, AND AYO'S ROLE HAS EXPLODED. Dosunmu has cleared 8.5 RA in 3 STRAIGHT GAMES (100%), averaging 13.7 RA during that stretch βΌοΈ In his 4 games WITHOUT Edwards this season, he's cleared this line in 3/4 (75%), averaging 12.0 RA in 34.1 MINUTES compared to just 8.0 RA in 26.2 minutes with Edwards active. He's coming off a MASSIVE 12 REBOUND + 8 ASSIST performance against Milwaukee, finishing with 20 RA in 37 minutes. Now he faces Houston, who is allowing opposing SG rotations to average 9.4 REBOUNDS and 7.1 ASSISTS per game π
Ayo's last 4 games WITHOUT Edwards, over in 3/4 (75%):
vs MIL: 12 REB + 8 AST = 20 RA β
vs SAS: 9 REB + 3 AST = 12 RA β
vs LAC: 7 REB + 2 AST = 9 RA β
vs GSW: 3 REB + 4 AST = 7 RA β
THE INCREASED MINUTES ARE HUGE. Ayo has STARTED all 4 games without Edwards, averaging 34.1 MPG compared to 26.2 with him active. He's played 37+ MINUTES in back-to-back games, recording 12 and 20 RA while averaging 38.0 minutes. His rebounding production has increased from 4.0 RPG with Edwards to 7.8 WITHOUT him, while his assists have increased slightly from 4.0 to 4.3 APG βΌοΈ
THE UNDERLYING OPPORTUNITIES SUPPORT HIS EXPANDED ROLE. Dosunmu is averaging 8.6 REBOUND CHANCES and 8.3 POTENTIAL ASSISTS per game this season. His 8.3 potential assists are actually slightly higher than LaMelo Ball's 8.0, showing his involvement in Minnesota's playmaking despite sharing the backcourt. Ayo is averaging 5.9 rebounds and 4.1 assists overall, while his increased minutes without Edwards have pushed those numbers to 7.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists ππ
HOUSTON'S GUARD MATCHUP PROVIDES OPPORTUNITIES. The Rockets are allowing opposing guard rotations to combine for 14.9 REBOUNDS and 13.2 ASSISTS per game, including 9.4 rebounds and 7.1 assists from SGs specifically. Those numbers are for entire positional rotations, but they show the opportunities available in Houston's backcourt matchups. Houston ranks 8th in defensive rating, however, making Ayo's expanded workload the strongest argument for this play rather than an especially weak overall defense.
I'M SMASHING AYO DOSUNMU OVER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
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π NBA WEDNESDAY POTD 11/4 π―
Ayo Dosunmu Over 8.5 Rebounds + Assists π
ANTHONY EDWARDS AND DONTE DIVINCENZO ARE BOTH OUT, AND AYO'S ROLE HAS EXPLODED. Dosunmu has cleared 8.5 RA in 3 STRAIGHT GAMES (100%), averaging 13.7 RA during that stretch βΌοΈ In his 4 games WITHOUT Edwards this season, he's cleared this line in 3/4 (75%), averaging 12.0 RA in 34.1 MINUTES compared to just 8.0 RA in 26.2 minutes with Edwards active. He's coming off a MASSIVE 12 REBOUND + 8 ASSIST performance against Milwaukee, finishing with 20 RA in 37 minutes. Now he faces Houston, who is allowing opposing SG rotations to average 9.4 REBOUNDS and 7.1 ASSISTS per game π
Ayo's last 4 games WITHOUT Edwards, over in 3/4 (75%):
vs MIL: 12 REB + 8 AST = 20 RA β
vs SAS: 9 REB + 3 AST = 12 RA β
vs LAC: 7 REB + 2 AST = 9 RA β
vs GSW: 3 REB + 4 AST = 7 RA β
THE INCREASED MINUTES ARE HUGE. Ayo has STARTED all 4 games without Edwards, averaging 34.1 MPG compared to 26.2 with him active. He's played 37+ MINUTES in back-to-back games, recording 12 and 20 RA while averaging 38.0 minutes. His rebounding production has increased from 4.0 RPG with Edwards to 7.8 WITHOUT him, while his assists have increased slightly from 4.0 to 4.3 APG βΌοΈ
THE UNDERLYING OPPORTUNITIES SUPPORT HIS EXPANDED ROLE. Dosunmu is averaging 8.6 REBOUND CHANCES and 8.3 POTENTIAL ASSISTS per game this season. His 8.3 potential assists are actually slightly higher than LaMelo Ball's 8.0, showing his involvement in Minnesota's playmaking despite sharing the backcourt. Ayo is averaging 5.9 rebounds and 4.1 assists overall, while his increased minutes without Edwards have pushed those numbers to 7.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists ππ
HOUSTON'S GUARD MATCHUP PROVIDES OPPORTUNITIES. The Rockets are allowing opposing guard rotations to combine for 14.9 REBOUNDS and 13.2 ASSISTS per game, including 9.4 rebounds and 7.1 assists from SGs specifically. Those numbers are for entire positional rotations, but they show the opportunities available in Houston's backcourt matchups. Houston ranks 8th in defensive rating, however, making Ayo's expanded workload the strongest argument for this play rather than an especially weak overall defense.
I'M SMASHING AYO DOSUNMU OVER 8.5 REBOUNDS + ASSISTS β’οΈπ
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TurtleBets π’ retweeted
11/3 NHLπ Card Recapβ¬οΈ
2-1 dayπ₯
β
Anaheim Ducks/Vancouver Canucks o6.5 Total
#FlyTogether | #Canucks
β
Dallas Stars ML
#TexasHockey
βColorado Avalanche ML
#GoAvsGo
We will take a 2-1 dayπ€
11/3 NHLπ Card
Anaheim Ducks/Vancouver Canucks o6.5 Total
#FlyTogether | #Canucks
Dallas Stars ML
#TexasHockey
Colorado Avalanche ML
#GoAvsGo
Letβs see how NHL treats usπ
Like and Follow if tailingπΎ
TurtleBets π’ retweeted
β’οΈ NBA WEDNESDAY NIGHT NUKEEEE 11/4 β’οΈ
Keldon Johnson Over 3.5 Rebounds π
KELDON JOHNSON HAS CLEARED THIS LINE IN EVERY SINGLE GAME THIS SEASON. Johnson is over 3.5 rebounds in ALL 7 GAMES (100%), averaging 5.6 REBOUNDS in just 23.1 MINUTES per game βΌοΈ He's also cleared this exact line in his LAST 5 MATCHUPS against Dallas (100%), averaging 5.4 RPG despite playing only 21.9 minutes. He JUST grabbed 6 rebounds in 26 minutes against the Mavericks less than two weeks ago, including 4 OFFENSIVE BOARDS. Johnson has now recorded 6+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games (80%), while Dallas is allowing 43.1 opposing rebounds per game π
Johnson's first 7 games this season, over in 7/7 (100%):
vs UTA: 7 REB | 27 MIN β
vs MIN: 6 REB | 24 MIN β
vs UTA: 6 REB | 23 MIN β
vs SAC: 4 REB | 22 MIN β
vs DAL: 6 REB | 26 MIN β
vs HOU: 6 REB | 19 MIN β
vs OKC: 4 REB | 20 MIN β
THE UNDERLYING REBOUNDING OPPORTUNITIES ARE STRONG. Johnson is averaging approximately 8.0 REBOUND CHANCES per game in the available tracking data, including 3.8 OFFENSIVE REBOUND CHANCES. His rebound conversion rate sits around 60.6%, while he's collecting 2.4 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS per game, an impressive number for someone playing just 23 minutes. He's averaging 8.7 rebounds per 36 minutes and has grabbed at least 4 boards in EVERY appearance regardless of his scoring production βΌοΈπ
THE H2H HISTORY IS ELITE. Johnson has cleared 3.5 rebounds in his LAST 5 GAMES against Dallas (100%), averaging 5.4 REBOUNDS in only 21.9 MINUTES:
6 REB | 26 MIN β
6 REB | 24 MIN β
4 REB | 16 MIN β
6 REB | 19 MIN β
5 REB | 25 MIN β
JOHNSON'S REBOUNDING CONSISTENCY DOESN'T DEPEND ON HEAVY MINUTES. He's averaged 24.5 MINUTES across his last 5 games while grabbing 5.8 rebounds per game. He's also cleared this line in BOTH games where he played fewer than 20 minutes this season, recording 6 boards against Houston and 4 against Oklahoma City. His last two performances have produced 6 and 7 rebounds, including a season-high 7 against Utah on Monday π
I'M NUKING KELDON JOHNSON OVER 3.5 REBOUNDS β’οΈπ
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
#TurtleBets π’ #PorVida #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
β’οΈ NBA WEDNESDAY NIGHT NUKEEEE 11/4 β’οΈ
Keldon Johnson Over 3.5 Rebounds π
KELDON JOHNSON HAS CLEARED THIS LINE IN EVERY SINGLE GAME THIS SEASON. Johnson is over 3.5 rebounds in ALL 7 GAMES (100%), averaging 5.6 REBOUNDS in just 23.1 MINUTES per game βΌοΈ He's also cleared this exact line in his LAST 5 MATCHUPS against Dallas (100%), averaging 5.4 RPG despite playing only 21.9 minutes. He JUST grabbed 6 rebounds in 26 minutes against the Mavericks less than two weeks ago, including 4 OFFENSIVE BOARDS. Johnson has now recorded 6+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games (80%), while Dallas is allowing 43.1 opposing rebounds per game π
Johnson's first 7 games this season, over in 7/7 (100%):
vs UTA: 7 REB | 27 MIN β
vs MIN: 6 REB | 24 MIN β
vs UTA: 6 REB | 23 MIN β
vs SAC: 4 REB | 22 MIN β
vs DAL: 6 REB | 26 MIN β
vs HOU: 6 REB | 19 MIN β
vs OKC: 4 REB | 20 MIN β
THE UNDERLYING REBOUNDING OPPORTUNITIES ARE STRONG. Johnson is averaging approximately 8.0 REBOUND CHANCES per game in the available tracking data, including 3.8 OFFENSIVE REBOUND CHANCES. His rebound conversion rate sits around 60.6%, while he's collecting 2.4 OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS per game, an impressive number for someone playing just 23 minutes. He's averaging 8.7 rebounds per 36 minutes and has grabbed at least 4 boards in EVERY appearance regardless of his scoring production βΌοΈπ
THE H2H HISTORY IS ELITE. Johnson has cleared 3.5 rebounds in his LAST 5 GAMES against Dallas (100%), averaging 5.4 REBOUNDS in only 21.9 MINUTES:
6 REB | 26 MIN β
6 REB | 24 MIN β
4 REB | 16 MIN β
6 REB | 19 MIN β
5 REB | 25 MIN β
JOHNSON'S REBOUNDING CONSISTENCY DOESN'T DEPEND ON HEAVY MINUTES. He's averaged 24.5 MINUTES across his last 5 games while grabbing 5.8 rebounds per game. He's also cleared this line in BOTH games where he played fewer than 20 minutes this season, recording 6 boards against Houston and 4 against Oklahoma City. His last two performances have produced 6 and 7 rebounds, including a season-high 7 against Utah on Monday π
I'M NUKING KELDON JOHNSON OVER 3.5 REBOUNDS β’οΈπ
If you want to research plays like this, use code "TURTLEBETS" with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
#TurtleBets π’ #PorVida #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
TurtleBets π’ retweeted
ANOTHER FIRST PERIOD CASHβ
Marc Gatcomb O 2.5 Hits π°
They keep giving us error propsπ€£Premium will keep eating
$5 Premium: winible.com/thekennel
TurtleBets π’ retweeted
π₯NBA WEDNESDAY NIGHT PLAY 11/4 π₯
Cade Cunningham Over 23.5 Points π
CADEβS RECENT SCORING + PHILLY MATCHUP ARE THE KEYS TO THIS PLAY. Heβs cleared 23.5 points in 3 of his last 5 games (60%), including 30+ in 2 of his last 3. He JUST dropped 33 points on Charlotte, and in his first meeting with Philadelphia this season he scored 26 points on 19 shots βΌοΈπ
Cadeβs last 5:
33 points β
20 points β
30 points β
19 points β
26 points β
THE SHOT VOLUME IS THERE. Across those last 5 games, Cade has taken 20, 15, 22, 18 and 19 shots, averaging 18.8 FGA per game. Heβs also played 33+ minutes in 4 of those 5 before Detroit blew Charlotte out and only needed him for 27 minutes last time out π
THE H2H IS STRONG TOO. Cade scored 26 against Philadelphia on October 25, finishing 9-for-19 from the field with 3 made threes and 8 free-throw attempts. He also scored 26 in his previous full game against Philly last season, giving him 26+ in back-to-back full meetings with the Sixers π
Detroit is also playing some of its best basketball right now, and Cade remains the clear offensive engine at 23.7 PPG with a 7.1 assist average. When games stay competitive, the Pistons consistently let him control the offense deep into the fourth quarter. (CBS Sports)
The biggest thing I like here is the combination of ROLE + MATCHUP. Philly already let Cade get to 26 earlier this season, and heβs coming in off his best scoring performance of the year.
IβM TAKING CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 23.5 POINTS π
If you want to research plays like this, use code βTURTLEBETSβ with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
#TurtleBets π’ #Pistons #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
π₯NBA WEDNESDAY NIGHT PLAY 11/4 π₯
Cade Cunningham Over 23.5 Points π
CADEβS RECENT SCORING + PHILLY MATCHUP ARE THE KEYS TO THIS PLAY. Heβs cleared 23.5 points in 3 of his last 5 games (60%), including 30+ in 2 of his last 3. He JUST dropped 33 points on Charlotte, and in his first meeting with Philadelphia this season he scored 26 points on 19 shots βΌοΈπ
Cadeβs last 5:
33 points β
20 points β
30 points β
19 points β
26 points β
THE SHOT VOLUME IS THERE. Across those last 5 games, Cade has taken 20, 15, 22, 18 and 19 shots, averaging 18.8 FGA per game. Heβs also played 33+ minutes in 4 of those 5 before Detroit blew Charlotte out and only needed him for 27 minutes last time out π
THE H2H IS STRONG TOO. Cade scored 26 against Philadelphia on October 25, finishing 9-for-19 from the field with 3 made threes and 8 free-throw attempts. He also scored 26 in his previous full game against Philly last season, giving him 26+ in back-to-back full meetings with the Sixers π
Detroit is also playing some of its best basketball right now, and Cade remains the clear offensive engine at 23.7 PPG with a 7.1 assist average. When games stay competitive, the Pistons consistently let him control the offense deep into the fourth quarter. (CBS Sports)
The biggest thing I like here is the combination of ROLE + MATCHUP. Philly already let Cade get to 26 earlier this season, and heβs coming in off his best scoring performance of the year.
IβM TAKING CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 23.5 POINTS π
If you want to research plays like this, use code βTURTLEBETSβ with @PropsEdge for 20% off ππ¬
#TurtleBets π’ #Pistons #NBAPicks #GamblingX #PrizePicks
TurtleBets π’ retweeted
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE TUESDAY CARDβ½οΈ RECAP
6/9 Today in UCL
WE MOVEππ₯
BARCELONA MLβ
-1.5 SPREADβ
TEAM TOTAL GOALS 2.5β
INTER MLβ
PSG MLβ
BODO VS LILLE O 2.5β
GALATASARAY MLβ
OVER 2.5 GOALSβ (2)
ATLETICO VS BAYERN O 2.5β(2)
#Gamblingπ #SoccerPicks
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE TUESDAY CARDβ½οΈπ₯
#Gamblingπ #SoccerPicks
TurtleBets π’ retweeted
Crazy accurate simulation from the goat @PropsEdge π₯π₯ Been cashing so much using their research tool β
If you wanna cash and research plays like me, use code βTURTLEBETSβ for 20% off βΌοΈβΌοΈ
5,000 SIMS. ONE GAME. CALLED IT π―
Simulation:
Warriors ML
Suns 111, Warriors 112
Booker Over 1.5 3PM
Actual Result:
β
Warriors ML
β
Suns 113, Warriors 116
β
Booker 2 3PM
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