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#Election2026 - Midterm Coverage
(New pinned post)
Hello, all! Below is the plan for my personal coverage of the 2026 midterm elections.
🟨 Updates every 10 minutes on called House seats and a forecast of what's to come with the House.
🟨 Calls for ALL Senate seats (and updates on tossups/leans)
🟨 Calls for ALL Governor seats.
See below for more info. Only 37 days until Election Day!
#NewPoll - Generic Ballot 2026
🟦 Democratic Party, 53% (+9)
🟥 Republican Party, 44%
Ipsos
#NewPoll - South Carolina Senate 2026
🟥 Graham, 47% (+1)
🟦 Andrews, 46%
Targoz
#NewPoll - South Carolina Governor 2026
🟥 Wilson, 51% (+10)
🟦 Johnson, 41%
Targoz
#NewPoll - Alaska Governor Final Round 2026
🟦 Kreiss-Tomkins, 53% (+6)
🟥 Wilson, 47%
Alaska Survey
#NewPoll - North Carolina Senate 2026
🟦 Cooper, 52% (+9)
🟥 Whatley, 43%
Quantus
#NewPoll - Michigan Senate 2026
🟦 El-Sayed, 48% (+2)
🟥 Rogers, 46%
MSU
#NewPoll - Michigan Governor 2026
🟦 Benson, 53% (+12)
🟥 James, 41%
MSU
NEWS: If Trump does not fire him first, 🟦 House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries will push for impeachment proceedings to remove SecDef Pete Hegseth if Democrats flip the house.
#NewPoll - Generic Ballot 2026
🟦 Democratic Party, 53% (+9)
🟥 Republican Party, 44%
Focaldata
#NewPoll - Generic Ballot 2026
🟦 Democratic Party - 53% (+8)
🟥 Republican Party - 45%
YouGov
NEWS: 🟦 Mary Peltola, the Democratic candidate for Alaska Senate, has sustained minor injuries in a car accident. She says she’s in good spirits and has rescheduled some campaign events.
#Election2026 - House Forecast
Seat count: 🟦 236 🟥 199. My last update was on October 10; Republicans have gained 3 seats in my projection since then. That being said, the House is still heavily tilting towards Democrats. We are only 10 days away from the election!
#NewPoll - Oregon Governor 2026
🟦 Kotek, 46% (+2)
🟥 Drazan, 44%
DHM
#NewPoll - Ohio Senate 2026
🟦 Brown, 47% (+3)
🟥 Husted, 44%
InsiderAdvantage
#NewPoll - Michigan Senate 2026
🟦 El-Sayed, 47% (+1)
🟥 Rogers, 46%
InsiderAdvantage
#NewPoll - Iowa Senate 2026
🟥 Hinson, 47% (+2)
🟦 Turek, 45%
InsiderAdvantage
#NewPoll - Texas Governor 2026
🟥 Abbott, 51% (+3)
🟦 Hinojosa, 48%
Slingshot
#NewPoll - Texas Senate 2026
🟦 Talarico, 51% (+4)
🟥 Paxton, 47%
Slingshot
PERSONAL NOTE: SoCal Strategies has also been proven to be highly likely a “pollster” who fabricated data as well. I did not use any of these polls at any point.
That makes 3 this cycle. Please take any poll you see with a grain of salt and only trust reputable firms. Any pollster that qualifies for my model has met the required scrutiny; if a firm I have used turns out to be illegitimate, it will immediately be removed. That has not happened yet, however. It’s a shame this is even happening.

















