VICO's AI model forecasts political, geopolitical, and economic events. Try out the model: https://nitter.gq/t.co/wIF1MgjnyO Newsletter: https://nitter.gq/t.co/nM1xaKHPPk
Joined January 2026
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VICO retweeted
“This sounds like science fiction, but we already see it in one industry.” — @anthonyjvinci @VICOForecast @CNASdc
What happens when #AI performs intelligence on AI? #Intelligence #NationalSecurity
VICO retweeted
How can #AI turn intelligence into action? @anthonyjvinci examines #CovertInfluence and its implications for #NationalSecurity.
Watch the full conversation: youtube.com/watch?v=SjkopMH_…
VICO retweeted
We called it.
VICO’s model was bearish on Platner from the beginning, recognizing the obstacles posed by his repeated scandals and hardline positions, even as prediction markets favored him.
Last week, the model put his odds of winning the Maine Senate election at just 17%, citing "the material risk of a post-primary withdrawal before the July 13 deadline."
The signs were there. We quantified them.
VICO retweeted
Foreign companies and governments should take note.
VICO’s AI Model forecasts a 42% probability that a Chinese AI lab verifiably disrupts the critical and national security infrastructure of a foreign government in the next 5 years.
VICO retweeted
We called it.
Today, the Supreme Court upheld protections for birthright citizenship. On March 31st, VICO’s AI model gave just a 5% chance that it would be overturned, citing public reservations from Justice Brett Kavanaugh. As expected, he proved a pivotal swing vote in today’s judgment.
Markets only give you numbers. VICO gives you a time-tested rationale.
BREAKING: The Supreme Court upholds birthright citizenship, rejecting Trump’s proposed limits. apnews.com/live/birthright-c…
VICO retweeted
We called it.
Today, the NYC Rent Guidelines Board approved Mayor Mamdani’s rent freezes, an outcome VICO’s AI model forecasted at over 90% on May 13th.
Polymarket was at just 31% that same day. Not until June 25th did the markets spike to our confidence level.
See more at vico.io.
VICO retweeted
Is the world becoming more predictable? ft.trib.al/jErgmz5 | opinion
VICO retweeted
The "expert" era is being disrupted by hard-edge probability.
@anthonyjvinci of @VicoForecast spoke with me about how Vico predicted strikes in Iran days ahead of time.
The secret? Moving away from "views" and toward measurable data. A 63% probability is a tool for action.
VICO retweeted
"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by…"
With US and Israeli strikes now underway, three prediction sources are pricing the probability of regime change. One was ahead of the other two.
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🔵 Kalshi (human-traded, by Sep 1): Flat at ~48-50 all week. Spikes to 64 on the strikes.
⚪ Polymarket (human-traded, by Dec 31): Flat at ~48-50 all week. Spikes to 74 on the strikes.
🔴 Vico (AI-powered, by Dec 31): Steady climb from ~65 to 78.5 over 10 days — pricing in the escalation before most humans were trading it.
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The human-traded markets sat still while diplomacy played out. Vico's AI models were reading the buildup — carrier deployments, military surges, failed talks — and adjusting daily.
In this instance, the crowd moved on the headline and the AI moved on the signal.
