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Trading has always had two camps. Discretionary and systematic. Instinct on one side, rigor on the other. Both work, neither is the holy grail, and the two rarely intersect.
Evidence-based discretion is where they meet. A discretionary read you can hold to a number.🧵
$ONE has moved 125.3% from P1 to P2 this week. Few weeks ever get this wild.
Only 0.7% of weeks moved more between P1 and P2 (2 of 295).
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$ADA left its 1h open untouched above price. Opens like this rarely stay that way.
90% of naked 1h opens since 2020 got revisited, within a median of 3 hours (2,314 of 2,579).
$ARB opened the Close session (20:00 to 24:00 UTC) deep in its lower quartile. Opens like this usually go lower.
86% of these opens took the prior session's low at 0.16602 (95 of 111).
Only 1.8% took the prior session's high within the same session (2 of 111).
$ONE has moved 13.7% from P1 to P2 this session. Few sessions get this wild.
Only 4.6% of sessions moved more between P1 and P2 (94 of 2,060).
Only 1.1% of sessions saw their first extreme run further from the open (22 of 2,060).
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$AKE just left an 8.4% upper wick on the 30m. Wicks this size usually get filled.
91% of upper wicks of 8.4% or more on the 30m were fully filled (77 of 85). This one tops out at 0.003496.
93% were at least half filled (79 of 85).
The median time to a full fill was 8.5 hours.
$XMR set its first extreme of the week only 0.35% from the open. That is rare.
96% of weeks (338 of 353) had their first extreme further from the open than this one.
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$ZEC just left a 3.6% upper wick on the 4h. Wicks this size almost always get filled.
95% of upper wicks of 3.6% or more on the 4h were fully filled (322 of 338). This one tops out at 1,352.39.
99% were at least half filled (334 of 338).
The median time to a full fill was 16 hours.
$QNT opened the NY session near the top of the prior range. The high usually gets taken.
96% of opens this deep in the upper quartile took the prior session's high at 202.78 (148 of 154).
Only 28% took the prior session's low within the same session (43 of 154).
$SOL has moved only 1.7% from P1 to P2 this session. That is one of its smallest.
94% of sessions moved more from P1 to P2 than this one (1,729 of 1,846).
89% of sessions (1,648 of 1,846) had their first extreme further from the open than this one.
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$BTC is still inside its Monday range, 76,668 to 78,854. Weeks like this rarely stay inside it.
96% of Mondays had either side of the range taken by Friday close (341 of 356).
The Monday high was taken 69% of the time (246 of 356).
The Monday low was taken 61% of the time (217 of 356).
$ETH has a cluster of levels just above price, from 2,265.07 to 2,269.52. Levels like this usually get hit.
87% of levels like this were hit within 24 hours, an 87% hit rate (1,022 of 1,169). The strongest level is at 2,265.07.
The median time to hit was 1 hour.
Over the last 12 months the hit rate was 87% (155 of 178).
$MOVR set its first extreme right at the NY session open. That is rare.
98% of sessions (1,021 of 1,043) had their first extreme further from the open than this one, which sits 0.00% away.
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$HYPE left its 1h open untouched below price. Naked opens like this rarely stay naked.
91% of naked 1h opens since 2024 got revisited, within a median of 3 hours (431 of 474).
Over the last 12 months the rate was 93% (233 of 252).
$LSK opened the NY session near the bottom of the prior range. The low rarely survives.
97% of opens this deep in the lower quartile took the prior session's low at 0.21536 (109 of 113).
Only 20% took the prior session's high within the same session (22 of 113).
$QNT left its 1h open untouched below price. Naked opens like this rarely stay naked.
93% of naked 1h opens since 2022 got revisited, within a median of 3 hours (1,550 of 1,667).
Over the last 12 months the rate was 94% (461 of 490).
$LSK has moved 86.7% from P1 to P2 this week. Weeks that big are rare.
Only 2.1% of weeks moved more from P1 to P2 than this one (3 of 145).
In 61% of weeks (88 of 145), the first extreme ran further from the open than this week's did.
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.
$HYPE printed a 9.0% daily upper wick on Oct 29, with the high at 97.05. That is the 13th largest of 692 daily upper wicks since Dec 2024.
Every earlier daily upper wick of 9% or more was fully filled, with price trading back to the wick high (12 of 12). The median wait was 16 days.
This one is already half filled, price reached the midpoint on Oct 30. The high at 97.05 has not been retested yet.
$BTC opened the NY session near the bottom of the prior range. Opens like this almost always reach the prior low.
95% of opens in the lower quartile took the prior session's low at 77,181 (168 of 176).
Only 32% went on to take the prior session's high within the same session (57 of 176).
$HYPE has moved 23.4% from P1 to P2 today, one of its largest days so far.
Only 2% of days moved more from P1 to P2 than today's 23.4% (14 of 694).
30% of days had their first extreme run further from the open than this one (206 of 694).
You can track this live, for free, on our Distance page.




















