CertainlyThrough

The issue with looking at football plays in isolation is that it never considers a very important element of a fixed game: time. If I am playing a team that has a better EPA than me, or insert whatever offensive stat, if I run the ball, I prevent them from being able to do the thing they are good at, by shrinking the game. Everyone tries to compare football to poker, coin flips, etc. But the thing that I think that misses is that unlike those scenarios, in football, what I do impacts your ability to not do something else. If your EPA is better than me, but you don’t get to run as many plays because I sit on the ball and fleece the clock - and that’s not accounted for, then something is missing in the discussion.