
Risk managed swing trader. +24% YTD - +184% 2025 - 13 Years in markets. Outperforming since 2021. Simple setups. Disciplined execution. YouTube @warrensnax
Thailand
Joined October 2014
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Still not a swingers market imo. So I day traded actively, consistently for the first time in more than 5 years.
+456% 📈
Since beginning October 1.
Pretty good. I am 10x better at risk management than the last time I pressed intraday. Interesting to see the growth there.
I focus on a core list of about a dozen liquid chains. Prefer 0dte
Couple different models used.
holler if you want. I'll talk to you.
$QQQ $SPY $NVDA $META $AAPL $CRWV $SPCX $DRAM $MU $NOK $IREN $MSFT $INTC
If you’re blaming the market and US politics you’re not gonna make it. Stop “trading”. Just a hard truth. You chose to self manage. And chose not to prioritize risk management.. among other things. It’s on you. Get real about that. Or don’t try again.
Market serving some hard lessons. Best you learn them. Too many genius traders here that got involved in a historic bull run. Then fell the F apart when risk management skills were called for.
It’s hard. I know. Been there.
But I’m damn proud of the management of the account this year.
It took years of hard lessons. I’ve been at this almost 14 years.
You don’t get to walk in and smoke the market.
Risk management.
Market structure has signaled caution nearly the entire year.
Can’t win on vibes and conviction.
Market doesn’t care about your DD. Sorry.
$QQQ $SMH $DRAM $MU
cats out of the bag. I dont think for a second they will stop data centers.
but. could peripherals be a trade either way?
$CRSR $LOGI $HPQ
youtu.be/vDmjw-c_R2k?si=UyKJ…
So. Still nothing on inflation. Homelessness. Incarceration. Rates. Unaffordable housing. Grocery prices. Mental health decline. Education decline. Wages. Prosperity gap. Unification. National debt.
Just. More. Noise.
You’re responsible for yourself.
BREAKING: A Democratic lawmaker wants banning artificial superintelligence to be day one of the party's agenda now that they've taken Congress.
The bill already exists. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Greg Casar introduced it in September. It bans developing or deploying superintelligence and pauses advanced AI development entirely.
The penalties: a "corporate death penalty" for companies, and up to 20 YEARS IN PRISON for individuals.
Member just brought $VEEV to my attention.
Love it. I haven't placed a swing trade in months. But this has the look for me. And in a sector that is and has been swingable. $XLV
Trade here is a TripleR just below breakout level (or range high). Get a 1/4 size. Shares or calls.
Let it move up towards top of range and look for a Shake n Go to present the next TripleR to get up to full size and see if you can be a part of a measured move.
Earnings must be factored in for the second part. So size appropriately and do not hold through without a buffer. 6-9month contracts needed likely to have a chance to get a piece of the measured move without getting eaten by theta.
Really nice eye Mike. I haven't been looking for swing ideas. But I like this, and may take it with you.
TripleR/Shake n Go/Box Breakout/Measured Move
All things I cover regularly on the YouTube . For free.
$SPY $QQQ
Swing account been dormant for months. +23% YTD
After 6 months of collecting data. Decided to execute on it.
Started executing intraday account Oct 1.
+>500% on the month.
Idk man. This app irritates the SHIT out of me.
So much noise. So many people are full of shit. I’ve been at this almost 14 years now. Seen a LOT.
You want some. Fucking dm me.
No I won’t help you for free. Grow up.
Hard to make the AI oversupply case while GPU rental prices keep climbing.
Across 12 weekly readings through Oct 25, advertised on-demand rates rose:
H100 +9.9%
H200 +16.6%
B200 +20.3%
AI stocks can still be overpriced. There can still be financing risk. Etc..
AI stocks are already in a bear market. So, is this the end… or an opportunity…
Manage your risk.
$NVDA $MU $CRWV $SPCX $META $GOOG $AMZN $NBIS $MRVL $VRT
Lot of yall acting like the market can’t get irrational to the downside. That easy money when things were irrational to the upside made some overconfident “traders”.
Personally, I’m cool with a purge. If we do in fact get one.
i think children’s robotics could trigger a massive keeping-up-with-the-Joneses moment.
one kid gets a little robot with a personality.
their friends see it move, react and do something unexpected.
suddenly birthday and christmas lists look different.
my speculative pick is Spin Master
$TOY on the TSX or $SNMSF on OTC market.
the category still has a lot to prove. the timing is uncertain. there is no clear winner.
but there are some dots worth connecting.
Pollen’s Microduck is a $399 preorder robot that walks, picks things up and can learn new behaviors through open development tools. That puts some impressive physical capabilities into a small, appealing package.
It is still an early product aimed at builders and enthusiasts. Mass adoption by families remains ahead of us.
What interests me is where this could go:
A little creature whose play keeps expanding after you buy it. New movements. New games. New things to discover together.
If someone gets the price, reliability and experience right, the social pull could be enormous.
Spin Master has seen a version of this before.
It reported more than 2 million Hatchimals sold within months of the original launch and 14.2 million cumulatively by July 2024. Kids have already shown how strongly they can respond to a creature that feels alive.
Spin Master has also expanded its capabilities in ways that could matter here.
In 2023, it acquired HEXBUG, a robotic toy brand. The announcement specifically discussed expanding the brand’s reach and applying its technology across Spin Master’s broader toy portfolio.
It bought its way into children’s digital play through Toca Boca and Sago Mini in 2016.
It also has a precedent for investing early and acquiring later. Spin Master Ventures took a minority position in game studio Nørdlight in 2021, then acquired the company the following year.
In August 2026, it announced an agreement to acquire Hapiko, creator of Stickerbox, which uses AI to turn children’s spoken ideas into physical stickers. That is another concrete move into technology-enabled physical play.
Spin Master could participate in robotics through its own products, licensing, an early investment or an acquisition. It already operates across physical toys, entertainment and digital games, with global distribution. Those capabilities could be valuable to an emerging robotics company trying to reach families.
My bet is that if expressive robotics becomes a major children’s category, Spin Master has a credible chance to benefit and potentially acquire an emerging leader.
That last part is speculation. An acquisition history gives Spin Master a way to act. It gives the company no claim on the eventual winner.
There is a financial business underneath the idea too. Spin Master reported US$123.6 million of company-defined free cash flow in 2025, a measure that excludes acquisition spending. That gives it some capacity to invest, alongside its access to financing.
The risks deserve equal attention.
A viral launch can turn into excess inventory. A robot can be adorable for a week and sit untouched for a year. Parents may reject the price or the privacy tradeoffs. Hardware, support and AI running costs can eat the margin.
Acquisitions can also destroy value. Spin Master recorded a US$215.4 million goodwill impairment related to Melissa & Doug in 2025. Experience buying companies clearly does not guarantee good returns.
An emerging robotics leader could stay independent, sell to someone else or become too expensive.
i can be right about children’s robotics and still be wrong about $TOY.
But this is a connection i want on my radar before the winner becomes obvious.
The proof will be kids still playing with the product six months later, and Spin Master earning money from it.
and to be clear. there is no product at this point. and $TOY doesn't own "it".
1000% speculation.
but at a 9.5 forward p/e - I dont hate the bet.
$MAT is another on the radar. similar thesis. But its had about a 30% run up this month. on the back burner for now.
Bit of a light bulb moment.
Children’s robotics is gonna be HUGE.
Worth speculating imo.
$TOY $SNMSF $MAT
youtu.be/Nt6d62vN7CU?si=GXfW…
opening the live stream up publicly for the Wednesday session. come watch real alpha.
9am
youtube.com/live/ZIHqpFHGC_Q…








